Remix.run Logo
d5lt5 2 hours ago

> As long as this debt does not make it into life insurance and pension funds, we are fine.

Already happened: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/michael-bu...

baron816 an hour ago | parent [-]

Yes of course life insurance and pension funds are going to buy this debt. This is the highest quality debt that's out there. If you don't want life insurance and pension funds to buy debt from big tech companies because you believe it's too risky, then you believe that bonds are just too risky in general.

AnimalMuppet an hour ago | parent | next [-]

OK, wait a minute. Elsewhere in this discussion, people are saying that only a few of these AI companies are going to survive. For stocks, that can still be a reasonable investment - low odds, but still a positive expectation value - but for bonds, it's terrible. You're paying me single-digit interest when there's only a 20% chance that you live long enough to give me my principle back? Get outta here. Literally nobody should be investing in such bonds.

muellero 41 minutes ago | parent [-]

If big tech bonds are a terrible deal for investors at 8%, then Google or OpenAI is getting a screaming deal by raising debt at that rate. Saying nobody should be investing in these bonds is very similar to saying that big tech should raise more debt.

AnimalMuppet 26 minutes ago | parent [-]

Yes, they should, if they can. But on the other side, life insurance companies and pension funds should not be buying it.

hvb2 an hour ago | parent | prev [-]

> buy debt from big tech companies because you believe it's too risky, then you believe that bonds are just too risky in general

Uh, no? Ignoring the rating, I think there are plenty of other bonds to be found that are less risky.

Dutch government bonds just to name one? The yield wont be the same but that's probably a good indicator?