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glimshe an hour ago

4) There's nothing terribly special about Anthropic. No moat.

causal an hour ago | parent [-]

Agreed, but my suspicion is tied to the timing. Catching up eventually is to be expected. Having similar jumps in capability ready at the same time is odd.

dash2 36 minutes ago | parent [-]

Maybe "readiness" is quite a flexible category? You're mid-training for your next model; a rival releases something; you clear the boards and release the model without completing the training run?

causal 32 minutes ago | parent [-]

Touche, aborted training runs probably do happen often. Closed model providers have zero incentive to announce a new model with less-than-best benchmarks.