Nobody with a minimum of credibility says that. Everyone says this is clearly a bubble and yet it could go on another couple of years. Nobody is timing it. But if you want to deny the obvious by numbers go ahead

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simianwords an hour ago | parent [-]

Ed has timed it.

https://x.com/edzitron/status/1817955630784917548

> Newsletter: Based on estimates of their burn rate and historic analyses, I hypothesize that OpenAI will collapse in the next 12-24 months unless it raises more funding than in the history of the valley and creates an entirely new form of AI.

He posted this in 2024 June btw. He certainly doesn’t believe that OpenAI has a new form of AI. So where’s the collapse? Since then the revenue growth was exponential.

	▲	mawadev an hour ago \| parent \| next [-]
		I honestly see it this way: there is a vibe shift around AI and he is capitalizing on it. It is nothing more than that. If you listen to the videos he repeats the same few bulletpoints and is basically a news person at this point. I like a good doomer post and I welcome this type of discourse, no matter how inflammatory. This but instead of the AI is gonna replace us all talk we've had for a much longer time. Same coin, same patterns, different side... Influencers just have to dominate one topic once and make bank, then pull out
	▲	camillomiller an hour ago \| parent \| prev [-]
		I like Ed in general but he’s acting as an influencer, therefore I wouldn’t place him under the broader credibility umbrella.