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yread 12 hours ago

It will probably be warm but this is from the GFS model that was forecasting 50 degrees during the last heat wave. Apparently, it tends to "overegg temperature projections for Europe in the summer by around 2-2.5c. ... it dries out soil too fast in its models."

https://www.reddit.com/r/weather/comments/1um7tyn/sometimes_...

Arodex 12 hours ago | parent | next [-]

This is a two week forecast, one month ago. There is no good two week forecast.

There is a heat wave right now, again.

yread 7 hours ago | parent [-]

Exactly! The reddit link is from a run from one month ago, predicting that the previous heatwave will be 49 degrees. Now we know that it was "just" 43 or so. So we know that this model tends to overestimate the temperature

b800h 12 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

The soil is quite dry already.