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wewewedxfgdf a day ago

>> We are 4 years into this ‘revolution’ and the industry has almost nothing to show for it.

If you actually used LLMs instead of preaching against them from the sidelines with no real experience, you'd know such statements are wrong.

This is the real problem with many of the anti LLM folks - they tell us about LLMs and also tell us they don't use them.

"That thing cannot do the stuff you say it can. And there is no way I will ever try it. But I know for sure I am right."

lunar_mycroft a day ago | parent | next [-]

> If you actually used LLMs instead of preaching against them from the sidelines with no real experience, you'd know such statements are wrong.

What about the people who do have a lot of LLM experience and agree with OP?

> That thing cannot do the stuff you say it can. And there is no way I will ever try it. But I know for sure I am right.

If someone claims to be able to fly by strapping bird wing shaped pieces of plywood with feathers glued on to their arms, do you need to personally jump off a tower with them to say they don't work, or can you look at the results of others attempting it and draw conclusions based on that? LLM proponents are making claims about their capabilities which can relatively easily be checked without using LLMs yourself. To pick an example where LLM proponents are correct, anyone who says LLMs can't generate syntactically valid code can be proven wrong fairly easily by producing an example of syntactically valid, LLM generated code.

Further, if you read the rest of the paragraph you responded to, it's clear that this claim is about the state of the industry as a whole. "Software has not improved in quality, got faster, become cheaper to produce (when you exclude the mountain of poor-quality demoware that no reputable organisation would touch with a barge pole), or become more capable." Whether this is true or not is something that can be evaluated without ever having prompted yourself, or even arguably without being a developer at all.

lproven 20 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> This is the real problem with many of the anti LLM folks

(BTW, I am the OP: I posted this, but I didn't write the article.)

No, the real problem here is that you do not understand the anti-LLM arguments.

I won't touch LLMs for anything except translation. But my anti-LLM stance is nothing whatsoever to do with whether they work or not (and that is even without the extreme torturing of the word "work" that the advocates do.)

My objection is based on the terrible crimes committed in building them (from theft), training them (at catastrophic ecological cost), in running them (ditto), in the effects on their individual users (cumulative brain damage), on their corporate users (economic destruction), and so on.

If they work is incidental. The believers like what LLMs do. For me, by my definitions, LLMs do not work. They extrude content that I never ever want to see, or read, or here, or want to execute. But for the botlickers, that is enough: they extrude a product. The botlickers want product.

I don't care. I don't want the product, but more to the point, I want the machines making the product not to exist... and if the price of that is all the people using the machines to never work again, and all the companies using them to go bankrupt, I would be absolutely delighted.

jhanschoo 18 hours ago | parent [-]

You are a different anti-LLM person than the article's author. You aren't one of the "many" anti-LLM folks that they are referring to, whereas the author is one of them. Your reasons are quite distinct from the several of the author's reasons.

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quadrifoliate a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> If you actually used LLMs instead of preaching against them from the sidelines with no real experience, you'd know such statements are wrong.

Unlike the author, I'm an LLM optimist; but this take doesn't make sense to me. The thing you show cannot be "hey look at this LLM-based workflow, that's so much better than last year".

Where is the big browser, operating system, or other piece of work that has been able to quickly compete with the existing entries in the market due to LLMs?

The only one that I can think of off the top of my head is the rewrite of Bun in Rust. I think the fact that Claude Code runs on millions of devices on top of that rewrite is the sort of impressive demonstration that would prove that LLMs have lasting, systemic effects -- but it is telling that the only one I can think of was made by the extremely well funded lab that also happens to build the LLM.

arcwhite 20 hours ago | parent | next [-]

It's worth noting that the bun rewrite of rust is still not actually released to users, and has run to a total cost north of a million dollars now (factoring in tokens and CI costs)

It should still be taken with a grain of salt IMO

chuckadams 17 hours ago | parent [-]

I thought they'd switched Claude Code over to the rust branch already. Hardly a shining example but there it is.

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luckylion 18 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> Where is the big browser, operating system, or other piece of work that has been able to quickly compete with the existing entries in the market due to LLMs?

Why would it "quickly compete"? What if AI gives you a 100x leverage but not a 100000x leverage?

With the 100000x leverage, you could spin up a full browser and compete, but not with the 100x. With 100x, you could use fewer people or do it in less time, but the amount of effort that goes into browsers still doesn't make it "an afternoon for one person".

I think it's undeniable that an excavator is ridiculously more powerful than a human at digging holes. Let's say it's 100x more efficient.

But if you had 1000 people work on a big hole every day for 5 years, the excavator wouldn't manage to do the same in a day, but it would allow you to do the same with 10 people and 10 excavators in 5 years, or with 50 people and 50 excavators in one year.

I don't think it scales linearly the more complexity grows, but "it hasn't been done, therefore it isn't possible" seems wrong. Maybe the big labs could build a browser, but they'd much rather spend the attention of 50 engineers on something else.

bigstrat2003 a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> If you actually used LLMs instead of preaching against them from the sidelines with no real experience, you'd know such statements are wrong.

I have. Which is how I know that such statements are correct.

wewewedxfgdf a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

And when you show them evidence of the incredible things that can be done they stick their fingers in their ears and say "I'm not listening. I'm not listening. looping ad infinitum. OR they start saying "Oh yeah, prove it with hard numbers." when nothing about software productivity has ever been able to be proven with hard numbers. It becomes a semantic word game that you cannot win because nothing you say will get them to believe because they don't want to believe. The LLM haters are the most dogmatic of unbelievers.

Which I find weird - the greatest fun for me is making a computer do something awesome. I learned to program because I want that outcome.

I respect if you love the art and craft of hand programming but it's something else entirely to simply deny that LLM's are what they are - which is to say so amazing it is really beyond belief and they are getting more so every year.

If you're a hand programmer forever then fine, just don't make a fool of yourself by saying that everyone is lying about LLMs, to justify your choices.

glimshe a day ago | parent [-]

> which is to say so amazing it is really beyond belief and they are getting more so every year.

We've normalized science fiction. Go back 5-10 years and ask anyone whether we'd soon have something like LLMs.

If you step back and try to look at LLMs without emotions and politics, you will be blown away by what this thing can do. We're talking to a machine, folks.

I just can't believe that LLM haters really like computers or technology, because we haven't seen anything this interesting in decades.

card_zero a day ago | parent | next [-]

You prompted me to have a little sci-fi fantasy about a world where LLMs are exciting. It goes like this: imagine they were local-only, from the the start, and this was baked into the whole concept because each one has an owner, and it is trained on that owner's mind, in an intimate and slightly trippy process. None of its background information comes from any other source. It's possible to talk to somebody else's LLM, but this is rarely done because it would be awkward and intrusive, and difficult to interpret. Consequently, nobody ever dreams of connecting an LLM with any server. There is no giant ugly industry for training them. They are personal in every way and have nothing to do with the internet or any of its assholes, and do not represent some bland and inscrutable centralized source of truth. Their output always goes to the owner, is hard for other people to understand, and does not provide an opportunity to spam everybody else with vapid boilerplate. Now, I'm excited to own one of these!

qsera 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

>We've normalized science fiction.

That is the thing I am mad about. We are getting bastardized versions of the science fictions of our childhood.

I fantasized about instant communicators across worlds, and we get mobile phones that work by planting a gazillion antennas across the globe. And people hail them as futuristic and say things like this.

I fantasied about human like robots and positronic brains, and we get a regurgitation of past humanity, in text, ensuring a future of total intellectual and artistic winter.

I fantasized a future with perfect health, but we get a million doctors and hospitals and a normalised dependency on medicines and an existence that is unthinkable without health insurance!

I fantasized about antigravity flying cars, and we get drones.

What ever it is, these things are blocking the path to the science fiction of my childhood.

So that is why I am not excited about these things. Not because I don't like computers and technology, but because I REALLY like them.

lunar_mycroft a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> We've normalized science fiction. Go back 5-10 years and ask anyone whether we'd soon have something like LLMs.

LLMs are incredibly impressive. It just doesn't follow from that that they're capable of all the things proponents claim they are.

> I just can't believe that LLM haters really like computers or technology

In a lot of ways the reverse is true. The LLM coding ecosystem seems designed by people who are unaware or actively despise the fact that they have access to a computer, and almost the entire point of LLMs is to make interacting with computers less like interacting with computers and more like interacting with people.

quadrifoliate a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> We're talking to a machine, folks.

And? I didn't sign up to talk to a machine.

Has it actually made your daily life better? All I see as a result of LLMs is endless slop everywhere, plateauing in the skill levels of coworkers, and badly informed people in management positions pushing the humans to meet impossible deadlines because "otherwise we'll replace you with a cheaper worker and an LLM".

I am an LLM optimist, but I'll be honest and say it hasn't made my life better. My optimism relies on the models plateauing, and people finally rebelling against the widespread slop to realize that LLMs are just another (very useful!) tool, but don't meaningfully replace people in any capacity.

ilteris a day ago | parent | next [-]

What did you sign up for and what would make your life better in this context? Give us a north star

vidarh a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It has made my daily life better. It has built software for me that I've wanted but previously didn't have time for, for example.

quadrifoliate a day ago | parent | next [-]

Great! How does this software enhance your daily life? Has it given you more leisure time by leading to less work?

glimshe 16 hours ago | parent [-]

He literally said it made his life better. Building software with AI can also be a leisure activity.

qsera 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

>It has built software for me that I've wanted but previously didn't have time for..

Don't leave us hanging, let us know what was this software for?

fatata123 a day ago | parent | prev [-]

[dead]

wewewedxfgdf a day ago | parent | prev [-]

Twice now you have said "I am an LLM optimist" and then spoken as an LLM pessimist.

rayiner a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> I just can't believe that LLM haters really like computers or technology, because we haven't seen anything this interesting in decades.

Yup. As someone who thinks computing has been in decline since Mac OS X 10.4, LLMs are the first major tech trend that I've been impressed by in 20 years.

hollerith 16 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I used to like computers and technology, then I realized AI is really dangerous. Getting back on topic, I admit that AI is very useful and will become much more so between now and when it kills us all or permanently dis-empowers us in some other way.

m463 a day ago | parent | prev [-]

I see this pattern in a lot of things.

- people who preach against PV solar... while people I actually know broke even 10 or more years ago and have been happily getting "free power" for a lot of their needs

- people who preach against electric cars... while people I actually know are driving them with no "range anxiety" or "replaced main batteries", but their non-engineer spouse/kids are driving the cars fine too.

- people who preach that tesla self driving isn't viable/etc... while lots of people are using tesla to drive themselves around for > 90% of their driving