| ▲ | phlakaton 6 hours ago | |
1. The global temperature has never in human history done what it's doing now. 2. Weather isn't the same as climate. They operate on way different scales and timelines. Uncertainty in the one does not necessarily map to uncertainty in the other. 3. Climate change is most definitely not a solved problem. We know some big things we can do, and none of them are easy. | ||
| ▲ | nDRDY 5 hours ago | parent [-] | |
1. The further back we go, the less reliable the methods of estimating such properties. We only have values for a "global temperature" from the past few years or so. 2. Weather and climate are names for the same underlying nonlinear system. This system is the archetype of a chaotic system - predictions of values and corresponding locations becomes increasingly unreliable and then impossible on larger timescales. Climate modelling was the very thing that lead to our current understanding of sensitive dependence on initial conditions. | ||