I think the majority of dev work will be gone. We already demonstrated just throwing more compute at it is leading to better and better results. We'll likely have advancements that make it so regular people that ask the right questions and are diligent can do end-to-end app creation and management. I think it's also likely that standardizations for security and account management and compliance will just become skills or other types of automations that the drastically more competent agents of 2027-2028 can simply utilize.

It is seeming less and less unlikely for this to happen.

So many businesses right now online you can simply have Claude Fable copy and implement in an hour. That'll probably scale up as well in the future. I just cloned Piano Marvel earlier today in an hour and added missing features that I really wanted on the site that aren't there.

I think society will be a lot crappier for people that don't already have assets and investments that outpace inflation.