But right now AI assisted development isn't really making you more productive by an order of magnitude. It's easily a game of whack-a-mole right now. I estimate that an excellent programmer equipped with Claude Code only sees a 30-40% improvement in speed right now

What you speak of may happen, but I doubt it will happen in the next 10 years.

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dmortin 2 days ago | parent [-]

Judging from the rate of improvement in AIs it will happen gradually over the next few years.

Comparing AIs of a few years ago to the ones today there is a good chance they will improve enormously.

Some humans will always be needed for handholding, but not as many as employed today to churn out run of the mill code.

	▲	sgt 2 days ago \| parent [-]
		Sure that's a theory that sometimes plays out, but similarly one also sees almost exponential growth or improvement, yet followed by a plateau for a long time until the next breakthrough.