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cwmoore 7 hours ago

But we have built so many enduring systems that rely on bad apples to function the way the do. See "insurance pricing", "private prisons", and "justice enforcement". In the real world, the ideal number of jails or homeless people is neither zero nor "all of them".

cardanome 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

The ideal number of jails and homeless people is zero.

Obviously you will not reach that literally. That's why it is an ideal number, not a real number. It is still a good and worthy goal.

Finnland for example has nearly eradicated homelessness. It is not literally zero but 0.08% which is pretty good.

You can also reduce the crime rate dramatically by better social security, education, easier access to mental health care and so many other things.

And don't say we can't afford these things. These measures pay dividends in building a better society for everyone. What we can't afford is having so many billionaires not paying their fair share.

HWR_14 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Obviously the ideal number of jails is not zero, but why wouldn't the ideal number of homeless people be zero?

californical 7 hours ago | parent | next [-]

I’m guessing there’s a bit of breathing room at the lower end of the system - there will be people who become drug addicts or have major mental health breaks and lose everything.

And ideally we have good safety nets that find these people and give them resources and treatment, but some people will refuse everything and end up in bad situations of homelessness due to their drug and/or mental health crises.

And even in a society that forces those people into attempted treatment programs, there will still be a bit of time in between their issues manifesting and them going into treatment/therapy/confinement.

To have “zero homeless” you’d need to preventatively intercept these people before they become homeless and force them into confinement in treatment facilities and mental hospitals essentially. And that’s a dangerous game because you’re essentially taking away someone’s freedom preemptively before they become homeless

cwmoore 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

This is along the lines I mean. Or when shared households break up, and some stay, some leave, which one should you send to the asylum forever and why not both? Or to jail for the fights they both participated in? What of the deaths by a thousand cuts and no one at fault for the murder?

But the idea that jails are an unadulterated societal good, or that they are the natural only option to police, is a crazy religion. Why on earth do we have no timely resolutions but through handcuffs and jail? There is expediency, and then there is externalizing the whole of the troubles to the smallest number of people, who could never overturn a majority, even if they had the vote.

I suggest the ability to put certain people in a metal box, at least partially for losing their grasp of a better role in the world, is a big, boldface moral hazard, and self-perpetuating, but with leering cheerleaders.

Some people are wild and out of control sometimes. Treating them all as permanent bad apples is just as animalistic.

longbrass 5 hours ago | parent [-]

Just make sure after each politician serves their term they get a year in prison.

pianopatrick 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

You could also have "zero homeless" if you had a certain amount of cheap housing that even drug addicts and mentally ill people could afford. Or where the cost of helping them is not too much.

Like some housing that was built to be closer to "indestructible" than "nice" and was small, like 200 - 300 sq ft.

layer8 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Some homeless people choose to not make use of such facilities, for example because they don’t want to get into fights with the other (ex-)homeless living there, or because of anxiety issues and the like.

what an hour ago | parent [-]

They choose not to use these facilities because they can’t do drugs there.

4 minutes ago | parent | next [-]
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cwmoore 33 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

Or the exact opposite of what you said.

bethekidyouwant 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

If it’s not in the city centre it will remain empty and if it is it will already be full

2 hours ago | parent [-]
[deleted]
coldtea 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

>I’m guessing there’s a bit of breathing room at the lower end of the system - there will be people who become drug addicts or have major mental health breaks and lose everything

So? Why can't a 21st century country provide them with some at-least pod-like homes, so they are not fucking homeless?

an hour ago | parent [-]
[deleted]
jknoepfler 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Honestly this isn't the right conversation to be having at all.

In the United States, ~40% of the homeless are employed. A deeply non-trivial percent either are kids or have kids. Everyone should volunteer at a support center for homeless youth some time.

Sure, there may be some kind of Pareto principal in play for the hardest 20% of cases to crack. Who cares? Let's eliminate 80% of the existing problem and worry about the rest when we get there.

I'm going to go out on a limb and suggest that the median HN reader has very little appreciation of the human reality of homelessness in the United States, and primarily see it through the lens of people at the extreme, visible margins. I know I used to until I got involved.

edit: I mean all of this in a very boring, matter of fact way, not some kind of holier-than-thou virtue signaling way. The 80% problem of homelessness is a tractable economic problem. While it's true that the United States has an almost dizzying level of propaganda demonizing poor people, it's also true that real homelessness is hard to spot because people have a natural instinct to preserve their and their family's dignity. The first time I came to terms with this was coaching debate in highschool. I had a varsity debater who couldn't afford pants to meet the dress code. Incredibly bright, academically successful kid. His father was an unemployed teacher working menial jobs, his mother was taking care of three kids. They lived in a tent at campsites. I had absolutely no idea. We obviously bought him pants and paid all his travel/etc. fees (he'd been making excuses to not go to events requiring travel). That's a very boring, normal case.

That family should have had a free or nearly free housing option. They did not. They still wouldn't.

cwmoore 27 minutes ago | parent [-]

And then there are people who aren't families, without the knack for conveying a moving story, or exceptionally good in every way but unfair circumstances.

Many of these people, and not just the really, really bad nuisance ones people use as excuses to superiority, are literally slaves, performing the scarecrow work of deterrence as living examples, for "society", for no pay.

I think this is an injustice, subverted by its own cruelty, and one of the more compelling arguments for UBI.

lend000 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I knew someone who worked at some sort of homeless services clinic, and I asked how many people they were able to help get back on their feet in a sustainable way. The answer was 1; I don't know what the denominator was, but the takeaway is that most of the visibly homeless people you see are uncoachable and you really can't protect people from themselves. With a huge caveat that the visibly homeless is a subset of the homeless/impoverished population.

rcxdude 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Depends on your definition, but not everyone is necessarily happy (or at least, happiest) living under a particular roof.

cwmoore 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Housing is a privilege, not a right, and not a requirement. Except, being a free country, in jail.

cwmoore 3 hours ago | parent [-]

I said it is - I'm not saying it should be.

GolfPopper 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

How old are those systems in their present configuration?

jacquesm 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

In the real world the jails are for holding, the prisons are for convicted criminals and the homeless people (most of them anyway, because not everybody that is homeless is derelict, and the addicts) get whatever help they need. Because we actually can afford it.

ai_critic 2 hours ago | parent [-]

> Because we actually can afford it.

Can you, though? And for how long? With the current policymaking and demographic and economic trends?

There is an argument to be made that the European social experiment has largely been indirectly funded by the largesse of the American hard-and-soft power strategy. As we're moving away from that (for various reasons, most idiotic), there is a question as to how it will persist.

(This is not meant as trolling--there's a real existential question here. A starting point is an attack on that argument: what is the "natural" expenditure on defense versus what you can get away with America's force projection? How much social funding is derived from that delta, in the most generous sense? Maybe it's a red-herring.)

hluska 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

What is the ideal number of unhoused people? And how do you arrive at that number?

cwmoore 6 hours ago | parent [-]

Probably "fewer", and probably by providing step-up housing for more people to whom it is out of reach.

jMyles 7 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I think the ideal number of _prisons_ (as distinct from jails / pretrial confinement) is zero.

This whole charade in the USA of dressing up slavery (without even a single day of interruption on January 31, 1865) as "correction" is absurd. It's obviously a way to continue an economy that relies on a supply of involuntary labor, and has nothing whatsoever to do with public safety.

There are plenty of ways to implement restorative justice which are superior to forcing convicts to make starbucks uniforms (start here if you've never delved into this, but there are great books on the topic which you can find from here: https://harvardpolitics.com/restorative-justice-abolition/).

tony69 7 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Some crimes are bad enough that the perpetrators don’t deserve second chances. I’m ok with punishment for its own sake in some cases even if it would be more “cost effective” or “productive” for society to rehabilitate.

cwmoore 6 hours ago | parent [-]

Sure, again bad apples, but one size fits sentences to the same institution? They are not all of the people ever arrested, or all of the time, or even most, and still the fundamentally medieval violence we orient by.

cwmoore 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

That too. The check of "without due process" did not undo that rebranding or its many modern forms.

cwmoore 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I’d guess the downvotes are an aberration of today’s politics, because your account of the history is factually and legally valid. (keyword “restorative”)

To me, the idea that incarceration and police use of force is wrong because it is racist is backwards. It’s racist because it is wrong.

gadflyinyoureye 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Is aberration for the ground you claim? My understanding is that in the west up until recently prisons were uncommon due to cost. The courts either fined you or they killed you. You might’ve been part of a Work gang, but the goal was to kill you.

cwmoore 3 hours ago | parent [-]

I don't understand your question or your comments. I have not considered the relevance of execution to this discussion, but I do not see fines and imprisonment as the same categories of punishment/correction at all.