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bhelkey 8 hours ago

He often promises incredibly ambitious things that don't happen. But, with a fairly reasonable frequency, he promises incredibly ambitious that do happen.

For example, SpaceX is responsible for a massive spike in orbital launches [1].

[1] https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/yearly-number-of-objects-...

MeetingsBrowser 8 hours ago | parent | next [-]

SpaceX and Tesla are both successful companies doing really impressive things, but the more ambitious claims are almost always silently discarded.

Including robotaxis, tesla semi-trucks, hyperloop, optimus, roadster 2.0, cheap whole home batteries, true FSD, Mars landing, nueralink, and more I'm sure.

It is difficult for me to get excited about a decades long, ambitious project when the follow through rate is <10%.

mindwok 7 hours ago | parent | next [-]

He is definitely overly optimistic on timelines but pretty much all those things you mentioned are actually still happening, it's too early to say they haven't followed through.

downrightmike 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Only because of gov't handouts

randallsquared 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Several of these do exist already, and one of them was never a promised project. This objection seems like it's from 2016.

chasd00 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Gwynne Shotwell is the one that makes it happen at SpaceX. She has a pretty good track record so far so I'm not writing her off yet.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gwynne_Shotwell