If we set the barrier to entry in prediction markets to an equivalent of an age/height check on entry, it would be well north of "yes, I am a mom-and-pop first time investor, I have never been here before, I know nothing except what some spammer told me and claude"

Somehow the "you can afford to lose your entire stake, you aren't leveraged, this isn't a con you fell into" is missing.

(thats aside from "you aren't an inside trader with privileged knowledge because of family ties to the WH, are you")