SpaceX has accomplished spectacular things in reusable launch vehicles and space-based networking. It will soon restore the heavy launch capability that the US lost when it retired the Saturn V in the 1970s, but in an affordable and sustainable manner. SpaceX is almost single-handedly keeping the US ahead in space.

I'm bullish on SpaceX as a company in terms of technical accomplishment.

Buying SPCX would make sense at about 1/4 of its IPO price. The IPO price and subsequent rise was inflated via hype and artificial supply restriction, i.e. publicly selling just 4% of the total company ownership.

>but in an affordable and sustainable manner

Affordable is a bit questionable. It's heavily subsidized by Starlink and government.

Not completely clear what happens to price if SpaceX doesn't keep launch demand propped up with their own business.

Yes but... All the "value" in SpaceX is in AI. Actual space launches are a tiny part of the portfolio. Talking about launch capability is almost off topic when taking about SpaceX valuation.

> It will soon restore the heavy launch capability

Maybe!

>but in an affordable

Maaybe!

>and sustainable

Maaaaaaybe. Gotta start gigantic scale methane production from solar or whatever first.

We sometimes get in the habit of thinking Elon, who is a Nazi, accomplishes everything he sets out to do, since he was so incredibly effective at getting EVs going and getting the Falcon 9 going. But he has plenty of misses too, like ruining the foundations of democracy, being over 12 years late and counting with self driving cars, hyperloop, the cybertruck, etc.