I agree, but no one is going to change their track and this is something that neither the EU-27 nor the US nor anyone else has power over now.

And it's not like this wasn't known - we were literally modeling this kind of a standoff at the Belfer Center almost 15 years ago.

What I am trying to say is arguing from a moralistic or humanity standpoint doesn't help because that's not how decisionmakers think, and that requires accepting agency across multiple players.

We need to accept we are fucked, and based on the cards we have in our hand understand what will happen next.