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khalic 5 hours ago

https://postimg.cc/n9nZGLmb

Goodness of Fit 0.911, Kurtosis -0.849, Skewness: 0.073

It's very much a bell curve

fluoridation 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Just because it's approximated by a bell curve doesn't make it a bell curve. There are quite obvious separate phenomena shaping the curve at different times.

khalic 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> just because it's approximated by a bell curve doesn't make it a bell curve

I'm going to assume this is bait...

jdlshore 4 hours ago | parent [-]

Bell curves are probability distributions. This is a time series, so it can’t be a bell curve. It just has the same shape.

khalic 4 hours ago | parent [-]

Are you discarding the utility of Gaussian functions in analysis simply because the independent variable is time? A Gaussian curve can be used as a descriptive model without claiming that the observations themselves are a probability distribution

The fit does not prove causation, but it does show that the decline was already well described by a trend that began years before generative AI. If the claim is that 2023 created a separate structural break, it's different claim then the title describes

strken 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Do you mean "just because it's a bell curve, doesn't make it a normal distribution"?

4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]
[deleted]
3uruiueijjj 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Those graphs look nothing alike, except for "going up and then vaguely going down."

khalic 2 hours ago | parent [-]

I don't know what to say other than learn math