| ▲ | swarnie 4 hours ago | |||||||||||||
I'm not familiar with 401k rules but presumably they get a choice of markets and products? If one is over concentrated its easily avoided. | ||||||||||||||
| ▲ | skohan 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | |||||||||||||
The problem some have pointed out is that these companies are such a huge portion of the market right now. The sound advice for the past decades has been, just invest in a low-cost ETF tracking the S&P instead of picking stocks to minimize risk and invest in the market broadly. So a huge number of people have done that, believing they're diversified, while tech makes up 40% of the index. Yes you could sell your S&P and find things to invest in least likely to be impacted by a potential bubble, but your average 9-5'er with automated contributions to their 401k is probably not sophisticated enough to do that. And that's assuming only these companies would be affected if there was a massive draw-down in tech/AI related stocks. We haven't really seen a situation like this before, so it's not easy to predict what effects there might be in the broader economy. | ||||||||||||||
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| ▲ | loudmax 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | |||||||||||||
The employer selects a financial company to manage the 401k. When you switch jobs, you can roll the 401k from the previous employer into the new one, or into an IRA (Individual Retirement Account). Usually the financial services company will offer several options: more aggressive/high risk, or less aggressive/lower risk. Most people will just go with whatever is the default option. So much of the American S&P 500 is dominated by handful of companies that the risk is not that easy to avoid. If or when the AI bubble pops, it's going to take down a lot of the economy with it. You can direct your retirement savings into the lowest yield/lowest risk assets offered by the firm, but you'll forego whatever growth happens in the mean time. Will the bubble pop next week? Next month? Next year? Who knows. Timing the market is incredibly difficult. There's a famous quote, attributed (perhaps apocryphally) to John Maynard Keynes: "The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent." | ||||||||||||||
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