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HarHarVeryFunny 5 hours ago

Interesting if true - that Moonshot can train a ~3T SOTA model on only 20K NVIDIA GPUs, while others like Musk (who freely admits to distilling OpenAI's models) struggle to build a competitive 1T model (Grok 4.5) with massively more compute (Colossus-1 100-250K GPUs, Colossus-2 500K+ GPUs).

I guess at least partly a reflection of all the optimizations in the Kimi 3 architecture.

In the recent leaked DeepSeek investor meeting, they also mentioned only having a 20K GPU cluster (unclear if NVIDIA, or Huawei).

yorwba 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

From the article:

> A person familiar with Moonshot’s procurement strategy confirmed that the company does indeed have a channel for accessing Blackwell processors via Southeast Asia. They didn’t specify whether this was a rental channel — which is legal, in most cases — or direct purchases, which are a breach of US regulations. The Information reported this week that Moonshot is seeking additional Blackwell processors to train its next model.

> The 20,000 chips Moonshot accesses via Alibaba, meanwhile, are from Nvidia’s earlier generation of Hopper products, the people familiar with the agreement said.

So the 20k GPUs from Alibaba is only a lower bound on how many you need to train a model like Kimi K3.

The advantage of having more GPUs in any case is not so much that you can train bigger models, but that the turnaround time is faster, so you can run more experiments to dial in training choices. It's entirely possible that Musk has more than enough compute, but can't hire the talent to run all those experiments. (That would also explain why he has excess capacity he can rent to Google.)

gpugreg 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> they also mentioned only having a 20K GPU cluster (unclear if NVIDIA, or Huawei).

A few quotes from the transcript:

> Our current computing capacity is approximately 20,000 H-equivalent units, most of which have just arrived within the past month or two

> Regarding the Huawei 950, Huawei currently provides us with 16,000 SIM cards

> A Huawei 950 [cluster] with 16,000 cards is equivalent to only a B-series card [cluster] with 4,000 cards.

dang 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

From a superficial look I think the submitted title ("Moonshot built on 20k Nvidia chip cluster from Alibaba") might have been misleading. Article says "That hardware forms a substantial chunk of the overall computing capacity Moonshot uses for its Kimi models", implying that other hardware was also used.

(We've changed the title to what the article says now.)

ux266478 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It's not that surprising to me. Most of the innovation in Chinese models has been in efficiency gains and optimizations. K3 coming from the factory in MXFP4 weights is a pretty relevant factor. Big performance gap probably also due to Moonshot doing QAT. Throw in the fact that Musk has easier access to compute, and I think you have your answer on the disparity.

qeternity 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

I don't follow this. Clearly all of the frontier labs are doing these things.

When OAI released gpt-oss it was released as an mxfp4 checkpoint.

OAI, Ant, et al are also obviously employing QAT.

nextaccountic 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

But perf improvements not only mean you can run the same thing on cheaper hardware, you can also run more capable models in the same hardware

In this sense, any advance in intelligence is a performance improvement and vice versa

andy_ppp 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Do we believe them? It seems there’s no reason with the resources OpenAI and Anthropic have they wouldn’t be incentivised to build equally efficient pipelines? I think it’s mostly the fine tuning with distillation that gives Chinese labs their big advantage. However I’m pretty sure all the main labs are poisoning the output now when they detect Chinese activity so while K3 looks frontier on tests when you use it it’s miles off Sol and Fable.

SubiculumCode 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

One does wonder whether there has been an expiration of the actual weights of Opus at one point.

dzonga 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

everything about the current 'a.i' models - east vs west points the wastefulness of western labs - whether in terms of gpu clusters being ran, cost of inference.

the only way is down for the massive valuations and 'a.i' revenue projections.

vineyardmike 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> west points the wastefulness of western labs whether in terms of gpu clusters being ran, cost of inference.

Can’t possibly be intentional media strategy by a geopolitical target, right? If its going to negatively impact valuations and revenue of major rivals, seems like a desirable strategy?

We just saw OpenAI take the steps to significantly lower the cost of one of their models, which confirms that at least one western lab has a large margin on inference, not a large inference cost.

Meanwhile, we don’t know how many experiments these east/west labs are performing relative to each other. We also know that many western labs have a whole portfolio of models too, which is product breadth not necessarily waste.

nekusar 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

The wastefulness is akin to having multiple private jets on standby, or workers coming in to a fishbowl office to be gawked at, or massive datacenters to be used as social "proof".

Its all a fucking capitalistic farce to display to other rich elite that "Look at how much clout I have! I can make these peons dance around and do my bidding! Im a slave-owner!"

https://infosec.exchange/@david_chisnall/116991627711001827

He noted that that Silicon Valley doesnt really want to SOLVE problems. They want to find already-solved problems with problem matching. And of course, we just throw more people and more compute instead of optimization and understanding.

The Chinese are being actively constrained with bullshit politics around a second Red Scare moment. And, well, they're winning. A lot.

otabdeveloper4 2 hours ago | parent [-]

No, it's an attempt to form an artificial moat by buying all the world's GPUs and memory.

nekusar an hour ago | parent [-]

True. But check out Ebay right now. Networking gear is CHEAP.

I just bought 2 switches, 48 port 10GbE with 4x QSFP+ at 40Gb fiber. $110 each.

You can even get 24 port QSFP+ @100Gb networking devices for $350.

Yeah while ram and gfx is $$$$$, networking is rock bottom prices..

infecto 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Genuine question. Is there a time factor part of that equation?

HarHarVeryFunny 5 hours ago | parent [-]

It's obviously a question - did they just train for 10x as long due to having 10x fewer GPUs, but then that spoils the claim that they distilled Fable which was only recently introduced. Now doubt they did use some training data generated from older US models though.

upbeat_general 4 hours ago | parent [-]

This is just not how it works - it is perfectly plausible (in fact the most likely) that pretraining was well finished by the time Fable was released. A bit of extra distillation takes far less compute.

Moreover, it’s very plausible (and expected) to use multiple clusters and GPU types for RL rollouts which could very well not be included in this count.

No part of this pipeline is fixed in stone.

HarHarVeryFunny 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

OK, but that doesn't address the question of what can be inferred from Moonshot apparently having access to far less compute then the western labs. To what extent does this reflect the need for less compute due to the (published) architectural efficiencies of their model, and to what extent that they just trained for longer (esp. pre-training - 80% of total compute, perhaps)?

I think the word "distillation" needs to be used a bit more selectively here. If their pre-training run was complete before Fable was released that implies that ZERO Fable data went into the base model. Perhaps the timeline allows for a few weeks at best of incremental post-training on some limited amount of Fable data, but calling this "distillation" seems a bit dramatic especially given the redacted outputs that would have been available. A more factual speculation would just be that they may have had time to post-train using a limited amount of Fable output in some fashion (LLM as judge? SFT? Who knows ...).

infecto 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Relatedly I also wonder how much the orchestrated distillation bot nets that Anthropic uses against China are real. Not saying it does not happen but I have never seen dating showing how pervasive it is and I always imagine other western labs would absolutely be doing the same.

HawtAds 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> Musk (who freely admits to distilling OpenAI's models) struggle to build a competitive 1T model (Grok 4.5) with massively more compute (Colossus-1 100-250K GPUs, Colossus-2 500K+ GPUs)

Are you sure they are using all of their compute on training? Didn't they rent out a ton to other AI companies?

foolswisdom 4 hours ago | parent [-]

The renting out is a pretty recent development.

vrganj 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> Struggle to build a competitive 1T model (Grok 4.5) with massively more compute (Colossus-1 100-250K GPUs, Colossus-2 500K+ GPUs).

This feels like a very American way of designing things - just throw more horse power at it, bigger is better! The rest of the world is usually a bit more resource constrained and efficient at using those resources.

See also Mustangs vs German sports cars, giant American fridges, giant American suburban McMansions vs livable cities etc etc.

HarHarVeryFunny 2 hours ago | parent [-]

You've just got fridge jealousy! ;-)

cubefox 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> Musk (who freely admits to distilling OpenAI's models)

Source?

HarHarVeryFunny 5 hours ago | parent [-]

https://www.forbes.com/sites/antoniopequenoiv/2026/04/30/elo...

gyanchawdhary 5 hours ago | parent [-]

Sounds fair, since Sam can run a for profit NGO

corranh 4 hours ago | parent [-]

I’m still baffled that OpenAI can complain about this with a straight face while these models are literally trained on everything regardless of copyright or permission.

4 hours ago | parent [-]
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