This is only true if it plateaus. What you are saying is “I don’t think LLMs will achieve superintelligence.” Which is a fine opinion to have, but it’s an opinion.

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woodpanel a day ago | parent [-]

once, if ever, the plateauing happens. Until then there is going to be this gap.

In other words, superintelligence often referred to as AGI might either be months away or just VC-Money induced cult-speak many fall victim to.

It doesn’t matter because the only certainty is that it’s not here now, and neither tomorrow etc.

	▲	sfn42 a day ago \| parent \| next [-]
		To me it looks like they've been pretty plateaued for a good while already? Sure they do marginally better on benchmarks or whatever, but to me as a user there's really not much difference between chatgpt today and chatgpt a couple years ago. Main difference is just added capabilities like web search, image recognition etc. For coding you still need to be in control if you want a good result.
	▲	simg a day ago \| parent \| prev [-]
		AGI is human level intelligence. superintelligence is ASI