I'm still undecided if I want to self host either gitea or forgejo. Can someone who used both or is particularly experienced with one of them tell me which project to settle with?

Most comparisons I found were all written with someone who didn't seem all that ideologically neutral on the matter.

To my understanding forgejo (the gitea fork) is run by the people behind Codeberg whereas Codeberg is running a customised version of forgejo. If Codeberg can just pull the rug like this, shouldn't I expect similar behaviour from forgejo in the future?

I really don't need all that "holier than though" drama when I self host my stuff. Perhaps I better settle for gitea then?

(Disclaimer: I use Gitea daily for work and Codeberg daily for personal stuff. I prefer Codeberg)

Gitea is developed by a for-profit organisation while Forgejo is developed by a non-profit.

Ability for rug pull is much greater for gitea imo. Gitea (organisation) already develops non-foss software to sit on top of Gitea (software). Gitea requires copyright attributions for contributions so is more able to change the Gitea license to something non-free in the future.

Codeberg can make up whatever rules they want for their Forgjo instance but you can do what you like on your self-hosted instance so I dont think that the governance of codeberg should concerning for self-hosting.

If Forgejo somehow enshittified, I would expect a popular fork immediately. If Gitea enshittified, I expect most people who would have forked already went to forgejo