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The US Government Is Now a Shareholder in 26 Companies(moeonmargin.substack.com)
79 points by measurablefunc 2 hours ago | 73 comments
asimpson 37 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

The investments listed here in the article make this seem like an effort to shore up or incentivize industries or companies that are integral to national defense. One example, in the ongoing US-China trade war one of the strongest moves China did was put [export controls on rare earth minerals][1] which are essential components across technology, defense, and healthcare to name a few. The government investing in these companies isn't ideal from a free enterprise perspective but seems rational from a national security perspective.

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rare_earths_trade_dispute

alephnerd 36 minutes ago | parent [-]

Yes. This is called industrial policy, and there is bipartisan support for this. 2008 changed thinking on both sides of the aisle around leveraging state power to build industries.

Plenty of us Obama and Biden alums are industrial policy fans, and there is a similar cohort across the aisle.

coffeemug 25 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

The issues with this are precedent/slippery slope. Today it's a small stake in a small number of companies, but empirically government initiatives almost always grow. Once entrenched, I would be willing to bet that the government will take larger and larger stakes in a bigger and bigger number of companies until this model becomes a non-trivial, potentially dominant, share of the economy. I can see myself becoming a single-issue voter to oppose that future (although given bipartisan support I'm unlikely to have any options; maybe Rand Paul).

thehoff 34 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I'd be curious as to how much the executives at these firms earn (whether it be through salary or equity or whatever else).

alephnerd 32 minutes ago | parent [-]

In most cases, same as an L6/7/8 at Google MTV.

Heck, I earn less as a VC today than if I remained a SWE or PM in my niche but with more stress and worse working hours.

iAMkenough 17 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

As long as we're socializing the gains just the same as we're socializing the losses (through taxpayer-funded bailouts), I have no problem.

That's unfortunately not been the reality through Obama, Trump and Biden policies.

therealdrag0 9 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-]

There was a really interesting episode of EconTalk podcast about 6 years ago which had a guest (woman, if it helps find it) arguing that the US gov should invest in and have ownership of a lot more startups, similar to how they funded Tesla.

measurablefunc 5 minutes ago | parent [-]

You should look into In-Q-Tel.

scottfits 29 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-]

i think an important nuance and the reason we don't suddenly have a sovereign wealth fund is it’s not a centralized US Gov buying stakes. It’s a bunch of different government entities using different pools of capital

- Commerce dept: Intel, IBM quantum, GlobalFoundries, D-Wave, Rigetti, xLight

- Dept of "war": MP Materials for rare earths, L3Harris rocket motors for munitions

- Energy dept: Lithium Americas / Thacker Pass, Westinghouse nuclear

- White House: U.S. Steel golden share

alephnerd 25 minutes ago | parent [-]

Excluding the White House, this is the correct approach. Each department and it's associated agencies have better domain experience in specific niches and access to capital.

This doesn't preclude the creation of a generalized SWF, but there is a difference between an SWF, SDF, and everything in-between.

This is the same approach Japan, South Korea, China, and India use as well.

dachworker an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Corporate taxes don't work and taxing the rich is super hard. Could this be a way for the state to suplement tax revenue?

lantry 40 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

It creates a lot of perverse incentives, and is probably a bad idea in the long run. If the govt makes more money when intel is successful, then the govt is incentivized to sabotage Intel's competitors (e.g. through tariffs, export controls, and many other powers). This distorts the free market that is (allegedly) at the center of America's success

vizzier 37 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

The answer is probably an automatic state in any company over a specific size given to the government. The only competition is then international.

smallerfish 7 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

Still perverse incentives. In this case the government is implicitly biased against startups competing against a giant.

nafey 8 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

Reinventing Socialism from first principals

jazzyjackson 16 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

See also: confessions of an economic hitman, the mysterious affair of Olivetti

US government has always had a policy of sabotaging international competition

choult 44 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-]

No, not enough money in it.

Tax the rich.

tehjoker 3 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

That's confusing. The rich make their money and hold their assets in economically productive (or extractive) enterprises. Land, factories, services, arms, etc are the real storehouses of wealth. If you take that from the rich, they have nothing.

jauntywundrkind 37 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

Just remember Piketty too, Capital in the 21st Century: the purpose is not generate revenue. It's too prevent extreme concentrations of wealth & power, to diffuse the un-democratic dangers hazards and threats.

contagiousflow 19 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

> Corporate taxes don't work

What does this mean?

cryo32 29 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-]

VEB OpenAI next?

Shall I dig out my Auferstanden aus Ruinen vinyl?

mtmail 25 minutes ago | parent [-]

VEB = Public Owner Enterprise of former East Germany https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volkseigener_Betrieb

bilsbie 38 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I’m not sure if I’m supposed to be against this but it seems like if the percentage is limited and they’re non voting shares then it should be ok.

I guess preferential treatment could be the only issue?

UncleOxidant 34 minutes ago | parent [-]

> I guess preferential treatment could be the only issue?

I'm not sure it's the only issue, but for now focusing only on this issue: it's a really big issue. The R's often complained about Dems choosing winners and losers (IIRC related to the solar industry). This is now way beyond what the Dems were trying to do by advancing solar. The gov can use it's buying power to sway things towards Intel, for example, over AMD. Huge potential for conflict of interest that will distort the markets.

The other tangential issue is that in some cases these can look like bribes. For example, OpenAI "offering" 5% of their stock to the gov.

asimpson 29 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

> The gov can use it's buying power to sway things towards Intel, for example, over AMD

Pretty sure that's the goal: the government wants a competent cutting edge chip maker on US soil.

dismalaf 30 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

> The gov can use it's buying power to sway things towards Intel, for example, over AMD.

Well, Intel is actually important for national defense because of their foundries...

Whereas AMD sold their foundries long ago so now they're just one of many fabless chip designers.

ChrisArchitect an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Related today:

OpenAI ‘in early talks to give 5% stake to US government’

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48759623

josefritzishere 29 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-]

More here https://www.cfr.org/articles/washingtons-growing-portfolio-t...

throw0101d an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Capitalism with American characteristics:

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Socialism_with_Chinese_charact...

johnny_canuck an hour ago | parent | next [-]

There's a reason they call him JDPON DON!

api 40 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Mao Thedon?

cyanydeez an hour ago | parent | prev [-]

Next step would be to do what europe does and put the unions on the boards and move towards social.

That or just go full fascism. Who knows!@

bit-anarchist an hour ago | parent | next [-]

Fascism? Skip it and go full socialism.

mghackerlady 39 minutes ago | parent [-]

those are on two completely different sides of the political compass

fhdkweig an hour ago | parent | prev [-]

Now the government has an extra incentive to get rid of unions entirely so that the company (and the government shareholder) makes more money. So yes, option B.

They also have an incentive to use legal pressure to suppress competitors. But I am sure this (and other administrations) would never throw their weight around for fun and profit. /s

thisislife2 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Have we come full circle now with China inspired by American Capitalism to create their own model of it, that now inspires the Americans to imitate the Chinese?

everdrive an hour ago | parent [-]

Yes, we've been copying the Chinese in a few cases in the past 6 years. I think they're the early warning signs of cultural dominance. Sort of like how a tin-pot African dictator in the 1980s would have an over-the-top western-style military uniform.

benoau 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Isn't that just socialism without the social benefits?

dayofthedaleks an hour ago | parent | next [-]

There’s a word for such a political system, it starts with an ‘f.’ Expressing opposition to it in the context of current events gets you prosecutorial enhancements.

throwawaypath an hour ago | parent [-]

Thanks Obama.

ortusdux an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It's been the status quo for a while now - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/economy/trillions-of-dollars-in...

jordanb 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Been like this since the GFC: the rich have a government funded undo button they can press whoever they need to.

jerf 44 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The term "fascism" has undergone so much memetic drift that it verges on useless, but this does bear a striking resemblance to fascist corporatism [1], at least taken to the logical conclusion:

"A fascist corporation can be defined as a government-directed confederation of employers and employees unions, with the aim of overseeing production in a comprehensive manner. Theoretically, each corporation within this structure assumes the responsibility of advocating for the interests of its respective profession, particularly through the negotiation of labor agreements and similar measures."

A lot of dystopian literature has been written with the premise that governments would wither away and end up replaced by mega-corporations that become the de facto law. I suppose the theory where the government just buys all the corporations instead because they control the money supply was generally overlooked by those authors. The end result probably isn't much different, but the path to get there has some differences, I suppose. It also seems reasonable to say that the authors, not being from the finance world (at least that I know of) may not have realized the depths to which financial engineering would sink and the willingness of the governments to participate in it.

Back in the 1980s when cyberpunk was really thriving the government at least made mouth noises about fighting the worst excesses of financial engineering. Whether history bears that out as something they were actually doing, the reader is welcome to come to their own conclusions about. But the government at least tried to look like a countervailing force to financial engineering.

mghackerlady 40 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Closer to fascism, socialism implies the workers own the means of production to an extent

moregrist 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Pretty much.

For all the current US administration has complained about the opposition being “socialist,” they’ve certainly gone all-in on the state partially owning private companies.

Almost like cries of “socialism” have become a dog whistle instead of what the term actually means.

burningChrome 44 minutes ago | parent [-]

>> For all the current US administration has complained about the opposition being “socialist,”

Not a dog whistle when its actually true. How many more DSA candidates need to be elected before you stop saying this?

Candidates endorsed by the Democratic Socialists of America have scored victories in 35 primary elections so far this year, including upsets against entrenched incumbents.

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/congressio...

dofm 35 minutes ago | parent [-]

Those people haven't been elected at all, yet.

And at what level are they? Aren't there over half a million elected officials, one way or another, in the USA?

There are nearly twenty thousand at state level or above.

kingleopold an hour ago | parent | prev [-]

Norway is far ahead in this, they collect lots of tax from poor and avg. people yet they have the biggest wealth fund in the world. literally only benefits certain groups

exe34 an hour ago | parent [-]

That certain groups being everybody, since they use the interest from the fund to put into the general government budget.

cjoelrun an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Owning the means of production is so capitalist now...

krapp 25 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

It is when capitalists own the means of production.

alephnerd 44 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

Repeating outdated tropes ad nauseum is dumb.

There is bipartisan support for industrial policy.

2008 shaped our thinking on this and most of our policymakers in the 19th century were influence by Alexander Hamilton and Fredrich List.

Our allies (Japan, South Korea) as well as our competitors (China) use this as well, and so did the US until the 1990s.

I support the CHIPS Act and IRA. I also support building an American SWF as well as operationalizing state-managed SWFs and pension funds into SDFs as well. And so do most decisionmakers who were in the Obama and Biden admins as well as the Trump admin.

Edit: can't reply

> so I'm not sure we should shape all of our policy

What I mean is pre-2008 it was heterodox to assume that government capital could be deployed to build or rebuild industries.

The default assumption was industrial policy only succeeded once (Japan).

The mixture of public-private subsidizes at the state level to develop GreenTech clusters in TX and CA, Semiconductor clusters in AZ, NatGas and Oil production in the Dakotas, and other such "booms" in the 2010s compared to Germany's hard stance on austerity leading to deindustrialization and China catching up to Germany in a number of core industrial technologies influenced the newish generation of policymakers.

> For this specific industrial policy

Yes [0]

[0] - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-06/biden-aid...

ceejayoz 9 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

> There is bipartisan support for industrial policy.

For this specific industrial policy? The Intel deal was an outright shakedown.

There's bipartisan support for healthcare, too. Unfortunately, quite a bit of serious dissension on exactly what that means.

UncleOxidant 21 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

> 2008 shaped our thinking on this

I've seen this assertion a few times now in the thread here, can you elaborate? The events of 2008 were kind of extraordinary, so I'm not sure we should shape all of our policy based on that - except in terms of trying to avoid another 2008/Great Recession, but I don't see these actions doing that.

jdw64 30 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-]

If the left had done this, they would have been attacked for "socialism." But since it's a right wing administration doing it, it becomes "national security industrial policy."

This isn't communism. It's state capitalism that socializes losses and privatizes profits.

It's bad communism and bad capitalism at the same time. I'd like to call this 'Napoleonism,' after the pig Napoleon in George Orwell's Animal Farm

loudmax 7 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

How about "National Socialism"? Perhaps there's a historical precedent?

ashdksnndck 24 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

Communism with American Characteristics

ImHereToVote 16 minutes ago | parent [-]

It is inevitable. Karl Marx was a Republican. Lincoln and Karl wrote each other.

Karl wrote for a republican newspaper in New York.

ceejayoz 7 minutes ago | parent [-]

I need people to understand that 1860s Republicans and 2020s Republicans are somewhat different. I'm begging at this point.

ck2 an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

this is why democrats are so stupid to use the word socialist even though it's accurate

sovereign funds, federal ownership making companies "too big to fail" is 100% socialism

but republicans are devious enough to know not to call it that

so do we get to idiotically slur the current administration and call them communists?

ks2048 10 minutes ago | parent [-]

It’s “100% socialism” in your definition and 20% in someone else’s. Its pretty tiring constantly debating these words.

Terr_ an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> Article research and generated imagery enabled by AI tools including Claude by Anthropic.

*sigh*

ryanisnan an hour ago | parent [-]

The modern equivalent of an ad hominem attack. Do better.

exe34 an hour ago | parent [-]

There's literally no hominem being attacked.

If you want human attention, expend human labour.

ryanisnan an hour ago | parent [-]

What a reductive take - attack the argument or move on.

bit-anarchist an hour ago | parent | next [-]

Tbf, they are saying the argument isn't worth engaging to begin with (not that I agree with)

exe34 33 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

I did. you failed to understand.

dolphinscorpion an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Hey, we're gonna buy 10% of ....in a week.

Thanks dad.

skybrian an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

If the US government got nonvoting shares in startups along with VC's then that could bring in lots of revenue from capital gains without calling it "taxes."

If it were in return for a tax break then they might even do it voluntarily. The key would be to get in while valuation is low.

Guvante 40 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

What capital gains? The governments balance sheet doesn't matter...

Think of it like the original Bitcoin wallet, its value is $0 because none of those will ever be sold.

If dividends are involved it could matter but the government basically gets 20% of dividends already and extra 4% doesn't make a huge difference.

Returning to blocking stock buybacks as price manipulation and forcing businesses to give out dividends again would actually impact revenue in a meaningful way in contrast.

pohl 13 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

The government would need to sell their position in order to have gains.

palmotea 20 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

I am happy with this. There needs to be more democratic control of the economy, as the people who have been running American countries have been consistently making decisions that are against the national interest. There's risk to it, but the status quo is not something to be happy about either.

ceejayoz 14 minutes ago | parent [-]

> There needs to be more democratic control of the economy…

And you think this is that? Oh dear.

> the people who have been running American countries have been consistently making decisions that are against the national interest

Freudian slip?