Of course we know it. It’s been obvious since at least 2023. Everyone in AI oversells, except a few companies that built There is no AGI coming anytime soon no matter how much hype is being thrown around. We are not in the singularity. However, peak bullshit is NEAR.

The trick the frontier labs have done is define AGI as "better than humans at the vast majority of valuable knowledge work" which is definitely not what most people think it means.