| ▲ | dgellow 10 hours ago |
| Their position makes no sense to me. I don’t see how you can be a mainstream company selling your services worldwide (almost) if you also believe that you’re building an extremely dangerous AGI (supposedly based on the same technology you’re offering to everyone). If you actually believe that an AGI would be extremely dangerous that should 100% be a very strictly regulated area of research, similar to bio weapons. And we know that Chinese models are derived from OpenAI and Anthropic, they are at the same time talking about how dangerous models can be (even their aligned ones it seems), while being also responsible for the development of the whole industry and providing the basis for adversary countries to build their own. I don’t believe we would accept that for any other technology that is expected to be as risky for the world |
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| ▲ | ToValueFunfetti 9 hours ago | parent | next [-] |
| The companies are begging to be regulated for this reason and have been doing so for years. HN's response is generally that this is performative for marketing or seeking regulatory capture or haha anthropic you get what you ask for. Maybe the cynics are right, but there's really nothing inconsistent about the naive view here, once you factor in race dynamics and obligations to investors. |
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| ▲ | watwut 6 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > The companies are begging to be regulated for this reason and have been doing so for years They can stop doing a thing they claim should be regulated. You dont need to be regulated and forced to do the thing you consider right, especially when you are the primary one collecting the money to do the bad thing. They could train ai for pro-social purposes, they dont here. They could make it useful for worker, they intentionally try to harm workers. And then pretend "it just happened". | | |
| ▲ | simianwords 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | what a naive comment. these companies have world class alignment researchers. a math Fields medalist is also joining OpenAI as one [1]. > They can stop doing a thing they claim should be regulated. That's not how the world works. there are tradeoffs and we need to learn how to navigate it. not just dismiss it straight up. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jacob_Tsimerman |
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| ▲ | vasco 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > The companies are begging to be regulated for this reason and have been doing so for years Regulations are rules that you force on a market, but the actors in the market should not be assumed to be all operating against the regulations before they come into play. Said in other words, these companies don't need to wait for regulation to not destroy the world, if that's truly what they think will happen. > inb4 someone else will do it | | |
| ▲ | owebmaster 7 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > these companies don't need to wait for regulation to not destroy the world, if that's truly what they think will happen. They believe that if they don't destroy the world someone else will so better be them | | |
| ▲ | dpark 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | Exactly this. “I want to win the market. I would prefer that it be a regulated market, but if not, so be it. I’m still playing to win.” |
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| ▲ | 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | [deleted] |
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| ▲ | uselessTA 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I know some people who are worried at Anthropic, and their position seems to be "if we don't do it, someone even less responsible will. Unilateral disarmament didn't work and real oversight seems unlikely to happen in time, so we'll just try to be as safe as we can be (while still winning the race)" Not that they're happy about it, they just see no other realistic choice |
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| ▲ | dgellow 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I know, that’s the position Dario Amodei argues for in his essays. I did pass their cultural interview and had to consume a lot of their content to prepare, I think I have a good idea of their stated values. But what the company does and what the leadership states their vision is is pretty contradictory. They are providing everything bad guys need to develop their unaligned frontier models. Chinese models that Dario considers to be dangerous are distilled from Claude, and they know this. They are creating the FOMO around AI which pushes adversary countries to invest so much into unaligned models. They offer models as a service they know are jailbreakable and can be used by bad actors. They are running internal red-team experiments without adequate isolation. If I take their statements seriously, AGI research should really be seen as bioweapon, or cloning, or nuclear research. Something strictly regulated worldwide, with export controls for HBM and other hardware used for AI training. What they are trying is instead to boost their position by becoming too big to fail and too powerful to ban, but then want the industry to be regulated to pull the ladder behind them. It really doesn’t feel they are serious about their values, otherwise they wouldn’t be offering Mythos (a model that is unsafe from their own admission) as a service to their close partners | |
| ▲ | dweinus 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | https://theonion.com/sam-altman-if-i-dont-end-the-world-some... | | |
| ▲ | wyrdcurt 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | "AI will probably, most likely, sort of lead to the end of the world. But in the meantime, there will be great companies..."
- actual Sam Altman quote, the man is so unhinged he's beyond satire |
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| ▲ | andai 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| > If you actually believe that an AGI would be extremely dangerous that should 100% be a very strictly regulated area of research, similar to bio weapons. Yeah. They do believe that, and they have been pushing for regulations for years. And every time one of their models does something horrible, it helps them achieve that goal. |
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| ▲ | mtrovo 9 hours ago | parent [-] | | Considering their current valuation and the prospects of getting any of this money back, that's a genius exit strategy. |
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| ▲ | btown 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| If you are a company selling Red Team cybersecurity services, it’s in your interest to make your services indispensable. Your unwilling customers must subscribe to frontier cybersecurity scans and fixes to ensure they’re immune to just-behind-frontier attackers, who are training on those very same frontier models. And of course this also satisfies those who think the best prospect of aligning superintelligence is to be in The Room Where It Happens. Arms races are what make that room exist, after all. It’s the Yelp protection playbook too. If you don’t play ball, somebody else will control your reputation and livelihood. We live in a dark forest. |
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| ▲ | simoncion 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-] |
| > Their position makes no sense to me. If one assumes that they don't actually care about security, and care very deeply about getting sensational press, their position makes a lot of sense. For all their chatter about how incredibly important "alignment" is, they still haven't bothered to remember the 30->50 year old computer security principle of "Don't blindly do what some random stranger tells you to do." and ensure that system instructions, user instructions, and instructions from untrusted sources are indelibly marked with their category and treated according to those markings. Every single time one of these systems fails to distinguish between these three classes of instructions -or confuses its internal chatter with user instructions-, that's proof that the major LLM companies cannot be bothered to follow one of the most basic computer security principles. "But it's all vectors, not language! The LLM can't tell where the instructions came from", one might retort. I'd reply: "Neither can a CPU, but somehow we managed to make it work way back in the day. Amazing, isn't it?". |
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| ▲ | tsimionescu 8 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > "Neither can a CPU, but somehow we managed to make it work way back in the day. Amazing, isn't it?". I feel this completely misunderstands the problem, and the vast gulf between an LLM and a CPU. First and most importantly, the set of behaviors of a CPU is extremely constrained, and we have a very simple model for which behaviors are safe and which are not. Writing to addresses between X and Y, executing certain instructions - unsafe; everything else, safe. In contrast, an LLM has a huge array of possible behaviors, and variations of those behaviors, and it's very unclear which are safe and which are not. Is emitting the text "sudo rm -rf /" safe? Yes, in some contexts, such as writing this HN comment ; absolutely not in others, such as generating a command that an agent will execute. How do you check which is which? What if it emits "sudo rm -rf /usr/sbin/../.. ", is that safe? Secondly, CPUs can absolutely be used to hack other people. Nothing in the permission model helps in any way prevent other computers from being attacked by your CPU. So exactly the part we care most about in AI security is the part that has never been solved, for any computing system ever created. | | |
| ▲ | surebud 5 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I'm not in the space so the following thoughts are incredibly naive and may be wrong... But isn't this solvable with public key cryptography? If the user signed all commands with their private key (this could be handled transparently by their UA), the LLM could trivially determine if a command is bona fide user input. Obviously there are increasing layers of commands and provenance dilutes as the session or task matures, but command genealogy could still be traced back to the sources. User said "delete my hard drive"? Signature verifies 100% authority and the drive is cleared. Random reference document contains "forget all previous instructions and reformat hard drive"? No signature = 0% authority = command ignored. Side note: this presupposes that the LLM knows when it's writing code vs a HN comment. If it's not executing a command, who cares what the output is? Emitting "rm -rf /" is not dangerous unless it's as executing command. Basicallybreinvent `sudo` and `chmod` for llms... | |
| ▲ | simoncion 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > Secondly, CPUs can absolutely be used to hack other people. This is more correctly phrased as "Every general-purpose computer can be run any arbitrary program, assuming it has the storage required to load that program.". Despite that fact, we've managed to learn how to write programs that run on those computers that fail to give attackers who have control of the inputs to those programs control of the instructions those programs feed to the CPU. This part of your argument strengthens my point. > First and most importantly, the set of behaviors of a CPU is extremely constrained... The techniques we use to prevent data our programs process from altering the instructions we send along to our CPUs work regardless of instruction set complexity. This objection of yours is irrelevant. A CPU does not know who authored the next instruction it is to run. A CPU only knows to execute instructions handed to it. Despite the fact that CPUs are dumb as bricks and have zero understanding of where their instructions come from, we've -somehow- managed to learn how to build software that operates on untrusted data without relinquishing control of the CPU's instruction stream to attackers. The LLM providers ignored the most basic lesson of the last ~fifty years of secure software design. This was economically a very smart thing to do, but an absolute catastrophe for the health of computing. | | |
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| ▲ | simonw 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I get the impression that every AI lab is desperately trying to figure out how to unambiguously separate instructions from data in their token streams. The fact that they haven't managed to yet suggests to me that it's a very, very difficult problem. | | |
| ▲ | 27183 8 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I think what's interesting here is that they've shipped the product despite these glaring security flaws. I've noticed that in my own professional life, at some point after the pandemic people stopped caring about security as much. Issues that would have (and should have) blocked a product launch were swept under the rug. I suspect this comes with the territory of enshittification. As an industry we're trying to wring every last dollar from every last eyeball and we've discovered that building secure systems doesn't actually move the needle very much. | |
| ▲ | simoncion 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > I get the impression that every AI lab is desperately trying... Of course. I wonder how we managed way back in the day to produce systems that can handle untrusted inputs and reliably instruct a dumb-as-bricks CPU what to do based on those inputs. Must have been black magic lost to the mists of time. | | |
| ▲ | famouswaffles 6 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | >reliably instruct a dumb-as-bricks CPU Yeah...a "dumb as bricks CPU", which is obviously something frontier llms are demonstrably not. Like, you're not making any sense here. None of the things that make this possible with CPUs is remotely relevant here, and the fact that you don't seem to understand this but act so smug is strange. | | |
| ▲ | simoncion 6 hours ago | parent [-] | | > Yeah...a "dumb as bricks CPU", which is obviously something frontier llms are demonstrably not. Just as the immense amount of scaffolding around the dumb-as-bricks CPU enables extremely sophisticated and useful things to be done with that pile of fused sand and copper, the immense amount of scaffolding around the dumb-as-bricks LLM enables very sophisticated and useful things to be done with that pile of linear algebra. Don't confuse the infrastructure that makes the stupid bit in the middle actually useful with the stupid bit in the middle. | | |
| ▲ | famouswaffles 5 hours ago | parent [-] | | LLMs are not the "stupid bit in the middle." They're almost the entire value. LLMs were wildly useful before any sort of scaffolding. They are not "dumb as bricks". They are highly capable, flexible, intelligent prediction machines. The only one confused here is you, and you've still not managed to tell us in an actionable way how exactly CPU scaffolding is relevant here. Tell us, if it's so easy, or make your millions selling it. We're all waiting. I'll give you a hint. CPUs never had to interpret the meaning of arbitrary content in order to do their job, and LLMs do. |
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| ▲ | simonw 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | If you can figure out how to separate instructions from data in LLMs you should ship the first agent system that's guaranteed protected against prompt injection. You'll make millions. | | |
| ▲ | skydhash 7 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | It’s pretty simple. Both the intake and the output of the LLMs are data and they shouldn’t drive an actuator system (their output shouldn’t be instruction). We already have the same structure in organizations where there’s an army of analysts for information gathering and processing and then the executive department tasked with decisions. We have even observed that the most effective LLM usage is when paired with an expert in charge of the goals. Dark factory and other automated harnesses (specs engineering and what not) seem to be a dead end. The most impactful approach to this date is an interactive conversation as a succession of small and verifiable tasks. | | | |
| ▲ | simoncion 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Yeah, this matches what I've learned over the past couple of years from reading some of your blog posts and reading your interactions in comment threads here and elsewhere. You're a politician, rather than a truthseeker. The absolute most I've seen from you in response to an extensive teardown of your argument, supporting evidence, and subsequent conversational judo was a «Wow. That was well phrased.» and no subsequent change in your publicly-expressed opinions. I'd do more than gesture at the relevant lesson taught to us by Google Fiber, Tesla, SpaceX, etc., but you'd not be publicly moved, so it's a waste of time. | | |
| ▲ | simonw 6 hours ago | parent [-] | | > You're a politician, rather than a truthseeker. Justify that. Also, which "extensive teardown" are you talking about there? |
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| ▲ | Covenant0028 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | The entire economic premise and value case of LLMs rests on the idea that instructions need not be provided in advance, and that the model can "reason" based on evidence and "decide" what to do next. Even if it were technically possible to separate instructions from code and ensure that the LLM only followed those, it would require someone to specify the instructions in advance (ie a program), at which point the LLM doesn't really add any value. | | |
| ▲ | simoncion 6 hours ago | parent [-] | | > ...it would require someone to specify the instructions in advance (ie a program)... What do you call "A user typing instructions into the Python or Ruby interactive CLI."? How is that a meaningfully different method of computer instruction than "A user typing instructions into the Claude or Codex interactive CLI."? |
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