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eldenring 43 minutes ago

Cooling is relatively easy, you just need radiators which are passive, and essentially reduce to a launch cost penalty. You are right that they can't be serviced, but that is missing the point of orbital data centers. The whole point is that you can build hundreds of thousands of these in a factory and launch them in a scalable manner. The power, cooling, etc. comes for "free". In the long run, as the cost of the chip, launches, etc. goes down, orbital data centers will scale better terrestrial ones.

As a side note, I don't understand why I keep seeing these wrong arguments on HN repeatedly. Like everything mentioned in this thread can easily be fact checked. Radiative cooling is solved, launch costs are going down, so power costs will pay themselves back very quickly, etc.

You can argue about specifics, like chips will get more sophisticated + power efficient and fabrication will be the true longterm bottleneck, or SMRs/fusion could reduce energy bottlenecks, but talking about cooling as if convective cooling is the only option is just nonsensical.

croes 11 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

> Radiative cooling is solved,

By that logic, climate change is also solved, just built a giant radiator.

groby_b 29 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-]

"you just need radiators which are passive

"Just" is doing a lot of work there. SpaceX is planning to launch 100 GW of compute annually, that comes with ~ 2.5 square kilometers of radiator (assuming an optimistic 800K radiator temp and emissivity of 0.9, double sided)

Go for advanced carbon composites, you can do that with just 5,000 metrics tons or so of material. That's 34 starship launches just for the radiators. We haven't solved assembly, we haven't brought up power panels or core compute. Planned launch cadence that SpaceX hopes to reach end of this year: 12/year.

spongebobstoes 11 minutes ago | parent [-]

radiators about the same size and weight as solar panels will do the trick

there is already a h100 in orbit

1GW of compute is a lot in 2026. comparing 100GW of annual compute to SpaceX 2026 goals does not make sense

if Starship launch cost predictions are accurate, data centers in space will happen within 10 years

metalliqaz 38 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

> Radiative cooling is solved.

This is emphatically not true at any scale in which this scheme makes sense. Be careful with including too many Musk boosters in your information diet.