Do you plan to bet on this by buying PUTs? Should be easy money, right? /s

ecshafer 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Tesla is imo overvalued and has been for a long time. Its bankrupted a lot of pretty savvy investors in the last 10 years trying to short them because its obviously over valued. Market irrationality vs solvency and all of that.

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thenewnewguy 2 hours ago | parent [-]

While I agree with you in general, usernametaken29 made a specific prediction about OpenAI's IPO which is an event that will very likely happen in the next year or so.

That said, OpenAI isn't public, so you can't directly short it easily. I guess you could short Microsoft but I don't know if that gives you enough exposure to truly be worth it, even if you do genuinely believe what OOP claims.

	▲	jerf an hour ago \| parent [-]
		IPOs experiencing significant drops after their IPO is not a crazy theory, it's pretty much the norm: https://potomacwealthmanagementllc.com/2026/03/04/underperfo... Not guaranteed, but the norm. I've never tried to buy PUTs on a big IPO but I wouldn't be surprised that there's a premium on them, if options trading is even available.

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amazingamazing 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

OpenAI isn’t public so… /s