| ▲ | mrweasel 6 hours ago |
| The title is a weird. Ineffective? At doing what? This is an interesting quote from Zuckerberg: > trajectory of the agentic development over at least the last four months hasn’t really accelerated in the way that we expected Combine that with the other theories about Meta management in the article, I think we have the answer to is Zuckerberg a "dimwitted or just evil". It's probably the former. He can't plan four month in advance apparently, nor does he want to wait and work of actual data. Meta can affort to implement some AI, wait to see if it pans out and then layoff people. On the other hand, he had way to much patience with the Metaverse, even as all signed pointed to it being a failure. His personal hobbies shows that he is capable of patience, training, hunting isn't going to yield results in four months. I think he lacks the skills to manage, and to recognize and hire competent managers. Had Meta stock not been structured the way it is, I would like to think that the board had replaced Zuckerberg as CEO. I wouldn't however agree that Meta was necessarily to late to AI. They showed a lot of potential early on, but then sort of dropped off. They weren't to late, it is just another mismanaged project. |
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| ▲ | stephc_int13 6 hours ago | parent | next [-] |
| Zuckerberg was barely adult when he started Facebook. And he probably bumped into a few older guys who thought they knew better than him, and history proved them wrong. He likely developed some irrational belief that clever and young beats anything else, and saw an echo of his own bravado in Alexandr Wang. Turns out his heuristics were not calibrated properly. |
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| ▲ | sharts an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | Ya but he’s not young anymore. By his own logic he should step down and let a Stanford dropout run things. | | | |
| ▲ | fridder 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Didn’t he famously trash folks over 30 years back? He has really done nothing innovative outside of ads. | | |
| ▲ | croes 5 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | What’s innovative about ads? | | |
| ▲ | delecti 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Instagram ads are the most consistently interesting ads I see online, and by an enormous margin. Ads suck, and I resent that their inherent purpose is to manipulate me, but they accomplish their goal better than any other ads I've ever seen. | | |
| ▲ | josefresco 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | > Instagram ads are the most consistently interesting ads I see online The credit for that belongs to the advertisers not Instagram. | | |
| ▲ | delecti 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | I don't mean it in a "super bowl commercial" way; the products in Instagram ads are the consistently interesting part. It seems like a safe assumption that the advertisers for plenty of uninteresting products are trying to buy ads on Instagram, and that the advertisers for plenty of interesting products are trying to buy ads elsewhere. That means that Instagram's targeting is the differentiating factor. | | |
| ▲ | josefresco 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | I guess my argument is that it's not innovative or "hard" to sell ads to people who have given you massive amounts of personal and demographic information (voluntarily!) | | |
| ▲ | delecti 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | Both Google and Amazon know a great deal about me and my purchasing habits. Neither shows me ads that feel very relevant. |
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| ▲ | fridder 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Well, I was trying to be a little charitable | |
| ▲ | browningstreet 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Something something even Apple wants 10s of billion$ a year from it… building the big money machine is an innovation of a kind when only a few entities can really do it. | |
| ▲ | HDThoreaun 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Meta’s ad product is incredibly innovative. Just look at the fallout from ATT to see an obvious example | |
| ▲ | ModernMech 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | I dunno if it’s exclusively his innovation, but Zuckerberg’s insight was that you could actually lie to your users by presenting yourself as trustworthy, while having malicious intent to violate their privacy by selling their data to advertisers, and there are no business repercussions for doing so. | | |
| ▲ | vitally3643 5 hours ago | parent [-] | | That's literally just a con. People have been doing this since the dawn of history. The only unique bit is the sheer scale it's happening at now |
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| ▲ | insane_dreamer 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | and even that is mostly attributable to Sandberg |
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| ▲ | this_user 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Zuckerberg was never a great strategist. The only good strategic decisions that he was ever made were the acquisitions of Instagram and Whatsapp. Almost everything else was either completely misguided, way too late, or executed so poorly that it could never work. Meta is basically the Temu version of Google. Google also goes wrong a lot, and they are mostly resting on their big successes from years ago, but they still at least have the people and ability to produce top tier results every once in a while, while Meta was always second rate. |
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| ▲ | seizethecheese 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Zuckerberg may not be a great strategist, but your two exceptions (WhatsApp and instagram) easily cover all the failures. This is sort of like saying “he’s a bad hitter, except for the grand slam”. Or more appropriately for HN, like saying “he’s a bad venture investor, other than the two fund returning investments.” | |
| ▲ | HDThoreaun 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Instagram and what’s app were two of the best purchases in American history though. It’s hard to overlook how well they worked out |
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| ▲ | jjulius 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| >I think we have the answer to is Zuckerberg a "dimwitted or just evil". It's probably the former. Why is this an either/or? Those aren't mutually exclusive. |
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| ▲ | Terretta 6 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | It's like that old saying: “Don't attribute to malice – or incompetence – that which can be explained by path dependency.” https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Path_dependence OK, not the saying. Perhaps should be. Assuming a sufficient base level of competence, more of how things go for company A vs. company B can be explained by random walks through events (their dependent paths) than by management. A competent and persistent leader can increase the odds, but under close study, fortuitousness and serendipity – or luck of the draw and timing – have more explanatory power. Meanwhile, just try to make your own luck. Make sure you happen to things, instead of things happening to you. | |
| ▲ | mcculley 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | It does not have to be either one. Zuckerberg is simply not a great leader, apparently. This is not surprising. Few people can run big companies. There is a huge spectrum between "dimwitted" and "great CEO". | | | |
| ▲ | ses1984 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | The way the sentence is structured implies he is evil either way. He is either (dim witted and evil) or (just evil). | |
| ▲ | mrweasel 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Personally I believe very few people to be actually evil, but it's a question of definition. To me, you need to be deliberate to be evil. E.g. Elon Musk isn't evil (I think), he's just insane. Peter Thiel might actually be evil, because his actions are deliberate and planned. Zuckerberg also doesn't strike me as evil, just incredibly socially inept (and maybe dimwitted). But no, you're right, it doesn't have to be one or the other. |
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| ▲ | karmakurtisaani 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I think one reason Google has been so successful is that the original founders did what they knew best and built a great startup, then stepped down and left the company for people who know how to run a corporation. I imagine these are very different skill sets. |
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| ▲ | Hendrikto 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| > Had Meta stock not been structured the way it is, I would like to think that the board had replaced Zuckerberg as CEO. He saw that coming and slyly prevented it. He cannot be as dimwitted as you suggest. |
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| ▲ | Danox 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Zuckerberg isn’t dimwitted but Meta is probably at its peak as a company, lightning probably isn’t going to strike again, Metaverse and Meta AI are going nowhere no matter how much money he throws at it. But he’s not alone. Microsoft can spend and spend and it won’t help Copilot fly. | |
| ▲ | ceejayoz 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | It's possible for someone to be good at one thing and bad at another. |
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| ▲ | rapidaneurism 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| If you view AI as a way to downsize and cut payroll expenses without admitting that you must cut payroll expenses because the business is not booming, it makes sense. |
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| ▲ | croes 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Given his war on the whistleblower and what we learned about Meta and Zuckerberg from her he is evil too |
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| ▲ | soraminazuki 5 hours ago | parent [-] | | Facebook was evil from its very inception. Its origin is a site for non-consensually rating women's faces. Zuckerberg personally called his initial users "dumb f*cks" for trusting him with their personal information and offered to to give that data to his friend. There was never any doubt about what kind of person Zuckerberg is. |
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| ▲ | 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
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| ▲ | laweijfmvo 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| his biggest fear is not being the one to nail the next big thing. it happened with mobile, although that was basically irrelevant in hindsight. he thought it was metaverse, which failed, while in the meantime it was actually the new AI cycle, which he was late on / lost by the time llama 4 flopped. i think he’d rather just blow up the whole company than continue to be solely associated with one (or even a few) of the most successful websites/apps in history, for some reason. maybe he thinks people will like him if he does something else? |
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| ▲ | ra0x3 5 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I think Elon owns a lot of real estate in these guys’ heads. When you have $200B+ in the bank, little else matters others than being seen as a titan of industry IMO. I think the fact that Musk has Tesla and Spacex (even with all his extra curricular activities) makes a guy like Zuckerberg seethe that he’s just “the internet websites guy”. | | |
| ▲ | Danox 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | Musk is not in their heads, the guy who died in 2011 is in their heads. You know the founder of Apple… |
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| ▲ | HDThoreaun 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | The thing is that metas massive consumer user base means that they haven’t lost the ai race I think. They don’t need to run the whole customer acquisition rat race. They’ve already got billions of customers who they can have using models within a month, they just need to keep pushing to create a model people are happy to use. Metas product compliments uniquely well with ai I think so they’re never really out of it until their users leave. |
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| ▲ | 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
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| ▲ | mrweasel 6 hours ago | parent [-] | | Yeah, you're right, I edited it just now. I rewrote parts of the comment and moved things around and didn't re-read the whole thing. |
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| ▲ | groundzeros2015 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-] |
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| ▲ | kraken_cult 6 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Your boot sir | | | |
| ▲ | fullshark 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | And therefore unable to be criticized by OP? | | |
| ▲ | SpicyLemonZest 5 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Nothing wrong with criticizing people! Many smart people do bad things that deserve criticism. But if you trick yourself into thinking they're not smart, that their success is just pure happenstance and anyone could've done it in their shoes, you're going to end up very confused about the world. People talk a lot about how silly the $100M pay packages are, for example, but Zuckerberg paid $76M per employee for Instagram in 2012 ($110M inflation-adjusted), and in retrospect that was clearly a worthwhile bet. | |
| ▲ | groundzeros2015 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | No? > I think we have the answer to is Zuckerberg a "dimwitted or just evil". It's probably the former | | |
| ▲ | fullshark 5 hours ago | parent [-] | | So you think he's not dimwitted? And instead of making an argument you just insulted the OP needlessly? Let me guess is your argument: "He built a trillion dollar company and you didn't" | | |
| ▲ | groundzeros2015 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | > So you think he's not dimwitted? Correct. > He built a trillion dollar company and you didn't Did the startup thing then became a world class CEO for 20 years. Yep. |
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| ▲ | beej71 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | How do you figure? Do you know either of these people? |
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