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specproc 4 hours ago

It's an experimental study. These designs attempt to create a treatment and control to account for this problem.

Others in the thread point out how it's not easy to implement, but there is a methodological attempt at casual inference in the design.

jmull 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

It’s really not experimental though.

Assuming their math and design are good, this is pretty strong, as these things go. But there were a lot of other things that were different between the groups that could reasonably be affecting results.

The article itself is careful to deny drawing any prescriptive conclusions from this research — a tacit acknowledgement that the causal connection isn’t entirely clear.

This is interesting and fairly strong, and potentially important, but definitely needs more work before we start acting on it.

specproc 3 hours ago | parent [-]

*Quasi-experimental, see my comment below. Excuse the sloppy language, it's a while since I've done one.

It's not as good as an RCT, but lifetime sugar consumption, as the article points out, is not something you can randomise.

MarkusQ 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

It is not an experimentally study. It's observational, e.g. from the paper: "we exploit the abrupt end of United Kingdom sugar rationing in September 1953 as a natural experiment."

They didn't perform an experiment, they took someone else's observational data from a real-world event, and attempted to interpret it as if it had been an experiment.

specproc 3 hours ago | parent [-]

OK, quasi-experimental, a discontinuity design, surely? It's not purely observational, as you've got (albeit imperfect) treatment and control, built around (presumably very similar) people born on either side of a cut-off, simulating randomisation.

Observational would be simply looking at sugar consumption across a cohort and having that as a covariate.

The fact someone else gathered the data has nothing to do with it.

Edit: It's a widely-used research technique, which attempts to address this correlation-causation issue without having to do RCTs.

https://medium.com/@arun.subram456/causal-inference-regressi...