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swiftcoder 8 hours ago

It predicts likely winners based on the round of 32 performance (plus prior data). That's still "prospective" with respect to the finals

glimshe 8 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Which is very reasonable. You estimate odds after seeing teams playing with the actual squad selection at that period in time. Otherwise I'd dismiss the predictions as lucky guesses in a row.

derdi 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Yes. I don't like phrasing this as being prospective for the World Cup as a whole. It's for the knockout stage. (Which the abstract says! But the title doesn't.)