| ▲ | ElProlactin 6 hours ago | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
I won't dismiss the human cost but boom and bust cycles have existed for a very long time. This isn't a new thing today, and it wasn't new then either. You can view these things 100% cynically, or you can also consider the possibility that markets over (and also under) shooting are also a form of discovery in which the value of new business models, technologies, etc. are determined. While I'm not personally a fan of today's financial engineering and have concerns about direct government investments in particular, net-net it's probably better to live in economies where capital is abundant and malinvestment is possible, than to live economies where the opposite is true. From the .com days, I personally observed four categories of outcome: 1. Total financial ruin. If we're being honest, this was often the result of individuals who got rich very quickly and spent even more quickly. 2. Survival. Lots of people got laid off and eventually found new jobs when the economy recovered. Their experience was valuable. A decent number of these people went on to ride the recovery boom and are comfortable if not "rich" today. 3. Survival with a story to tell. People who survived and came away with a story to tell ("at one point I was worth millions on paper and 6 months later I was laid off"). 4. Huge windfall. Some people made a lot of money and through luck and/or smarts, managed to walk away from the implosion wealth intact. The truth is that nobody can predict with certainty the future. Markets are the place where humans make bets about the future. Expecting entirely orderly markets in which everything moves at a predictable pace in a predictable way, where no participants win or lose too much, just isn't realistic. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▲ | cassianoleal 6 hours ago | parent [-] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
> net-net it's probably better to live in economies where capital is abundant and malinvestment is possible, than to live economies where the opposite is true. This is a false dichotomy. Not everything needs to exist at the extremes. > boom and bust cycles have existed for a very long time. This isn't a new thing today, and it wasn't new then either. Murder and domestic violence have existed for a very long time. Racism existed for a long time. Slavery existed for a long time. Things can be fixed, or at least improved to reduce the human cost associated with what's essentially a governance choice. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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