Fair question, we are more on a edge (which who can say when truly til after the fact) but what I see as someone who has privilged position and data into global trade, GDP mandates, and monetary policy and its effects on the private sector is this:

We are locked in a GDP fight globally between powers, triggering real world trade wars and hot wars based on a few hidden factors:

1) A far worse fertiltiy crisis than is publicly known (including timelines to its real effects being far closer)

2) An overabbundance of currency needing to find return in increasingly speculative arenas, an a levered debt system built that REQUIRES that return or risks catastrophic failure

3) A GDP fight globally where in the first to falter triggers a hot war

4) A collapse in social contract between workers and capital class, where in capital class have now publically stated they believe workers are no longer a neccesarry class (contradicting the real terms of point 1)

5) A set of economic rules that are being broken, sending us into the 'no playbook' zone of global stability

This is an ultra toxic mix that is showing up all at once.