| ▲ | manlymuppet 10 hours ago |
| The thing I don't like about this is that it treats trickle-down economics as if it's something that needs to be debunked. Trickle-down economics has never been a real economic policy, and never been seriously advocated by federal policy-makers. It is an entirely pejorative term created by detractors of supply-side economics. The policies of supply-side economics, however, are much more defensible, but it seems people would much rather pick on the strawman. |
|
| ▲ | ghurtado 10 hours ago | parent | next [-] |
| > as if it's something that needs to be debunked. When half the country has believed something for close to a half a century, across multiple generations, you bet your ass it needs to be debunked. The fallacy of the "precious job creators" is as American as "pulling yourself up by your bootstraps" The fact that you and I were not dumb enough to fall for it doesn't really help anyone in the grand scheme of things. There's still an insane amount of work left in educating the public, and we may even be regressing at this point. |
| |
| ▲ | throw0101a 7 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > When half the country has believed something for close to a half a century, across multiple generations, you bet your ass it needs to be debunked. It dates back to the late 1890s (and has been criticized since then): > In 1896, United States Democratic presidential candidate William Jennings Bryan claimed in his Cross of Gold speech that his opposition based their policies on the idea that the success of the rich would "leak through" to the lower classes, stating: "There are those who believe that, if you will only legislate to make the well-to-do prosperous, their prosperity will leak through on those below."[8][9][10] > In 1932, humorist and social commentator Will Rogers wrote a column criticizing Herbert Hoover's policies and approach to The Great Depression and stated: "The money was all appropriated for the top in the hopes that it would trickle down to the needy. Mr. Hoover was an engineer. He knew that water trickles down. Put it uphill and let it go and it will reach the driest little spot."[11] In 2007, political commentator William J. Bennett credited Rogers for coining the term "trickle down" and observed its persistent use throughout the decades since.[12] * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trickle-down_economics so I'm not hopeful it will ever go away. | | | |
| ▲ | loeg 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | No one believes in trickle-down economics. As GP said, it's a pejorative straw man invented by its opponents. | | |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 9 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | So you're saying that when the Fox News talking head drags out the Laffer Curve to smuggle into the conversation the assumption that the next round of tax cuts for billionaires will unleash enormous economic growth that net-benefits everyone, he doesn't believe what he's saying? You know what, you might just be right. | |
| ▲ | bediger4000 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Maybe they don't believe in "trickle-down economics", they same way the do believe that "CRT and DEI are bad". They certainly believe that lowering tax rates raises revenue collected, that's an article of faith. I've see ex-Congressman Joe Walsh advocate for that viewpoint within the last year. | |
| ▲ | expedition32 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | So why all the tax cuts? Sure the GOP are evil bastards who don't believe in it but apparently their voters do. | |
| ▲ | throw0101a 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > No one believes in trickle-down economics. As GP said, it's a pejorative straw man invented by its opponents. Except the folks that implement it: > The cuts were based on model legislation published by the conservative American Legislative Exchange Council (ALEC),[8][9][10][11] supported by supply-side economist Arthur Laffer,[12] anti-tax leader Grover Norquist,[13] and the influential industrialists Charles and David Koch.[14][15] * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kansas_experiment The term was invented by its opponents, but it was a label that was put on actual policies, like Hoover's: > In 1932, humorist and social commentator Will Rogers wrote a column criticizing Herbert Hoover's policies and approach to The Great Depression and stated: "The money was all appropriated for the top in the hopes that it would trickle down to the needy. Mr. Hoover was an engineer. He knew that water trickles down. Put it uphill and let it go and it will reach the driest little spot."[11] In 2007, political commentator William J. Bennett credited Rogers for coining the term "trickle down" and observed its persistent use throughout the decades since.[12] And Reagan's: > Ronald Reagan launched his 1980 campaign for the presidency on a platform advocating for supply-side economics. During the 1980 Republican Party presidential primaries, George H. W. Bush had derided Reagan's economic approach as "voodoo economics".[16] Following Reagan's election, the "trickle-down" reached wide circulation with the publication of "The Education of David Stockman", a December 1981 interview of Reagan's incoming Office of Management and Budget director David Stockman, in the magazine Atlantic Monthly. In the interview, Stockman expressed doubts about supply side economics, telling journalist William Greider that the Kemp–Roth Tax Cut was a way to rebrand a tax cut for the top income bracket to make it easier to pass into law.[17] Stockman said that "It's kind of hard to sell 'trickle down,' so the supply-side formula was the only way to get a tax policy that was really 'trickle down.' Supply-side is 'trickle-down' theory."[17][18][19] Reagan administration officials including Michael Deaver wanted Stockman to be fired in response to his comments, but he was ultimately kept on in exchange for a private apology.[20] * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trickle-down_economics It is pejorative, but it is not attacking a straw man, but actual policies that right-wing folks want implemented (and have). | |
| ▲ | jibal 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | "As GP said" What they said is grossly dishonest, disingenuous, and incoherent. "pejorative straw man" is nonsensical. "trickle down economics" is, by your own accounting, a pejorative term for "supply side economics", but they refer to the exact same thing, and it's the thing that TFA argues only helps the rich. And since people do "believe in" supply side economics, they believe in trickle down economics since that is the exact same thing but given a name that is pejorative (and rightly so). Neither of you has or can offer any defense of the policies that go by either name, or a rebuttal of TFA. I have a thing about bad faith or such inept argumentation that it appears to be, so I won't respond further. | | |
| ▲ | manlymuppet 9 hours ago | parent [-] | | Can I extend an olive branch anyways? I really believe in good faith, civil conversation, and I'd love the opportunity to make amends here. You've said you won't respond further, but seeing your passion, I think it would be great if we could have a civil conversation. I genuinely believe that trickle-down and supply-side economics are meaningfully different things, and I think there would be much to gain from hearing your perspective in more detail. My thesis boils down to the fact that supply-side economics (say for example, something like small business tax credits) often gets conflated with trickle-down economics undeservedly. Trickle-down policy--take money from the poor and give it to the rich indiscriminately--is an objectively horrible idea, but I would say also that nobody is seriously arguing for that sort of thing. (Also, I'm have no idea what "GP" stands for.) | | |
| ▲ | notahacker 8 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | There are supply side policy arguments that make sense. But that's separate from the linked article, which was a discussion of an empirical paper that claims to find evidence that "tax cuts for the wealthy only benefit the rich" A good faith way of addressing the argument would have been to look at examples where evidence appears to contradict this, or potential flaws in the academic paper, rather than dismiss the idea that supply siders believe that tax cuts for the wealthy benefit more than just the rich based on a label used in a blog headline... (GP, in this context, refers to the "grandparent" comment upthread) | | |
| ▲ | manlymuppet 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | My problem is not the article saying that tax cuts for the wealthy are bad. Although this moves us into normative territory, I'd actually personally agree that tax cuts for the wealthy are not we need. But my problem is that "take from the poor and indiscriminately give to the rich" is a mischaracterization of supply-side economics. | | |
| ▲ | card_zero 7 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | If "take from the poor and give to the rich" means just don't tax the rich so much, that's a mischaracterization of taking and giving. | |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | It mischaracterizes the mask but accurately describes the face beneath it. |
|
| |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I'll pick up the conversation if GP won't (GP = grand parent, your post is the parent of mine and the post above is the grandparent of mine). You're missing the forest for the trees. I argue that the forest is a high level strategy that has been playing out for approaching 50 years: 1. Push money into the capital economy and cut taxes. If anyone complains, cite growth. 2. Push taxes into the labor economy and cut benefits. If anyone complains, cite fiscal responsibility. This doesn't necessarily show up to an egregious degree in any individual policy. I can think of a few examples but that's beside the point. If (1) and (2) are aggressively promoted and happen frequently while the invisible (3) and (4) -- capital pays taxes, labor gets benefits -- aren't and don't, then the net effect is intentionally and predictably and observably upwards re-distributive. Furthermore, I don't buy the excuse that policy wonks don't understand this. Back in comparative government class, they taught us that Iran was a theocracy rather than a democracy not because it didn't do the rituals of electing leaders, but because a Council of Religious Experts got to select the candidates. You can have any color you want, as long as it is black (or Shia Muslim). In any case, the filter is the policy. Between campaign finance and private ownership of media, it's no real surprise that in the US we have the policy filtering mechanism that allows (1),(2) and blocks (3),(4). Again, the filter is the policy, the same logic that makes Iran a theocracy shoves the US towards plutocracy, and we need to push back by shifting aggregate legislative attention away from (1), (2) and towards (3), (4) rather than getting bogged down in debates over whether any particular fig-leaf appropriately covers any particular penis. | | |
| ▲ | manlymuppet 7 hours ago | parent [-] | | From what I'm hearing, the argument you're making is that regardless of explicit policy goals, (1) and (2) implicitly further an agenda which has a similar end result to trickle-down economics, that being the "predictably and observably upwards re-distributive." Now (1) and (2) as you mentioned, are broadly associated with the economic right in America. The usual narrative is that Republicans want to do (1) and (2) to concentrate more wealth among the rich, their reason for doing this being the trickle-down economics creed. There's two main problems with this narrative I see. The first, is that (1) and (2) aren't strictly right or left. They can be bipartisan. The left--broadly associated with increased taxes on the rich, labor rights, and a bigger welfare state--despite its reputation, often engages with parts of (1) and (2). This is because (1) and (2) aren't strictly set. You can have parts of (1), or parts of (2), or mix-and-match, but presenting them as definitively joined is unfair. Take the Inflation Reduction act from the Biden era, passed during a blue Congress. It invested heavily in renewable technologies--typically a left-wing endeavor--but wouldn't things like EV tax credits technically be considered corporate freebies, i.e. a bit of (1)? Or Trump's Working Families Tax Cut (the BBB), which although cut taxes for the rich, did genuinely expand the child tax credit and double the standard deduction--the opposite of (2). The point being that there's nuance in how you execute these policies. The second problem I see with this narrative, is that policy goals are not the same thing as policy results. If legislation endeavors to solve a problem, but fails, it would be unfair to say that the legislation's purpose was to fail. While one could make the claim that (1) and (2) promote an upward redistributive, I don't think you can make the case that either the left or the right specifically aim for that. This comes back to my central problem in this thread: trickle-down economics isn't a real policy. If you take purported aim of this caricature policy--taking money from the poor and indiscriminately giving it to the rich--nobody is seriously advocating for that. While you might think that that is what's broadly happening within the economy today, it's unfair to blame amalgamations of (1) and (2) policy and say that advocates of supply-side economics _want_ further inequality. | | |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | Thanks for replying in good faith, that's not usual in this day and age. In the US, the economic left is a minority wing of the Democratic party. Neoliberals are the majority and have been for the entire Sixth Party System. The "New Democrats" of Bill Clinton -- 30% tax hike on top workers, 30% cut on capital gains tax, gutting of social programs that makes DOGE look like a dog toy, NAFTA, and hey, Epstein connection -- tend to vote with us more often than neoconservatives so we caucus with them but to our eyes they have more in common with Republican neocons than they do with the New Deal Democrats of the Fifth Party System, the FDR democrats who ended the Great Depression, ended elder poverty, electrified rural America, regulated the banks, taxed the rich, and won World War II. I'm editorializing, of course, but don't come at us with "modern Democrats do a lot of things that look upward-redistributive." We know. They know too, that's why they called themselves "New" Democrats, they were explicitly sidelining the economic left. Obama was a little better, he even did a teeny tiny tax-the-rich with NIIT, but he didn't land the public-option, he didn't end Bush's wars, and he bailed out the banks. When Biden went in front of congress and proposed to tax capital gains like ordinary income, like the states do, it wasn't just Republicans laughing at him it was most Democrats (he probably promised Bernie to float the idea in exchange for support, and Bernie wanted those laughs on the record). The Democrats are a liberal party, not a lib-left or left party, and that penduluum is only beginning to slowly start its swing back. Which isn't to say that leftists are perfect (lord almighty we've got problems), but we've got substantially more focus on "the only war is the class war." Agree or disagree, that's what defines "left," and in the present day most Democrats aren't. As for policy intent, I started where you are and after reading about the Roosevelts and Reagans of the world came fully around to the FDR perspective: if a policy predictably transfers enormous sums of money, don't accept incompetence as the explanation. But this is an adverse inference and needs examples, so let's list some. Example 1: IP law. As a science-minded programmer I naturally have opinions on the problems of present day IP law, how the self-funding aspect of the USPTO gives them incentive to over-grant patents, that the bar for challenging trivial patents is too high so the optimal strategy is "lay minefields" not "do research," that bundling favors companies with strategic portfolios and lawyers on payroll, that all these little things add up to a system that helps the big guy at the expense of the little guy. I thought it was idiosyncratic, that the system just sort of evolved that way and a bunch of neutral-intent details turned out to have positive returns-to-capital. Nope. Ronald Reagan. The Reagan-Era IP law "reforms" were effectively identical to my check-list of everything wrong with the patent system. It turns out that every complaint of mine was well known last century and litigated last century -- the "Nine No-Nos" made me literally laugh out loud -- and the fact that Reagan's "reforms" all came in a single package and undid exactly that progress made it pretty clear to me that the crew which did this knew exactly what they were doing. Their checklist was as precise as mine, they were just punching in the opposite direction. It's even more stark with anti-trust, I don't need to say "they" I can say "Robert Bork." Reagan and Bork brought back the Consumer Welfare standard, where mergers are allowed if a company can scribble a plan with crayons on butcher paper for how their monopoly will actually reduce prices, honest (crossed fingers behind back)! I saw many school acquaintances make many such scribbles and create lots of shareholder value at the expense of consumers. They absolutely knew what they were doing and joked about it in private. The idea that markets don't need competition because (incorrect claim about Standard Oil monopoly reducing prices by 70%) dates back to the Robber Baron era, it was litigated and defeated by Louis Brandeis in the Progressive era, and Reagan and Bork absolutely 100% understood what they were doing bringing it back. The wave of corporate consolidation it ushered in over the last 40 years was the entire point. There are more examples. The ACA (Obamacare) is the one that bumped me out of the Republican party by convincing me that Republicans weren't legislating in good faith, back in the day. It's even more complicated than the above, though, and that's the problem: politics is adversarial, you must account for the possibility that a scoundrel is trying to force the draw, and it's soooo easy to force the draw by drowning with details. If someone takes 1000 steps to the right and 3 to the left, they can still give you 3 bullet points about how they're totally a leftist. The only defense is perspective. That's hard to acquire because in general you need to know not just which levers were pulled but how much they mattered, what were the possible motives, what did people know, and which levers could have been pulled. Sometimes it's easy though. When we let Trump print $4T in an election year and he decides to spend $2T inflating the housing market, $1T inflating Wall St, $400B on checks (a 10-for-me-1-for-you ratio) and then, after much begging, graciously concedes to another $400B for a 5-for-me-1-for-you ratio, that breakdown tells you something. When the media spends 100% of its time talking about the 10%/20% that was actually checks, that tells you something. When Elon Musk whines about paying $500M/yr taxes while stacking $200B in wealth for a tax rate of 0.25%, that tells you something. When congress laughs at the idea of taxing capital gains like ordinary income (even Robber Baron lawyers weren't that "extreme"), that tells you something. On occasion, the priorities are laid very bare, and it is important to pay attention on those occasions. One last thing: the Double Insulation incentives (private funding of campaigns, private ownership of media, rich people systematically in charge of both) exist and are strong. The idea that policy only coincidentally produces outcomes consistent with these incentives beggars belief, first on account of the failure of those incentives to consistently affect the politicians, and subsequently on account of those politicians to consistently fumble legislative intent in the same direction. You need enormous and ongoing feats of mental gymnastics to sustain these explanations, whereas I just need to say "they went where the money was." Because of course they did. Why would they do anything else when they have an infinite supply of counterparty credulity to work with? |
|
| |
| ▲ | drdeca 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | “GP” in this context is short for “grandparent” or “grandparent post”. It means the comment that they comment they are replying to, is a reply to. | |
| ▲ | nobodyandproud 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Not the OP. But posting from a low-use, 10 month old alt handle (?) doesn't really gesture good faith. | | |
| ▲ | manlymuppet 9 hours ago | parent [-] | | I agree. If my sentimental promises are not enough, I don't blame you haha. But I hope my pleading is evidence enough anyways. However much this means: I really am being sincere. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ▲ | regularization 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| > Trickle-down economics has never been a real economic policy, and never been seriously advocated by federal policy-makers. It is an entirely pejorative term created by detractors of supply-side economics. https://thehill.com/homenews/house/3522907-gop-lawmaker-byro... Well here is one of those federal policy-makers you say doesn't exist, a Republican congressman, advocating four years ago for trickle down economics and advocating for "...letting the free market - and yes, trickle down economics, which does work - actually flourish in the United States" |
| |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 10 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | If only big players had KPIs like us little folks! r>g is close to a complete debunk of the trickle-down narrative, today and through history, and it's a remarkably sturdy result. | |
| ▲ | win311fwg 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | That's not serious advocacy as trickle-down economics isn't a policy that can be implemented. The policy associated with trickle-down economics is known as supply-side economics. Trickle-down economics is something created for a comedy bit to express, in a humorous way, why supply-side economics doesn't work. Even if you don't buy into the underlying message of the comedy routine and believe that supply-side economics does work, you still cannot implement that comedy routine as government policy. That... doesn't make any sense. Clearly that guy you refer to was performing his own comedy routine. | | |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 9 hours ago | parent [-] | | "Supply-side economics" is a technocratic rebranding of trickle-down economics, adding just enough nuance to force the draw rhetorically while advocating policy that is completely indefensible to anyone who has enough time to properly examine the nuance. | | |
| ▲ | win311fwg 9 hours ago | parent [-] | | Again, "trickle-down economics" was created by Will Rogers. He was never a policy maker, just a comedian trying to tell funny stories. Nor did he accidentally create a policy in a 10 minutes of rambling standup routine. If you listen to the routine you will realize that he was talking about things that had already happened. He wasn't some kind of hidden political visionary. We can accept that "supply-side economics" is a policy rebranding, but it is not a rebranding of "trickle-down economics". That is abundantly clear. There has never been a policy known as "trickle-down economics". | | |
| ▲ | throw0101a 6 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > We can accept that "supply-side economics" is a policy rebranding, but it is not a rebranding of "trickle-down economics". Reagan's people would disagree: > Ronald Reagan launched his 1980 campaign for the presidency on a platform advocating for supply-side economics. During the 1980 Republican Party presidential primaries, George H. W. Bush had derided Reagan's economic approach as "voodoo economics".[16] Following Reagan's election, the "trickle-down" reached wide circulation with the publication of "The Education of David Stockman", a December 1981 interview of Reagan's incoming Office of Management and Budget director David Stockman, in the magazine Atlantic Monthly. In the interview, Stockman expressed doubts about supply side economics, telling journalist William Greider that the Kemp–Roth Tax Cut was a way to rebrand a tax cut for the top income bracket to make it easier to pass into law.[17] Stockman said that "It's kind of hard to sell 'trickle down,' so the supply-side formula was the only way to get a tax policy that was really 'trickle down.' Supply-side is 'trickle-down' theory."[17][18][19] Reagan administration officials including Michael Deaver wanted Stockman to be fired in response to his comments, but he was ultimately kept on in exchange for a private apology.[20] * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trickle-down_economics | |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | No, no such thing, only a hundred spectacularly regressive tax, trade, and benefit decisions sold on promises of growth that would supposedly benefit everyone and then didn't. Totally different! | | |
| ▲ | win311fwg 9 hours ago | parent [-] | | Since you clearly haven't finished listening to the full joke yet, I'll reveal the punchline: What you describe is what Rogers called "trickle up". "Trickle-up economics" has never been formally used to refer to a policy either, but at least if you called it that we would understand what you are trying to say. "Trickle-down economics" doesn't even make sense beyond a device used to setup a joke. It is bizarre that you keep going there. | | |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | "Grow the pie" is the phrase used by proponents, because they understand that "trickle down" invites uncomfortable discussions about "are you sure this will actually help me" while the pie analogy cleverly makes this question difficult to talk about. But it's the same argument and everyone can see it. | | |
| ▲ | 9rx 7 hours ago | parent [-] | | Proponents of what? Growing the pie isn't going to convince anyone who has a small slice of anything. Maybe you've never seen a pie before, but no matter how much it grows by the angle of your slice remains the same. People don't care about how much absolute wealth they have. If they did they'd all be happy as even the peasants today are richer than the kings of yore. In reality, people are only concerned about having a smaller share of the total wealth than someone else. Those kings of yore, despite having less wealth, are still considered to have been better off as they held the large share of the pie. | | |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 7 hours ago | parent [-] | | Ah, the "let them eat iPhones" argument. No, cool tech does not make up for the ruinous cost of health care, housing, and education vs median wages. Maslow's Hierarchy still exists. A system that fails to deliver food and shelter for a reasonable number of worked hours at a reasonable and available job is still a failure no matter how cool the Big Screen TVs are. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ▲ | diabeetusman 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| So do %s/trickle-down/supply-side/g , then, if it's the term that's bothering you. Doesn't "debunking" trickle-down economics then, by extension, debunk supply-side economics? I'm not clear on the meaningful difference |
| |
| ▲ | manlymuppet 10 hours ago | parent [-] | | I don't know regex, but to be clear: trickle-down economics and supply-side economics are very different things. I don't blame you for conflating them since they are intentionally very confusing. One is a policy and the other is basically the name of a common criticism for that policy. For example, the Cartesian circle does not refer to any of the many mathematical advancements Rene Descartes discovered. Instead, it's the name of a common criticism for an argument he made. You can think of it like that. | | |
| ▲ | liveoneggs 10 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | You just said trick-down wasn't a real thing so how can you say it's different from supply-side? | | |
| ▲ | manlymuppet 10 hours ago | parent [-] | | By "not real" I mean it's not a real policy. They are different in that one is a policy and the other is not. | | |
| ▲ | liveoneggs 9 hours ago | parent [-] | | how about this - Trickle Down is the implementation of Supply Side theory | | |
| ▲ | manlymuppet 9 hours ago | parent [-] | | Yeah I think that's also very inaccurate. Supply-side theory is not about indiscriminately taking money from the poor and giving it to the rich. |
|
|
| |
| ▲ | bena 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | What's the actual difference, because you haven't actually supplied one. You've just said "They're different. One is a thing, and one is a criticism of a thing". So, does the criticism not hold value? Because a large part of "supply-side economics", a term coined in the 70s, is reduction of taxes and regulations. With the idea that that extra capital will then be used to create jobs. And if that is not what's happening, then I don't care about the semantics of whether or not "trickle-down" is the appropriate term of art to be applied here. The core concept of "giving rich people more money spurs job growth" is apparently false. | | |
| ▲ | TitaRusell 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | It has worked though. This policy created millions of jobs in China, Cambodja and Mexico. The mistake that Republicans made is thinking that the nobles are loyal to the kingdom instead of their own personal greed. | | |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 7 hours ago | parent [-] | | Tilting the scale towards capital is a good idea when capital is the limiting factor on economic growth. A dollar invested rather than consumed brings two dollars in a few years time. Here's the thing: this is only really true in developing economies because, well, they develop. Inevitably, the amount of available capital outgrows the available investment opportunities. Expected rates of return and interest rates fall. At this point, subsidizing capital is every bit as foolish as subsidizing demand in any other ~fixed supply market. However, the enormous incentive to pretend otherwise remains. Foolish: policies that favor capital are good Smart: let's check interest rates to see if policies that favor capital are good |
|
| |
| ▲ | odo1242 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I mean, one is a name of a policy used by supporters, and the other is another name of the same policy used by critics? Name an actual difference? | | |
| ▲ | manlymuppet 10 hours ago | parent [-] | | One is a policy. The other is not a policy. I can name you differences, but it's like comparing apples and oranges. | | |
| ▲ | j16sdiz 10 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | You are basically saying you can tell us, but you won't. If you are not going to tell us anything, why are you teasing us as if you will? Holding back discussion points is not a way to advance a discussion | | |
| ▲ | manlymuppet 10 hours ago | parent [-] | | You are right. I should be more forthright; I was answering elsewhere. Here's another comment I made that's relevant. """ I think supply-side economics deserves more nuance than simply thinking we need to make the tax rate arbitrarily low. The Laffer curve isn't the only thing you should look at, since where you tax can be just as important as how much you tax. Take corporate taxes for example. If one were to advocate to get rid of corporate taxes, you might think that person unabashedly biased. What kind of person would want to give tax breaks to the richest people (corporations) when everyday people are the most in need of those kind of cuts, right? But the reality is that when you tax corporations, that is one of the most economically damaging taxes you can do. How about then, rather than taxing corporations, you tax the benefactors of those corporations directly? When you tax Walmart, sure you tax the C-suite, but you also make it so that Walmart can hire less people, and invest less in the economy. Rather than taxing the corporation, what if you just taxed the C-suite directly? Tax the Walton family, or the highest earning employees directly, and you get to have your cake and it too since you get similar amounts of tax revenue without damaging the economy nearly as much. You'll see this often in the social democracies of Scandinavia, like Sweden or Denmark. These are countries with strong welfare states, and yet, the corporate tax rates are often lower than the U.S., even if you look at the most red states. This is supply side economics at work, and an example of how supply-side economics can be easily misrepresented. """ | | |
| ▲ | dec0dedab0de 9 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Next time start with this level of nuance. Flippantly arguing semantics about controversial issues is not the way. | | |
| ▲ | manlymuppet 9 hours ago | parent [-] | | It really isn't semantics. How do you compare a criticism, with a policy? Trickle-down economics doesn't have any legislative appropriations. It's not taught in economics classes. Like saying "what's the difference between a boat and a car?" I can tell you that a boat is not a car, but I can't compare the wheels of a car with a boat, nor the keel of a boat with a car. They are different things is all I'm trying to say. Now as for why I didn't expand with nuance earlier, in my defense I was expanding, but elsewhere in the thread. I foolishly thought this was enough. |
| |
| ▲ | odo1242 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I see, interesting. | |
| ▲ | bena 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > You'll see this often in the social democracies of Scandinavia, like Sweden or Denmark. These are countries with strong welfare states, and yet, the corporate tax rates are often lower than the U.S., even if you look at the most red states. This is only true if you look at the standard tax rate. The effective tax rate of a lot of US corporations is appreciably lower. It works in places like Scandinavia because they don't give corporations ways to lower their tax burden | | |
| ▲ | manlymuppet 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | My point still stands though. Taxing income and consumption directly (hopefully the income/consumption of rich people) is preferable to indirect corporate taxes. In other conversation though, am I curious to know where you got your data. As far as I'm aware the Scandinavian countries do in fact have a robust system of corporate tax incentives. This is part of the reason they boast such high productivity. I very well might be wrong here though, and the topic is interesting. Would you care to share a source? |
|
|
| |
| ▲ | odo1242 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | You can't call "trickle-down economics" a strawman without actually naming what is different between it and "supply-side economics". Otherwise I have to assume that people are just calling the same policy by two different names. Like how proponents of DRM call it "Digital Rights Management" and critics call it "Digital Restrictions Management" but both people are referring to the same technology. tl;dr: If you could name me differences you would name me differences | | |
| ▲ | manlymuppet 9 hours ago | parent [-] | | My above comment helps with the distinction. If you missed it: """ I think supply-side economics deserves more nuance than simply thinking we need to make the tax rate arbitrarily low. The Laffer curve isn't the only thing you should look at, since where you tax can be just as important as how much you tax. Take corporate taxes for example. If one were to advocate to get rid of corporate taxes, you might think that person unabashedly biased. What kind of person would want to give breaks to the richest people (corporations) when everyday people are the most in need of those kind of cuts, right? But the reality is that when you tax corporations, that is one of the most economically damaging taxes you can do. How about then, rather than taxing corporations, you tax the benefactors of those corporations directly? When you tax Walmart, sure you tax the C-suite, but you also make it so that Walmart can hire less people, and invest less in the economy. Rather than taxing the corporation, what if you just taxed the C-suite directly? Tax the Walton family, or the highest earning employees directly, and you get to have your cake and it too since you get similar amounts of tax revenue without damaging the economy nearly as much. You'll see this often in the social democracies of Scandinavia, like Sweden or Denmark. These are countries with strong welfare states, and yet, the corporate tax rates are often lower than the U.S., even if you look at the most red states. This is supply side economics at work, and an example of how supply-side economics can be easily misrepresented. """ |
| |
| ▲ | 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | [deleted] | |
| ▲ | bena 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Name one that is not "one's a policy and the other is not". |
|
| |
| ▲ | jibal 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > I don't know regex You know enough about it to misidentify that obvious string replacement command as an example of it. Your comments are incoherent and disingenuous. Saying that trickle down economics is "an entirely pejorative term created by detractors of supply-side economics" is very much saying that they refer to the same thing ... and it's the thing they refer to that TFA argues only helps the rich. You say that "the policies of supply-side economics, however, are much more defensible" but you offer no defense, and no rebuttal to TFA. > For example, the Cartesian circle does not refer to any of the many mathematical advancements Rene Descartes discovered. Instead, it's the name of a common criticism for an argument he made. This is the most inept attempt at an analogy that I can recall seeing. I have a thing about people who act in bad faith, or argue so ineptly that it looks like it ... I won't be responding further. | | |
| ▲ | manlymuppet 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | > You know enough about it to misidentify that obvious string replacement command as an example of it. I figured the syntax was like an either-or thing, but I wasn't sure. > Saying that trickle down economics is 'an entirely pejorative term created by detractors of supply-side economics' is very much saying that they refer to the same thing... I don't think it is. What I'm _not_ trying to say is that trickle-down economics is a nickname for supply-side economics. More, trickle-down economics is a strawman. Not the same thing or a different name, but an inaccurate version--a caricature which doesn't even resemble policy. Also I'm not sure what "TFA" stands for. > This is the most inept attempt at an analogy that I can recall seeing. It was kind of rough. Regardless of the incompetence of my arguments though, I promise I am not being intentionally dense. I really do try to act in good faith here on HN, and I'd appreciate it if I could hear more of your perspective and continue this civilly. |
|
|
|
|
| ▲ | alistairSH 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| You'd think so but not even a decade ago Kansas tried it again and it failed and the GOP continues to cut taxes for the wealthy and people keep electing them. Most of the nation (and world) never took any economics. This stuff is all magic or religion or whatever to them. Ronnie Raygun is as good as a saint to much of the US. |
| |
| ▲ | thegagne 10 hours ago | parent [-] | | Non-typical Kansas voter here. I reviewed candidates and any mention of “cut taxes” is a hard no from me. I have kids, and I want to make sure their schools are fully funded. The only tax cuts I would support would be on essentials like food and clothing. I also don’t like targeted new taxes, like taxing sports gambling and recreational drugs, because it unnecessarily entrenches those in our society. Even worse is when they earmark it, like using casino money to fund schools. |
|
|
| ▲ | vlovich123 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Can you describe the defensible policies of supply-side economics? That's as vague a term as trickle-down economics to me. Supply-side economics is based on a flawed premise of looking at only the Laffer curve and saying if taxes are too high the economy suffers, therefore we must make the tax rate arbitrarily low. In reality though there are more nuances to making the tax rate arbitrarily low (e.g. high inflation and cost of living for starters). |
| |
| ▲ | manlymuppet 10 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Sure. I think supply-side economics deserves more nuance than simply thinking we need to make the tax rate arbitrarily low. The Laffer curve isn't the only thing you should look at, since where you tax can be just as important as how much you tax. Take corporate taxes for example. If one were to advocate to get rid of corporate taxes, you might think that person unabashedly biased. What kind of person would want to give breaks to the richest people (corporations) when everyday people are the most in need of those kind of cuts, right? But the reality is that when you tax corporations, that is one of the most economically damaging taxes you can do. How about then, rather than taxing corporations, you tax the benefactors of those corporations directly? When you tax Walmart, sure you tax the C-suite, but you also make it so that Walmart can hire less people, and invest less in the economy. Rather than taxing the corporation, what if you just taxed the C-suite directly? Tax the Walton family, or the highest earning employees directly, and you get to have your cake and it too since you get similar amounts of tax revenue without damaging the economy nearly as much. You'll see this often in the social democracies of Scandinavia, like Sweden or Denmark. These are countries with strong welfare states, and yet, the corporate tax rates are often lower than the U.S., even if you look at the most red states. This is supply side economics at work, and an example of how supply-side economics can be easily misrepresented. | | |
| ▲ | vlovich123 33 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | > Tax the Walton family, or the highest earning employees directly, and you get to have your cake and it too since you get similar amounts of tax revenue without damaging the economy nearly as much They do get taxed same as everyone else, more even. What’s not taxed though is the stocks which never get materialized into cash and grow in value because of the low corporate tax rate that makes them more profitable. > But the reality is that when you tax corporations, that is one of the most economically damaging taxes you can do That’s a rhetorical jump you made. Corporations benefit from the government creating order and structure just like everyone else. They have a legal system they can use to settle disputes and protect themselves. They have solid roadway networks that help their employees get to work and to transport their goods. They get a military that protects their goods in transit to/from foreign lands. They get a police force that ensures that people don’t destroy their property. It’s only damaging if the value provided to all corporations is less than the tax rate is, but claiming any tax is damaging is laughable on its face. And that’s ignoring all the other kinds of non-monetary value the government grants corporations (eminent domain, water rights, suppression of various regulations, etc) | |
| ▲ | orwin 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | You can't do that, because the Walton family and others are really, really good at avoiding getting taxed. Even small business owners like my uncles do whatever they can to avoid any sort of taxes. I never paid VAT on sport equipments or DIY equipment, which are what they sold, but we also managed for my whole school life to avoid paying VAT on school supplies, and it's probably the same for my 22 cousins. Tax avoidance is a really good hobby for those people. | | |
| ▲ | charcircuit 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | The purpose of a government is not to raise the most tax money possible. | | |
| ▲ | danaris 7 hours ago | parent [-] | | No, it's to care for its people. And in order to do that, it needs money. Money it raises by taxation. | | |
| ▲ | charcircuit 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | The purpose is not to care for its people either. It's purpose is to govern. | | |
| ▲ | vlovich123 19 minutes ago | parent [-] | | No, that entirely depends on if you subscribe to the Hobbesian outlook that argues the natural state of the world is one of war and brutality. The James Locke school argues that nature isn’t constantly at war, but it does lack a neutral arbiter which is the role of government and the social contract: people get better protection for life, liberty, and property in exchange for giving some of their freedom to obeying the government. Aristotle argued the state exists to enable the good life. Its role is to cultivate virtue, shape character, and ensure that citizens live well and morally. Jean-Jacques Rousseau agreed on the social contract but argued that the community has a collective responsibility to look after the well-being and moral equality of members. In the 19th and 20th centuries, thinkers like T.H. Green expanded this to argue that a just society cannot use the veil of ignorance and must actively improve the lives of the least fortunate. This is where public education and social safety nets come from. So it looks like this:
Ancient Greece: state has to care for people
English Enlightenment: govern
French enlightenment: govern but you need to care for your people
German enlightenment: govern based on ideas Given the Americans rebelled against the English and aligned with the French, it’s a wonder modern Americans have adopted this brutalistic attitude. Btw the French Enlightenment is what led to the Romantic period. TLDR: role of government depends on whose philosophy you adopt. But in terms of the greatest figures and looking at the healthiest countries, I’d say it is to look after its people. |
|
|
|
| |
| ▲ | 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | [deleted] |
| |
| ▲ | przemub 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | I mean that’s not what Laffer curve says, the only thing it says that the revenue from taxes grows until some tax rate, above which the yield starts decreasing. This says nothing about the wider economy nor about what the tax rate should be, and on its own it doesn’t seem too controversial to me. |
|
|
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| You're right, it's not one lie, it's a pack of lies, trotted out every time congress needs to justify another capital gains tax cut or rationalize why the next tax hike needs to target work not wealth. |
| |
| ▲ | ghurtado 10 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | It's much more than a set of lies, it's an entire cultural phenomenon 100% USA made. Unlike many of our worst ideas, I'm actually surprised this one didn't become more popular around the world. | | |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 10 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I've been reading about the US progressive era of 100 years ago and I am seeing from Robber Barons many of the same arguments that I heard growing up from my Reagan-worshipping parents. It's both frustrating and encouraging to know that we soundly defeated these at one point before the pendulum swung back. They didn't invent a new pack of lies, they just put the old one in the microwave and gave it 30 seconds. I suspect that were I to learn about the industrial revolution I would find that the US Robber Barons didn't invent their talking points either and that they simply took British Industrialist talking points and, err, gave them 3 minutes on the stove. | | | |
| ▲ | econ 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | That's quite funny. I recall several people not even responding but just silently staring at the proponent. Other bad ideas (like privatization) were adopted by repeating opposing talking points. |
| |
| ▲ | twoodfin 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | When is the last time either of those things (capital gains rate cuts, tax hikes on the lower 90% of income earners) happened? I think it’s been decades by now. | | |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 10 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | OBBB Opportunity Zones? Bonus depreciation? If you are unfamiliar with these or their applications to tax avoidance, you are outing yourself as a wagie running defense for your economic betters. | | |
| ▲ | twoodfin 10 hours ago | parent [-] | | Sorry, which of those are capital gains rate cuts or tax hikes on workers? | | |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 10 hours ago | parent [-] | | Those are both capital tax cuts. The hikes on labor come later, when the debt needs to be paid and Democrats are once again tricked into being fiscally responsible. |
|
| |
| ▲ | vlovich123 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | When did the previous tax cuts get rolled back vs getting extended in perpetuity? | |
| ▲ | biophysboy 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | TCJA made changes to corporate capital gains, no? As for tax hikes <90%, this hasn’t occurred in income; the opposite has occurred. You could make the case that it hasn’t been worth it for the poorest brackets though, given other coincident policy changes |
|
|
|
| ▲ | dasil003 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| When you are rich, it allows a lot more time and funding to come up with arguments supporting policies that will make you even more rich. |
| |
| ▲ | econ 10 hours ago | parent [-] | | The sad part is that, with the same formula, they could generate good ideas that also make them more rich. | | |
|
|
| ▲ | vannevar 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| The article focuses specifically on the economic effects of tax cuts, concluding that they have little overall positive effect on economic or job growth. This is consistent with meta-studies looking at the relevant research. To the extent that "supply-side economics" predicts that tax cuts will stimulate the economy, it's fair to say that it has indeed been debunked. |
|
| ▲ | brightball 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I always like to approach this conversation with a question: Should business that actually do create jobs in practice get bigger tax breaks? For example, if I by some miracle create a 1 man company that makes $100 million / year profit and somebody else creates a company that makes $100 million / year profit but has 2,000 employees...should the two companies be taxed differently? Walmart employees 1.6 million people in the US. 68% are full time. Average salaries range from $18.25 / hr (field associate) to $27 / hr (supply chain). Median $30,520 across all US employees. 156,000 employees are estimated to be enrolled in Medicaid (9.4%). Amazon employees 1.1 million. $23 / hour average for field / fulfillment. Median $53,211 across all US employees. 123,000 employees are estimated to be enrolled in Medicaid (11.7%). Both offer pretty extensive career development, training and tuition assistance programs. Profit per employee: - Walmart $10,800 / employee (1.6 million employees) - Amazon $50,000 / employee (1.1 million employees) By comparison: - AppLovin $3.7 million / employee (898 employees) - NVIDIA $2.86 million / employee (42,000 employees) So what if we actually had a tax strategy that literally was aimed at "job creators" rather than "capital gains"? What would that look like? |
| |
| ▲ | twoodfin 10 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | It would incentivize the wrong things: All else being equal, you want to produce more with less labor and other inputs. It’s a good thing farming needs an order of magnitude fewer farmers than a century ago. | | |
| ▲ | magicalist 10 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > All else being equal, you want to produce more with less labor and other inputs Is that actually true? Maybe I'm being dense right now but that's not completely apparent to me. More abundance per person does seem generally better (albeit there's eventually diminishing marginal utility), but that's not the same thing as society as a whole producing more with less labor. Maybe "all else being equal" is the operative condition here, like assuming that the economy would be able to absorb newly freed labor into new economic activity? You can also optimize some good things out of existence in this manner, and it's still not clear that robots are going to be able to swoop in and save that kind of newly uneconomical activity, at least within my lifetime. | | |
| ▲ | thaumasiotes 10 hours ago | parent [-] | | > More abundance per person does seem generally better (albeit there's eventually diminishing marginal utility), but that's not the same thing as society as a whole producing more with less labor. Yes, it is the same thing. There's no difference. | | |
| ▲ | robinsonb5 9 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | More abundance per person isn't a good thing if only 1% of the population sees the benefit and everyone else is squeezed tighter. | |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | In r>g world, this is cosmically incorrect. |
|
| |
| ▲ | the_other 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > All else being equal, you want to produce more with less labor and other inputs. I'm not sure how to work with the "all else being equal" part. I suspect it's a way to get out of dealing with the truth of the situation, but feel free to expand on it. But.. to the main point: "you want to produce more with less labor and other inputs" <- the owner of the business does, yes. But unemployment statistics and in general "labour" wants the opposite. Let's take this to an extreme. Take all the business owners in the land and make them so efficient they only need employ themselves. "Productivity" remains the same, but now the bulk of the inhabitants of the land are unemployed, and can't buy the "products". So now the owners make no money and go bankrupt. And no-one has work. And there's no productivity. I think what "you" really want (and by "you" I mean "we") is for business owners to make only the slightest margin of profit possible (after paying themselves) to keep their businesses running and to employ as many people as possible, who all get paid as close as possible to the owner; and for any left-over to be reinvested in new businesses with the same approach to paying staff. That way more people have a job, more people are "productive" and more people can buy the stuff made by the companies. Sure, this is a ridiculous extreme, but it makes more sense to me than "you want to produce more with less labor and other inputs". I am curious though: is there an equally impractical and extreme story that works to bolster your argument, to help me see the pattern more clearly? | |
| ▲ | brightball 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | That's true to a certain degree, but there's a labor supply factor involved too. If companies are rewarded for employing more people it lowers the available supply of labor forcing companies to create a more enticing environment to attract that labor (prices, benefits, etc). It compounds if the incentive is aimed at domestic labor. | |
| ▲ | robinsonb5 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > All else being equal, you want to produce more with less labor and other inputs. So what incentive structure would you suggest? How do you prevent the concentration of wealth that results from a business raking in millions of dollars per employee? | | |
| ▲ | twoodfin 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | In what sense is there a “concentration of wealth”? Look at any large, highly profitable public company and the #1 owner is probably Vanguard funds. |
| |
| ▲ | notahacker 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > All else being equal, you want to produce more with less labor and other inputs. And firms are already incentivised to increase productivity, including by offshoring jobs or replacing staff by robots, because that's their profit margin. And in this case we're not concerned with firms reducing costs in general, but firms substituting capital for labour. This was an improvement for agriculture, but it was an improvement because that labour found more productive things to do... But if you're a government those decisions businesses make don't help unless the robots or Chinese factories are considerably more efficient at making stuff than domestic labour, because a business decision that at the margin spending a dollar less on domestic labour and 99 cents more on another production input is very slightly more efficient loses the government more in income tax receipts than it gains on anything else, and usually adds to their benefit bill. Also, people don't like their jobs being replaced.
(And yet ironically, tax structures are often more favourable to companies increasing the capital input and decreasing the labour input...) Obviously it's true that you can go too far and end up subsidising firms to keep on employees that aren't doing anything useful, but relatively minor tax breaks which mainly advantage low margin retail businesses don't do that, and they're not going to stop NVIDIA being NVIDIA either. But they might make the $45k outsourcing contract not look a substantially better deal than retaining the $50k employee. | |
| ▲ | WarmWash 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | But this is precisely how you get these large wealth gaps in society. Not like the 1% vs the bottom 50%, but the bottom 50% vs the top 30%. That "high efficiency" is actually "less humans in the loop". Compare something like money managing to car manufacturing. A team of money managers might clear $1B+ in revenue for a year with a team of 200. To clear $1B a yr selling cars, you need workers and supply chains that are tens of thousands of workers deep. It's the very inefficiency of manufacturing goods that makes it so attractive to workers. This problem is inherent and intractable, but the natural order is to whither away the inefficient parts and only keep the most functional ones. For those reading closely, this is also how you get a begrudged "coastal elite" and populist presidents like Trump (tariffs, anti-immigrants, state backed industry) elected. They want suffering for the offices of 200 people bringing in billions, and a return of the massive factories and supply chains with tens of thousands being the ones brining in billions. |
| |
| ▲ | bena 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | I would say a corporation's taxes should, at the very least, cover the tax burden generated from not paying their employees enough to make a living wage. So if their employees are on government assistance, the cost to provide that assistance is inherently their burden. One way or another, every employee they employ will be earning a living wage from them. I don't even care about overlap. If both Target and Walmart have to pay the difference between the full cost of government assistance for the same person, that's fine. Build a fucking library or something. | | |
| ▲ | brightball 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | That's an interesting view though. If Walmart employees somebody who's part time and is on Medicaid are they on Medicaid because of Walmart or because they couldn't commit to enough hours to go full time? 9% of 1.6 million employees on Medicaid means they are employing over 1.4 million people who are not on Medicaid, all of whom are taxed for income, payroll, property, sales, etc. If Walmart decided tomorrow to terminate all employees who were collecting Medicaid so that they could avoid a tax increase for that stat would it be a good thing? Is it better for a company to avoid hiring at all, even part time, if they can't fully purge the employee from government assistance? | | |
| ▲ | bena 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | The number of Walmart workers on some form of government assistance is significant. Significant enough that Walmart couldn't operate without them. Not to mention, Walmart manages to capture those government dollars through accepting EBT and such. And the goal is to make WalMart pay regardless of how they try to weasel out. If you say "only full time", then they employ thrice as many people and give no one enough hours to make a living. Same if you prorate to hours worked. Essentially you need to stop inventing rules and systems that can be gamed. Because Walmart is incentivized to game them. Push them in the direction of hiring people full time and paying them a fair wage for their time. |
|
|
|
|
| ▲ | throw0101a 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| > The policies of supply-side economics, however, are much more defensible, but it seems people would much rather pick on the strawman. Lowering taxes is one of the policies of supply-side economics: > Supply-side economics is a macroeconomic theory postulating that economic growth can be most effectively fostered by lowering taxes, decreasing regulation, and allowing free trade.[1][2] * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supply-side_economics Along with decreasing regulation and allowing free trade, so you've just knocked down one of the reasons to think about supply-side stuff seriously. |
|
| ▲ | bluealienpie 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| So no candidate ran on tax cuts? Explicitly for high income earners? |
|
| ▲ | autoexec 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| The actual paper never uses the phrase trickle-down economics and just covers how tax cuts for the rich don't improve the economy but does increase income inequality |
|
| ▲ | diob 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I mean, when I googled supply-side economics it said it was another name for trickle-down economics. I'm interested in how you'd say they differ, honestly, not trying to be argumentative. I found at least found one analysis (by a left leaning think tank, so take it for what you will) https://www.americanprogress.org/article/the-failure-of-supp... that seems to show that supply-side economics hasn't panned out. It seems obvious that there is an optimal tax rate, too much or too little is bad. But I'd definitely say right now we are far far on the too little side of things. |
| |
| ▲ | dghlsakjg 10 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | You’re describing the Laffer curve. Much of Reagan’s trickle down stuff was based on the idea that we were on the wrong side of the peak. | | |
| ▲ | diob 10 hours ago | parent [-] | | Yeah, I intentionally referenced the Laffer curve. Essentially I think folks use it to only argue for less taxes, but I think it applies both ways. | | |
| ▲ | dghlsakjg 6 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I think there's also the consideration that the Laffer curve is very Ceteris Paribus. In reality higher taxes implies higher spending, and different countries spend differently. It's entirely possible that the peak of the curve moves based on where you plan to spend the money. If you proposed a 5% tax increase to build the supports to take on Taiwan in semi, then you probably have a curve that looks different than a 5% tax increase to start a war. | |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Exactly: in political rhetoric, the Laffer Curve is 5% an honest examination of tax tradeoffs and 95% a trojan horse designed to smuggle into the conversation the assumption that we are on the "drowning in taxes" side of the Laffer Curve. | | |
| ▲ | neilwilson 10 hours ago | parent [-] | | It’s not even honest on the tax trade offs. Total tax take is not a constraint on public provision in a floating exchange rate economy. |
|
|
| |
| ▲ | manlymuppet 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | I don't know where you're looking, but if you go to the first result for trick-down economics, the Wikipedia page, within the first few lines it mentions how the term is used, and how it was created by detractors of supply-side economics. It's never been a real policy. "the term 'trickle-down economics' was popularized by Democrats in the US to derogate Reaganomics"
If you similarly look up supply-side economics, at the top of the Wikipedia page it says "not to be confused with trickle-down economics"
I'll happily take you on your word that you're not trying be argumentative. It's certainly not your fault that this strawman has been so widely spread that people think it's a real policy idea now. It is confusing to me too.As for whether supply-side economics actually works, to say it "hasn't panned out" I think, is really oversimplifying. Has capitalism (efficient markets but also environmental decay) worked? Has socialism (universal healthcare but also the military) worked? It depends on who your asking and in what regard. In some ways yes and in other ways no. The category is too broad. Also, just as important as how much we tax is where we tax. Carbon tax (very good) vs stamp duty tax (very bad). Competent policy often allows you to have your cake (supporting government services) and eat it too (not sacrificing growth). | | |
| ▲ | gusgus01 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I mean that's definitely cherry picking portions of the wiki. Both of the articles refer to each other much more than those examples, not that that really matters. Plus the Supply Side Economics wiki article, right below the "Not to be confused with trickle-down economics", contains a huge box pointing out the many issues with the article, including but not limited to "Needs more academic or scholarly research, rather than newspaper articles." and "contains weasel words: vague phrasing that often accompanies biased or unverifiable information." I also was trying to google it and saw what the other commenter saw btw. The AI overview on Google says "Yes, they refer to the same core economic concept, but supply-side economics is the formal, academic term, while trickle-down economics is a popular and critical label for it. Both argue that cutting taxes and reducing rules for businesses and rich people will help the whole economy". And it references:
https://mattbruenig.com/2013/01/07/on-trickle-down-economics...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trickle-down_economics
https://study.com/learn/lesson/video/demand-side-vs-supply-s...
https://www.annenbergclassroom.org/glossary_term/supply-side... | |
| ▲ | odo1242 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | What is the difference between how trickle-down economics is portrayed vs. the actual ideas of supply-side economics? You have to specify how / in what way it's a strawman |
|
|
|
| ▲ | watwut 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I have literally seen it being defended, in all seriousness, after the economy crash. When the financial institutions were bailed out. Maybe not the name, but the literal idea that the money given to them will flow down. There were even graphics gping with it. Again, in all seriousness. So yes, it needs to be debunked. |
| |
| ▲ | anonymars 9 hours ago | parent [-] | | I think a large part of the issue, ignoring the self-interest one (certainly those of money will argue that their taxes should be less) is that both the supply and demand side can interfere with the proper functioning of the economy My quick take is that during the 2008-ish great financial crisis, those in power were children of the 1970s supply-side shocks (demand>supply resulting in shortages and inflation), and used precisely the wrong tool to handle the demand-side shock of the GFC: interest rates were zero-to-negative, indicating a surplus of investable cash and no place to put it to work, and policymakers responded by...cutting everything on their side to the bone as well (austerity). At a high level: the economy was literally trying to pay the government to spend money on productive investment, but this once-in-a-lifetime opportunity was largely squandered |
|
|
| ▲ | gamblor956 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Trickle down economics is just another name for supply-side economics. They're one and the same. The difference is that the name "supply side economics" focuses on the the beneficiaries while the name "trickle down economics" focuses on the results. Supply side economics owners claimed that benefits would "flow" down from the capital owners. The pejorative name "trickle-down economics" accurately reflects that the quantity of benefits that "flows" down to everyone else from those benefiting from massive tax cuts is a mere trickle of the money that the supply side saved from the tax cuts. |
|
| ▲ | miyoji 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| This is ridiculous. "Trickle-down economics" is just another name for "supply-side economics". You can also call it "voodoo economics", as George H.W. Bush did. They're all referring to the exact same failed policies that have been criticized for failing to achieve what they claim to achieve for 130 years. |
|
| ▲ | shadow_it 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| this is correct. i suspect many simply do not know this because the straw-man is so pervasive. |
|
| ▲ | 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-] |
| [deleted] |