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bottlepalm 17 hours ago

I get not trusting them when they say AI is safe, but are we really not going to trust them when they say AI is dangerous? Do you really think they're playing 5D chess with that one? There's a saying maybe you've heard of, better safe than sorry.

You can see the advance in capabilities with your own eyes can't you? I am giving AI ridiculously complex tasks these days, digging into compiled arcane binaries, modifying them, and it is one shotting it before I'm done with my lunch. This was far off science fiction 5 years ago for a machine to do autonomously given natural language instructions.

CoolestBeans 16 hours ago | parent [-]

I don't disagree about the danger. But if it is dangerous, why isn't OpenAI opening dialogues with all the labs and politicians across borders to basically say "we need to stop now"? Cyber models are constrained by the total compute and electrical capacity of the globe. We are still at a point where it is impossible to build an agent with offensive capabilities in the basement. We can effectively track and trace capabilities if we had the political will to and could for some time while we build more effective processes to prevent a malicious actor from doing so. These things have tremendous compute and energy requirements and don't scale like old school software does. We could absolutely do it.

But no, that's not what OpenAI is saying. They haven't put up the actions that would earn them that trust. Indeed they've driven the world and whatever capital they can get their hands on straight to this precarious cliff.

So you're right, the danger is real. But the solution starts with removing the men who had their hands on the steering wheel to get us this far. Any other action is disingenuous unless they pull a miraculous 180 in their ethics.

In other words, when the bully plays "why are you hitting yourself?" you don't listen to the bully's solutions, you restrain the bully.

bottlepalm 16 hours ago | parent [-]

> why isn't OpenAI opening dialogues with all the labs and politicians across say "we need to stop now"

Do you really think companies have the ability to self-check themselves without regulation - what does hundreds of years of history tell you? You're already starting off with the premise that companies are untrustworthy, why would you even suggest this as an argument?

> We can effectively track and trace capabilities

I disagree. There are hundreds if not thousands of data centers around the world, more every day that can host frontier AI. If AI was malicious - either intentional or unintentional - it could hide out in any number of them - and we would never know if we 'got them all'.

> put up the actions that would earn them that trust

I think autonomously hacking another company is all you need to know in terms of trust. And really trust doesn't matter, I think the incident shows even with the best intentions the technology is dangerous; now put that in the hands of people/governments with bad intentions. The unintended consequences of bad intentioned AI is what's coming sooner than later.