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tavavex 8 hours ago

My counterpoint to that first one is that forcing outcomes through laws doesn't have a political side, although the discourse in the US has definitely been extremely mangled by the untrue stereotype that conservatives are less keen on passing legislation. Strong government force can be used to either pass real regulation or to create and protect monopolies. Anthropic is asking for the latter. None of the AI labs would ever willingly ask for the lid to be put on their pot, it's just everyone else. Their demands are just requests for a government-protected monopoly that are PR-worded to appear as regulation. Left-leaning people are usually proponents of real regulation, the kind that businesses would never ask to be imposed on them. Right-leaning people may side with the AI labs more, seeing their proposals as compromise or reading between the lines and supporting the regulation to ensure that their side wins and that the biggest labs are handily rewarded for their work.

The Chinese model split is more interesting, but only as a theoretical point that examines what different political sides would support in theory if everyone's ideology was fully consistent with itself. If you look at the people, in reality most conservatives seem to side with laws that would protect their own and ban other models to 'win'. Left-leaning people are more likely to be okay with Chinese models or open-source AI, seeing them as opportunities to dislodge the power of American AI labs and prevent too much power from concentrating in few hands.

So I think the correlation is still valid. There are a few people on all sides who may take an unexpected worldview in light of these new problems, but I think that for most people, what I outlined is more or less the way they've split up.