> How would we do that? There's no historic precedent for that. Its fundamentally an information theory thing: what's the max amount of intelligence you can get out of 1 KB/MB/GB? There has to be a limit and I'm not convinced that it's far off.

Sure, it might be very near using the current approach, but... it might also be might be very far off because we are using the wrong approach.

I mean, look at the max amount of intelligence you can get out of a human brain powered by two bananas...

Though even if there are big further breakthroughs to be made here, they won’t necessarily be made soon, and if they aren’t made in the next ~10 years then they won’t really affect the outcome of chip investments made now or in the immediate future.