Color me unsurprised that caution is based in shame and anxiety.

Yeah, the optimism/hedging part lines up nicely with that framing. The bit that still puzzles me is that the same edit moved expressed confidence in opposite directions — down for Gemma, up for Qwen. If it were simply removing one shared "anxiety" factor, I’d have expected the sign to stay consistent. So whatever caution is doing here seems a bit more tangled up with each model’s own disposition than a single clean knob.