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saturn8601 a day ago

The UK empire is considered by many to have ended in 1947 with the independence of India. Others say it was finally finished in 1997 with Hong Kong. Either way the UK is still around and while things aren't rosy, they still trudge along and will continue to do so.

Meanwhile the US's "supposed upcoming ending" puts them in a better position than the UK was in many different categories. It still has massive resources, amazing talent and a citizenry with an "ambitious" can do attitude vs the "tall poppy syndrome" of the UK. Its difficult to argue that there is an exact end date thats occurring now. To say its all over and that there isn't a second story coming seems premature.

Re China: This is a country that has overexpanded in infrastructure which will come home to roost sooner or later, has a terrible demographic structural collapse looming with no realistic way to correct(unlike the US which has options to correct), has overinvested in so many industries that they are experiencing massive (25%) youth unemployment with deflation occurring. They have serious problems coming in the next few decades.

tialaramex a day ago | parent | next [-]

Obviously the UK didn't vanish in a puff of smoke and nor will the US. America doesn't cease to exist it is just gradually ceasing to matter as I said.

saturn8601 19 hours ago | parent [-]

I guess I didn't explain it clearly enough. For the US to stop mattering some other big guy will have to start mattering. I just don't see any country really taking on that mantle anytime soon. Maybe we are in a global decline and the only goal for the two big gorillas in the world is to outlast the other and only after that worry about what comes next.

llm_nerd 11 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> This is a country that has overexpanded in infrastructure which will come home to roost sooner

Man, we've been hearing this same tale for decades. China is always at the edge of some massive collapse any day now. Meanwhile the US goods trade deficit is literally worse than ever, the deficit is $2 trillion dollars and the debt is consuming more and more of federal income just to maintain. The US equities market is a giant inflated balloon and no one even pretends to rationalize it anymore. Leadership in the US is now banana-republic level corrupt, in the open and shamelessly. Yeah, this is not the time to be throwing rocks.

> has a terrible demographic structural collapse looming with no realistic way to correct

I mean...not only is China becoming a pretty desirable country for many of the world's residents, they could...have more children. If China decided to turn the corner and get back to maintenance levels, I 100% believe they could do it almost overnight.

The US? Yeah, the US is a free-for-all hyper-selfish, short-sighted end-game right now.