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extr 7 hours ago

I would be really curious to hear from devs at Databricks what the experience of development is like internally. I work at a small startup with essentially unlimited AI spend budget - the entire point is that I should be turning to it at every opportunity since our human labor is so expensive relative to tokens. So generally it's like:

- Spend most time prioritizing/discussing what to do.

- Once that's agreed, use Fable 5 High + 5.6 Sol XHigh come up with a design + plan. Agree on the high level plan. (Usually this just comes down to choosing where the change belongs on the spectrum between minimal patch <-> full redesign)

- Use Opus 5 or Sol Med to execute

- Auto-fix bugs and CI until green + thermonuclear review skill x3.

- Manual interrogation of change/nits

- Come up with QA plan and have Codex Computer Use execute on it

- Manually spot check the final result (usually a sizable diff, thousands of lines, complete feature E2E, etc)

I probably spend like $80 a day at least but I produce the output of 3 or 4 2022 engineers and probably at better quality. So it's easily worth it. Would I save money by switching to GLM 5.2 and such...perhaps? IDK. At our scale it's not worth the time spent building the eval harness to actually understand the performance tradeoff.

pizza234 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

In our team's experience, the product of agents is generally The Homer (1). It does work, but it's vastly overengineered.

When I personally want tight code, I have to spend a considerable amount of time adjusting it manually:

- It needs to be trimmed down. In my experience, at least one agent I use struggles to produce minimalist designs, and it's very frustrating

- I need to consider whether there are solutions based on higher-level assumptions, that AIs typically miss

- I need to check whether there are off-the-shelf solutions - AIs like to reinvent the wheel

IMO, software production has become a mass-produced commodity in every sense - it's much more expensive to produce software manually, but the quality is not the same.

(1) https://simpsons.fandom.com/wiki/The_Homer

dieselgate 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

It took me a few seconds of deliberating if The Homer was a reference to baseball or "The Odyssey" and then realized there was a footnote

> software production has become a mass-produced commodity in every sense - it's much more expensive to produce software manually, but the quality is not the same.

Agreed.

GoofGarage 2 hours ago | parent [-]

I believe “The Homer” is a reference to Season 2, Episode 15 of The Simpsons, “Oh Brother, Where Art Thou?”

Homer reunites with his long lost brother, who runs car company Powell Motors. Homer is ultimately tasked by his brother with helping to design a car for the “average man” that ultimately bankrupts the company for being wildly overengineered and costing too much ($82,000 in 1991-money).

Here’s the car: https://simpsons.fandom.com/wiki/The_Homer

pianopatrick 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

If software has become a mass-produced commodity then seems to me the software business will become a much more finance focused business

You will really have to weigh the cost of making the software against the expected revenue.

roncesvalles 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Since software is still a winner-takes-all market, the mass-production property of software doesn't really matter.

In such markets, what you produce is either worth nothing or worth millions of dollars. For as long as it's the case that well-constructed code (with or without LLM help) is more likely to be in the latter category, the economics of software don't really change.

Even before LLMs, you could've commissioned a half-assed clone of any app you wanted from a 3rd world consultancy for a few thousand dollars. LLMs are basically Bangalore-as-API.

pianopatrick 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

I think part of the reason software was winner take most was the difficulty of making software.

I remember hearing a story that in the past movies were so technically difficult to make that any movie that got made had a good chance to be a profitable hit. But as movies got cheaper to make, more movies got made. Nowadays movie studio execs have to really calculate out the audience and expected revenue for any new movie and balance that against the budget and the cost of the studio's failed movies.

I think a similar dynamic may happen in software

hyperadvanced an hour ago | parent [-]

That honestly sounds a lot healthier than “just ship what the CTO/Product team wants” with as much hand waving as is necessary to very roughly estimate ROI and then pray it hits with the market. In anything that’s not a startup operating in a new industry, the “old way” is a hard way to run a business

oblio 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> Since software is still a winner-takes-all market, the mass-production property of software doesn't really matter.

Fairly sure software dev was always an iceberg. Most software and most software devs aren't working on horizontal software, but on vertical software, in cost centers. Sales for that kind of software don't scale as much.

roncesvalles 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Most vertical software is just horizontal software glued together

frevib 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

No surprise, LLM companies optimize for waste. More tokens, and more prompts means more revenue. Reminds of Google’s Prabhakar Raghavan story: deliberately making search worse [1]

[1]: https://pluralistic.net/2024/04/24/naming-names/#prabhakar-r...

nomel an hour ago | parent [-]

Or, more likely, it's that concise code requires a much deeper, wholistic, understanding that these models just are capable of yet.

Same with a junior dev. They don't write long form spaghetti because they're trying to write more LOC. They do it because not doing it is hard, literally above their pay grade.

I use LLM every day, but they're still completely awful at architecture. I don't think this clear lack of ability is some conspiracy.

eitally 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

As a business user, the same thing is true for non-code documents. The biggest exertion is reducing the excessive slop down to concise, clear points.

sublinear 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> software production has become a mass-produced commodity

For who?

The public? The public has never liked buying software at any price.

Businesses? Businesses need higher quality software when it's relevant to their core competencies, so they hire people instead. Buying competing SaaS or depending too much on AI is throwing the baby out with the bathwater.

extr 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

This was more true a few months ago but Fable has improved the situation considerably.

Also just remember - minimalist code looks and feels great but customers do not read your code. I have caught myself many times providing "corrections" to abstractions that were already ~fine, just not perfect. The average SWE costs $200/hr. Careful you don't burn $50 worrying about code that will likely be rewritten or can be better abstracted when that's actually needed.

dieselgate 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> The average SWE costs $200/hr

This is a pointless quibble but the hourly rate claim is not true--it's like ~$60 in the USA [0]. Maybe you meant at a specific Org but this is important context when comparing "pricing" between human and AI.

[0] https://www.salaryexpert.com/salary/job/software-developer/u...

extr 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

How is this not true? Taking a Senior SWE @ ~$200K, even just the base salary cost / 2080 working hours is $100/hr. Fully loaded employer cost + accounting for non-coding time gets you to upper 100s easily.

Even for a junior making $100K, I have a hard time believe their time is worth less than $75/hr or so.

Edit: Fine, "Senior" is not "Average". But naive salary is not the true numerator.

pdhborges 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

   I have a hard time believe their time is worth less than $75/hr or so.
In many places in Europe it is.
Foobar8568 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Western Europe is mostly consultancy, and the rate paid by client is usually higher, and doesn't matter if it's eastern Europe, Portugal or even India.

rustystump 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

It is. And the quality is on par with any us eng. People here forget that the big comp packages are a minority even in the US. The cost tho is much higher than just salary.

anon73044 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Company time != Pay rate, if you're working somewhere that's publicly traded check out "revenue per employee" metrics sometime.

jknoepfler 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I hire contractors for a large enterprise in the US. The going rate is typically $85-$100/hr for a senior dev, depending on specialization. Lead-level maybe $120 for the right skill set.

sublinear 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Of course, the SWEs making that much (over 200k) are not representative of the broader field. That's the point.

Pay hits a ceiling, and that ceiling is moving lower regardless of experience. That has nothing to do with AI, but what the market will bear. Hiring counts of humans must increase no matter what. Moving some of the spend to AI reduces the risk of hiring less qualified employees they might have rejected a decade ago.

Wages at the top end are stagnating to subsidize this. That's undeniable.

copperx 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

$15, where we're going.

fragmede 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Federal minimum wage is $7.25 per hour

russellbeattie 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

An MBA's rule of thumb is that a full time employee's hourly cost to a business is at least 1.5x to 2x times their salary depending on employer taxes, benefits, offices, travel, training, hardware, perks, etc.

BobbyJo 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Minimalist code is necessary to keep AI agents working well for longer than a month on a system IME. At a certain point, their own machinations overwhelm them and they both slow down, and make worse and worse decisions.

gracehenry45 6 hours ago | parent [-]

[dead]

sejje 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Also, you can probably think about it like this:

"Will I benefit from this code being minimalist before [date]", where [date] is whenever you think the agent will be good enough to come back and make the corrections you would make today.

j-bos 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> The average SWE costs $200/hr.

And this is how I find out I'm woefully underpaid.

icedchai 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

That "cost" includes all the overhead provided by the company: benefits, rent for offices, utilities, equipment, etc. The average SWE is not taking home anything close to that, outside of Silicon Valley and a few other limited areas.

jacquesm 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Whatever you are making this year as SWE you'll be making less next year if the current trend in improvement of AI coding aids is going to be sustained. Think about it : programmers used to derive a lot of their value from the fact that it was a hard skill to acquire. My kids can now 'vibe code' stuff faster (and better looking) than what I could come up with as the beginnings of a design plan. And then I still need to implement it.

alfalfasprout 5 hours ago | parent [-]

There's a massive difference between your kids vibe coding something and an engineer using AI to implement something. If you're unable to discern the difference, that's something to reflect on :)

throw-the-towel 5 hours ago | parent [-]

It doesn't matter if GP is able to discern the difference, it matters if your CEO is forced to care about the difference.

slopinthebag 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

The average SWE makes $400k a year? Are you being serious?

fragmede 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Costs, not makes. That includes employer taxes, benefits, offices, travel, training, hardware, any perks.

reqo 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

IME this works until it does not. This approach works well at the beginning of a greenfield project, but at the same time because it is so easy to add features, you will likely ship something that is way too over engineered. And that complexity will not amortize over next increments and will more likely lead to the entire project being a black box only fully understood by AI. However a more careful use of AI for targeted surgical changes is far more ”productive” in the long term IMO.

extr 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Disagree. I operate this way inside a multi-million line legacy codebase.

nujabe 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> I work at a small startup

How does a “small startup” end up with a multi million line “legacy” codebase? Something not mathing

darkwater 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> How does a “small startup” end up with a multi million line “legacy” codebase?

Easy! The output of 6 months ago Opus! Which seemed so wonderful at the time.

champagnepapi 5 hours ago | parent [-]

This! I don't think folks understand how easy it is to go from greenfield to brownfield with these tools, esp if your organization is only valuing velocity. Meaning your doing full agentic development on large features, barely reviewing any code, and shipping without much refinement. It's insane, but this appears to be the status quo in SF startups.

extr 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Have you worked at many startups?

Karrot_Kream 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Something isn't clear about the size of your codebase here and the level of reliability your customers expect, as a reader of your comments. Clarity there will help.

My observation has been:

- Initial greenfield work by an LLM is fast and very effective with minimal or no human oversight.

- Subsequent work ends up being over engineered and very verbose. Assumptions are made that aren't suited to the problem at hand (for example I find Fable is extremely regex happy where structured data would work much better from a readability perspective.)

- Once code bloats beyond a certain point due to unguided LLM usage, complexity is high enough that only LLMs can operate on the codebase with any economical amount of time.

- Rinse repeat and your code ends up unclear about any state that's not explicitly being tested and verified in QA loops

For some of our products this has been fine, for others it's been problematic. An understanding of your size and reliability requirements will help make the conversation more productive.

extr 6 hours ago | parent [-]

> unguided LLM usage

Why aren't you guiding your LLM usage? Is that what I said - to spam it and not guide anything? Or to have a careful workflow where you agree on design and maximize your human judgement/leverage?

> any state that's not explicitly being tested and verified in QA loops

As opposed to before, when engineers perfectly reasoned about code behavior from first principals and QA was unnecessary?

Karrot_Kream 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> Why aren't you guiding your LLM usage? Is that what I said - to spam it and not guide anything? Or to have a careful workflow where you agree on design and maximize your human judgement/leverage?

You didn't say anything positively or negatively regarding this so I made an assumption that you were using the LLM relatively unguided (e.g. a bit of oversight, not the kind of thing that heavy code reviews used to involve pre-agents.) Feel free to add clarity on your actual usage loop.

> As opposed to before, when engineers perfectly reasoned about code behavior from first principals and QA was unnecessary?

In my experience, most engineers are quite good at reasoning about code behavior for non-QAed code paths. Obviously things fall through the cracks. But I've been in the ground floor of plenty of Big Techs in their early stages before agents and, yes, a lot of initial development had spotty test coverage and yet most of the engineers had good mental models of what was happening. It used to be a very valuable skill to wrap your head around a torrid piece of code with few or no tests but was nonetheless a core piece of your application. Conversely, agentic development can bring cognitive debt [1].

===

This isn't a fight. We aren't sparring over what's right and wrong. I'm just curious how other people use agents in their work as someone who is also now in a startup that uses LLM agents heavily and has no limitations on spend.

[1]: https://martinfowler.com/fragments/2026-02-09.html

sbarre 5 hours ago | parent [-]

> You didn't say anything positively or negatively regarding this so I made an assumption that you were using the LLM relatively unguided

I feel like this statement betrays your lack of advanced experience coding with LLMs.

OP's elaboration of the steps they are going through (planning, agreeing on plan, getting one LLM to draft execution plan, approving it, then executing with a separate LLM, then reviewing/testing) made it super obvious to me that they are guiding their LLMs quite considerably as part of their work.

Anyone making blanket statements about LLMs producing garbage is just telling on themselves about not having proper SDLC practices in place.

Karrot_Kream 4 hours ago | parent [-]

Planning, agreeing on a plan, separating planning and implementation LLM, using separate review LLMs, these are all table stakes. This isn't "guidance" if you're getting paid to write software. If you think "unguided" means "I typed a prompt into claude code and waited yolo" I don't know what to say but, you have a very different idea of what professionals do than I do.

I find for my own work that I need to read the diff the LLM produces then offer feedback on the diff in its own loop before I am satisfied, and this is after all the unattended QA steps through Codex Computer or Claude MCPs happen. Then auto reviewers come in and then reviewers come in. Of course, at our stage, we rarely have this luxury and it's only reserved for the very core of our codebase.

This is still much less guidance than we used to do for code before agents became popular. Even at Series A companies, before agents, we used to socialize tech specs, get buy-in from multiple engineers, create test plans, etc etc.

> Anyone making blanket statements about LLMs producing garbage is just telling on themselves about not having proper SDLC practices in place.

> I feel like this statement betrays your lack of advanced experience coding with LLMs.

Are we in school debate club? I don't know what's going on lol, I'm just curious how people are using LLMs! Is it just that irresistable to take a cheap shot at each other?

sbarre 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> Are we in school debate club?

Not that I know of but that's the conclusion I drew from your statement.

It's not a cheap shot unless you took it personally?

I suppose I could have said "the fact that OP's explanation of how they work did not lead you to conclude they were in fact guiding their LLM usage quite a bit tells me that perhaps you have not been working with LLMs in any advanced capacity".

For the SDLC comment I admit it was a broader statement (based on observing people generalizing that "LLMs produce bad outputs") and not specifically aimed at you, and I didn't make that clear, so my bad.

skinfaxi an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> If you think "unguided" means "I typed a prompt into claude code and waited yolo" I don't know what to say but, you have a very different idea of what professionals do than I do.

What exactly does "unguided" mean to you, then?

extr 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> "unguided" means "I typed a prompt into claude code and waited yolo"

Yes, this is literally what that means.

Foobar8568 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

AI is an accelerate tool for any organizations, management thinks it'll solve their organization issue because it accelerates it. Most often, it accelerates toward a wall.

Design is too expensive, we do agile. QA too expensive, we fire all of them, and claim devops is the now, which allows us to fire the Ops team too, 100% ownership from deisng to ops on devs.

One person with an agent can replace all these teams. Yeah mo profits.

nujabe 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

No, but not relevant.

What is the point of working at a startup if you’re dealing with millions of lines of legacy code ? Isn’t the whole point of startups to create & innovate with a clean slate and modern tools?

extr 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

No, actually. The point is to build a profitable business.

sarchertech 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

How long has your startup been around? I’ve worked at plenty of startups over the past 20 years. Including one that was still calling themselves a startup 10 years out. The org I work at now was a startup before my tech giant employer acquired them. We have a very bloated and very profitable 8 year old codebase that is barely 500k LOC.

I’ve never seen a startup with a multi million line legacy codebase.

dgellow 4 hours ago | parent [-]

They may have forked something

sarchertech 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Definitely possible, but up thread they wrote:

>”Have you worked at many startups?”

In response to a question about a legacy codebase at a startup. That implies that they think whatever they are doing is common. And forking a multi million line codebase and heavily developing it isn’t common for startups.

fatata123 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

[dead]

chris_money202 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I don't know if that's the whole point, but I agree with the sentiment, why would a startup be working in legacy code and where would that code come from if this is truly the start of something.

OP might just be working at a small software company or for one that broke from a bigger one and is now "startup" like?

icedchai 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

You'd be surprised. I met a guy last week who was proud to tell me he had vibe coded an almost 2 million line code base. The app did not sound that complicated, so I'm assuming it's full of copy-pasta flavored slop.

gamblor956 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

"startup" and "legacy codebase" are diametrically opposed concepts.

And if you're saying (based on your other comments) that a 6 month window is enough to create a legacy codebase...that indicates a serious lack of experience or understanding as to what a legacy codebase is, or why they exist.

sbarre 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Man, so many people in this thread just arguing pointless semantics, making weirdo absolutist (and incorrect) statements.

Accept that other people may ascribe different meanings/interpretations to words than you, and that if your reading of their statement doesn't make sense to you, perhaps you are simply reading it wrong.

Trying to hold someone else to your definition of words suits what purpose exactly? Are you just trying to "win" ?

extr 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Yes lol. Of all things people are getting on me for it's the number of LoC x Years In Business of this startup. I don't fucking know, I didn't start the company and I wasn't here for several of those industrious years. Looking now it looks like we have slightly fewer LoC than that, I was counting some of the generated stuff.

But who cares? The point is any codebase over a few years old with lots of customers and a big surface area has lots of code, much of it "legacy" from the standpoint of a guy in 2026.

rustystump 2 hours ago | parent [-]

You are wrong and they are wrong but that is ok.

loose-cannon 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I agree with your larger point. Though I think it's pretty natural to wonder how the poster ended up with a multi million line codebase.

sbarre 2 hours ago | parent [-]

2M lines of code is 15 people committing ~26k lines of code per year (~100 lines per working day) for 5 years.

15 people is a pretty small startup, what if this is a 50-person startup?

Doesn't seem like that much to me, depending on what you're building and the size of your team.

rustystump 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

This is an ultra cop out. There are standards in language that are not all “left means right for me so you cannot assume when i say right it is right and not left”

This whole thread around loc is depressing. It speaks volumes of some peoples inexperience working on actual legacy code. Legacy code is not just age or size but that the technical foundation is dated in a fundamental way. A giant monolith running on a now defunk framework using a database only one guy in canada knows about.

Case and point in my day job. The org that owns XMM development does not know how to recover a physical bench that is bricked because everyone who knew how has left. So now they just use simulators…

Interestingly, AI figured out some of this pretty easily for me. But the org has the exact same AI as i do. At the same time another org is close to a year into a greenfield rewrite that has been developed via agentic swarms. Absolute trainwreck.

AI doesnt make bad engineers good. Anyone who says they are doing 4 eng work likely would be without ai too. Those that claim otherwise, are the bad engineers.

nujabe 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

exactly. Usually legacy code forms when people lose context and confidence in parts of the codebase due to staff turnover etc and ppl avoid touching or enhancing those parts for long periods. Six months is a short time to accrue that much tech debt, its enough time where most of the people who created that "legacy" are probably still around. As you said indicates bigger problems.

hunterpayne 5 hours ago | parent [-]

So basically any LLM codebase of sufficient size is immediately legacy.

4 hours ago | parent [-]
[deleted]
vonneumannstan 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Wow how many years of experience with Claude Code and Codex do you have? lol

hunterpayne 5 hours ago | parent [-]

The job requires 10 years of those technologies ;)

jchook 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

This is very close to my workflow but you forgot one important step:

- Suggest a better approach that makes the AI say, “That’s much simpler. And you’re right. My original plan was over-engineered.”

RugnirViking 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Do you have issues with performance at the moment? Right now I tend to find that it produces absolutely terrible design patterns and especially performance. I mean maybe I don't know exactly what area you're looking at but yeah for us we tend to find it's terrible wrt dB/caching/scaling and often any performance improvements it proposes end up actually shooting itself in the foot and being worse than before but it's not very good at testing in an organized way to even notice it made it worse despite repeated prompts to do so I mean if I prompt it to test performance in a handheld structured way (it is very bad at finding out what performance to test and why) before making changes I can usually figure it out but it usually takes insistence on the specifics to really ensure a good solution that will actually fix the problem

extr 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Performance is better than ever. It's never been more practical to set up wildly complex synthetic test environments and measure perf wins. Plus the models will find every possible algorithmic/design improvement.

It actually gives me quite an uncanny feeling, bulldozing over years of human optimization work with a newer, "perfect" design. Like bringing an AK-47 back to the middle ages.

RugnirViking 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> the models will find every possible algorithmic/design improvement

it's so hard to square such totalizing statements with my day to day experience with fable and sol, (every possible, improvement, really?? they are NOT omniscient) arguing with them/my colleagues' agents that no they have slowed down the system 200x with their terrible change, doing string operations on millions of db rows, trying to get it to understand that I don't care that it's calling it a "cache" if a cache hit is slower than what we had before.

These agents do let you learn codebases quickly, and produce code way faster. I don't look at IDEs all that often. But literally multiple times every single day I catch them doing something stupid.

I don't think its impossible that we could get better performance from the agents. I know ive tried all sorts of workflows and skills, few of which seem to have much effect on the things the models struggle with. I think a big part of it is encoding enough context for large codebases, and providing it with all the tools it needs to make it successful, things to automatically check its work, etc. But that's not automatic, in fact its generally a terrible judge of what it needs or what its bad at

extr 3 hours ago | parent [-]

yeah it's true, you do have to guide them. i find that the key is you have to know what's possible. you have to have the instinct for "this really shouldn't be so difficult". my junior SWE coworkers have the same trouble as your coworkers.

but the revolution is it doesn't take that long. in like 15 minutes you can chat with fable and get to the meat of whatever the issue is with repeated questioning. and then it does the solution for you. so it's not magic but it's still like a 100x speedup.

app13 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I needed to thoroughly test rerankers on my companies rather unique corpus.

Opus and I wrote a parallelized test harness and labeled groundtruth in around 2 hours.

In 2022 that would've likely been all I did for a couple sprints

steve_adams_86 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

I encounter this regularly and it still feels weird.

That sense that you did something better in a few days than you would have in a month 5 years ago. It's like buying a table saw for wood working.

One crazy thing I think about often is how there are so many correctness and testing harnesses that would have taken weeks to build in the past so we simply never would have. We'd just do our best then wait and see what comes to the surface. This is a huge part of what makes it possible to actually make better software with LLMs in my opinion. It isn't just 'LLM codes better than I ever could' (that's often untrue still) but 'LLM enables me to make assertions about the program to degrees that would have been absurdly impractical in the past'. It's huge

extr 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Yes 100%. This morning I casually prompted Codex to drive the browser to complete extensive performance testing in-situ that would have literally been weeks of work before. Probably in reality it just wouldn't have been done, and performance guarantees would have been attempted up front via more careful design.

In this case the design was also AI generated, and there were limited wins to be found because the design was already superb.

manmal 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Are you using the SOTA models at very high reasoning during planning? IME that makes a LOT of a difference. I‘d also never let them just rip into the architecture, but always push back and ask for alternatives first. Once the overall plan is nailed, not that much can go wrong. Provided it’s a reasonable change set and not a 20k LOC PR.

RugnirViking 5 hours ago | parent [-]

fable or sol w/ very high both planning and execution, yeah. I feel the "push back" part is a big part of my job now (on every step, planning, execution, and review) yeah, but that feels pretty incompatible with the sorts of "just let it do what it wants" which other people seem to be claiming

drTobiasFunke 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Output of 3 or 4 2022 engineers? Its that your self assessment? Output as in number of lines of code?

bryan0 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> Spend most time prioritizing/discussing what to do.

you should probably be doing this discussion work along with Fable 5. It will give good feedback if you're working on the correct things.

> Come up with QA plan and have Codex Computer Use execute on it

QA plan should be part of the above "design + plan", not after it. The implementer needs to be able to fully test before publishing a PR. This is true whether humans or agents are writing the code.

> Manually spot check the final result (usually a sizable diff, thousands of lines, complete feature E2E, etc)

unfortunately this is not really scalable with amount of code agents can produce, so you need independent (fresh context) agent reviewers to help. Ideally they only escalate to a human when really stuck.

> I probably spend like $80 a day at least

at a small startup you should be on the $200/month plan(s).

blcknight 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

$80 sounds extremely low for what you're describing - are you on API token plans?

I have had some $3,000 token days - even without Fable. I don't see how this is sustainable.

My personal 20x plans get so much usage for so cheap. The consumer subsidies are crazy, but alas I can't use them for work.

extr 3 hours ago | parent [-]

$80 is definitely low now that I look at my numbers. but not OOMs low, it's closer to like $200 on heavy days. i don't know how you're doing $3k/day, that's wild. i'm pretty aggressive about compaction and session restarts, and i reserve Fable 5/Sol XHigh for "main thread" orchestration

ajcp 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Only spending $80 a day on Opus 5/Fable 5/GPT 5.6 Sol feels very low. I'll roll through a couple hundred dollars worth of credits a day with those models, the vast majority of which would be on non-coding tasks, and it's still a huge cost savings over me or my team having to do these things manually, if we'd even be able to do them at all.

But that's also why it's now easy to justify the cost of an Nvidia or Intel inference server with Kimi K3 locked and loaded :)

aetherspawn an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I was just about to say, how could routing possibly be worth it at the risk that the work output is sub par?

matsemann 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

My experience is that your description works for a certain time, since you're knowledgeable of the codebase and can guide it. But after too many iterations with not hand-holding the llm, it quickly gets unwieldy.

K3UL 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The output yes, but do you produce the impact and value of 3 engineers? I have seen this workflow being toyed with too, and I find it to produce massively overengineered stuff that actual people don't really wanna use

catfood 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

>Auto-fix bugs and CI until green + thermonuclear review skill x3.

Gotta love this loop, I have it running while I'm asleep all the time.

biophysboy 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Do you have tips for generating clean productive output per dollar?

the_sleaze_ 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

in my humble experience it boils down to mastery.

Are you at least conversational in the subject matter? You're gonna have a good time just by paying attention and adjusting your workflow. If you're getting a lot of back and forth with it, its asking a lot of planning type questions, stop, step back, rethink the whole feature, and start again from the beginning with everything more fleshed out.

If you are in a brand new field, there's no way to bridge that divide. The issue is you don't know what is good or bad, or whether what you have learned is good or bad. You're in a sports car and you don't know how to drive much less what's track and what's field.

You can spend a lot of effort getting good at prompting towards writing tests and E2E tests to at least verify your app does what you expect it to, regardless of experience.

extr 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

This is a great point and I agree. My own productivity varies based on what part of the codebase I'm working on. If it's "been in there before" and I know the right questions to ask, I can one-shot a good design/improvement. If I'm spending 20-30 minutes asking Fable to "draw a diagram so I can understand" - probably less so. But notably, I CAN get there in a fraction of the time it would have taken before. You can general personalized onboarding docs to ~anything.

grigri907 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I appreciate this non-judgmental description of what it's like to approach a topic/technology from a newcomer's perspective. Thanks!

extr 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Keep the decision-making and execution separate. Use the high IQ models to chat about the design and make them drive subagents to do the actual work. "Chat" style threads are actually quite cheap. Where it gets expensive is having Fable 5 output thousands of lines of implementation where 95% of it was already overdetermined and there were only a few important judgement calls.

I actually have no doubt that I could replace my Opus 5 Low/Medium subagent profiles with Grok 4.5/GLM 5.2/Deepseek v4 Flash and perf would probably be pretty similar.

On top of that - highly recommend adding accurate cost counters to your statusline. You can't improve what you don't measure! (Or even have any intuition about).

ai_fry_ur_brain 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

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nujabe 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> essentially unlimited AI spend budget

> I probably spend like $80 a day

This doesn’t sound like “unlimited”, I spend more than this out of pocket per day and I have a strict budget.

extr 6 hours ago | parent [-]

It's a fair point, it's not truly unlimited and I do wonder how that would change my workflow. I can definitely imagine if I was inside Anthropic or OAI with unlimited "fast" tokens, you would be more tempted to hand over even more of this process. I completely understand why they talk about "graph engineering" and such, my entire workflow above could be a graph and I could try to increase my leverage even further. Realistically though I am bounded by product decision making, not code output right now.

bdangubic 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

do the same across 20 terminals (as you should) and now you are up to $1.6k/day. would that give you output or 60-80 engineers? not a chance, right?

no one’s AI spent will be in question working a single terminal with carefully planned out and executed process you do

gamblor956 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

but I produce the output of 3 or 4 2022 engineers and probably at better quality.

Possibly, but the output of a 2022 engineer is about 1/10th of the output of a 2010 engineer, so it's an extremely low bar.

Krei-se 5 hours ago | parent [-]

also - as always with these claims there's no actual product / repo / whatever one could check.

I would love to see what these tools create but outside slop there's never: This works, is in production, here's the code.

Any day now.

dgellow 4 hours ago | parent [-]

It’s crazy how we are like ~2y in this AI revolution and still do not have an answer to this question: can you show us the ROI? Where is the revolutionary software your team of agents created?

6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]
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catlover76 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

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