> AI costs aren’t going to stay this high. They will go down.

People said this a year ago, then all the companies admitted they were incinerating cash and had to increase to token pricing. Consumers basically mutinied and managed to push back a bit, but that is the struggle right now - to keep prices from increasing 25+ times, not to see them decrease.

If you're premising this on some future technology like ASICs, even if that works out then we probably shouldn't be spending a trillion dollars on datacenters that it will make obsolete.

People said this a year ago

A year ago Opus 4.1 was $75 per million tokens, and now Opus 4.8 is $25 and Fable is $50.