| ▲ | The Fall of the Theorem Economy(davidbessis.substack.com) |
| 99 points by varjag 5 hours ago | 40 comments |
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| ▲ | credit_guy 12 minutes ago | parent | next [-] |
| People think mathematics is about proving theorems. I think that's just an accident of history. When we write software, we very seldom write proofs that our algorithms are correct. We just write tests, and we also run the algorithms and when they fail we know we have a bug and then we proceed to debug, fix, and add new tests (if we are disciplined, but most of us are). In time, by usage and testing, we gain confidence that our battle tested software is correct, mostly. And we tell people that we will never be 100% confident that any software is bug free. But that's a slight lie: if we wanted such confidence, we would start using provers, and create bug-free software. That possibility exists, but it's just extraordinarily expensive. Well, in math that's the only possibility, and we use it. And it is indeed extraordinarily expensive, but it's also the cheapest among the alternatives. The alternatives are 2: be rigorous and do these proofs, or be sloppy and allow bugs to creep in, and allow an entire school of math to collapse like the Italian school of algebraic geometry [1]. There is one more alternative. If a particular math theorem has some applicability, then you write a program and use it in real life. In time you eliminate the bugs as much as you can, and you get to the steady state of "virtually bug free". At that point you don't have a solid proof that the theorem is correct, but in general you don't really care. Because you feel that a formal proof is just a thing one would pursue for getting academic satisfaction only. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Italian_school_of_algebraic_ge... |
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| ▲ | simiones 6 minutes ago | parent [-] | | This is a bit reductive about what "proof" actually means in mathematics. Even in math, the kind of formal proofs that tools like Coq can automatically verify are an extreme, and lots of accepted and practiced math is not doing that. Proofs are often more abstract and even occasionally hand-wavy (for example not proving "obvious" statements or minor lemmas). |
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| ▲ | olooney an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Greg Egan's description of how mathematics evolves into "truth mining" in his novel Diaspora is seeming more and more prescient. It essentially describes what mathematics would look like after formalization records all theorems discovered so far in a huge, collective database and proof assistants can instantly work out the details of a given proof. What remains of mathematics? According to Egan, visualization, intuition, and insight. One of the most fruitful approaches in mathematics is to flip back and forth between geometric and algebraic views of a problem. I think this works so well because these are actually handled by two different parts of the brain on a physical level; spatial reasoning is separate from language processing. Cytoarchitecture shows these regions have different "textures;" the local details of the way neurons are wired together are simply different in these different regions of the brain, in the same way a CNN and a transformer have different topologies. Thus, by flipping problems from geometry to algebra and vice versa, we're able to bring an entirely different cognitive style to bear on a problem. For example, the proof of Monge's Theorem by moving to 3D and visualizing not three circles, but three spheres sitting on a table with a book on top of them and then pointing out that the intersection of two planes is a line. What is pages of unintuitive symbol pushing turns into something a child can understand. Going the other way, things like the angle addition formulas or the quadratic formula, which are quite hard to prove geometrically, become quite simple if you use a little algebra. Current-gen LLMs are still relatively weak at visual reasoning; see the Vision Language Models are Blind paper, for example, or the ARC-AGI benchmark. So that's one way humans can stay ahead of the agents, at least for now. |
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| ▲ | mojosmojo 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Incredibly thoughtful. This essay gives that very rare sense of being well reasoned, gods at forest and trees, and sitting atop a shit ton of domain expertise. |
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| ▲ | stackbutterflow 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Tangential but this article got me thinking. Are we going to see less publicly shared science? With private actors or governments restricting access to AI resources to a few scientists and keeping new knowledge to themselves. Advancing science in the open was the best strategy when there was real advantage to share the load with every brain on the planet willing to give a try at science, but if a computer can match or surpass the collective output of the entire human scientific community the equation will change. It's a sad outlook. |
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| ▲ | accurrent an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | The intelligence is only one part of the story. People need to actually go out there and do experiments. Science is not only theory, but also experimental. The best science happens when experiments show that a previously held assumption was not true. Eg the Michaelson Morley experiment where the assumption of ether was disproved. While AI is an incredibly powerful tool, it does not replace the act of observation. Thus Im sure we will still have scientists in the future and some degree of open science. There are experiments out there that by nature of their complexity need massive public coordination (CERN for instance) which in turn benefits from openness. What is going to suck though is the ladder for juniors. We dont start out by working on big ticket problems, but usually early career researchers solve really tiny problems in a cheap way. The lowest bar for a cash strapped PhD student would be to contribute to some new theory in some way even if the student doesnt have access to equipment. | | |
| ▲ | lelanthran 44 minutes ago | parent [-] | | > People need to actually go out there and do experiments. Science is not only theory, but also experimental. For biosciences and physics, sure. For mathematics? I am skeptical that your assertion applies. | | |
| ▲ | accurrent 24 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Ah I see your point, I took the word science to mean bio, physics, chemistry, etc. IMO mathematics is a different discipline and not one Id consider a science, rather I see it as the language with which we express science. If AI is somehow able to prove everything wouldn't it bypass Godel's incompleteness theorems? |
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| ▲ | toyg an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | It's not even just science. Anyone producing anything digital is now heavily incentivized to keep their wares away from the public internet, in a way we've not seen before. Drop any sample of your unique production online, and the AIs will obsolete you in days. That is a massive loss for people looking for inspiration and guidance. | |
| ▲ | aleph_minus_one an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | > to share the load with every brain on the planet willing to give a try at science This is what a lot of scientists love to tell themself or talk about in celebratory speeches. The truth is: a lot of science is kept behind journal paywalls, so that only "officially approved" (in the sense of: working at a university or an governmental research institute) scientists can easily access it. | | |
| ▲ | varjag an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | You know how I read new papers back in 1994? By going to the library, finding one in bi-annual publication list and requesting it through the University system. And it better be necessary because the uni had to pay both the catalogue and each reprint of an article. The access is most certainly easier today. | | |
| ▲ | aleph_minus_one an hour ago | parent [-] | | This was a lot because of the technological restrictions of that time. Also be aware that the world wide web was actually conceived by Tim Berners-Lee for the exchange of information between scientists. |
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| ▲ | rjsw an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | People are working on using LLMs to regenerate experimental data from the text of journal papers. |
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| ▲ | a1o an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| From reading this, it looks like the projected future is mathematicians working more applied to a domain, and the basic research in the academia being severely impacted by the AI companies - who have the money to hire the senior mathematicians from the academia. I guess if some of the biggest universities could come up with their own AI powered programs there could be something to “answer” in a more accessible knowledge, but I don’t see how to properly keep the students motivated to ensure the field keeps producing new people. |
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| ▲ | octopus143 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Some previous submissions HN history +-- 2mo before by sdfrew
| 4 points / 1 comments
| The Fall of the Theorem Economy
| https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47862472
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+-- 2mo before by fuglede_
| 3 points / 1 comments
| The Fall of the Theorem Economy
| https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47891494
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+-- 2mo before by mathgenius
| 2 points / 0 comments
| The Fall of the Theorem Economy
| https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47909751
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+-- 2mo before by delis-thumbs-7e
| 15 points / 4 comments
| David Bessis on AI destroying mathematics
| https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47985962
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+-- 1mo before by magoghm
| 4 points / 0 comments
| The Fall of the Theorem Economy
| https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48084737
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+-- 1mo before by cubefox
| 2 points / 0 comments
| The Fall of the Theorem Economy
| https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48089716
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+-- 1mo before by cubefox
| 5 points / 0 comments
| The Fall of the Theorem Economy
| https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48152469
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+-- 1mo before by tmp10423288442
| 4 points / 1 comments
| The Fall of the Theorem Economy
| https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48214866
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`-- this submission by varjag
58 points / 7 comments
The Fall of the Theorem Economy
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48758048
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| ▲ | rbanffy an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| > to come up with a conceptual framework where it became easy to express Feels a lot like building software from bottom - once you get the building blocks defined right, the action, or the program, are trivial to express. When doing it from the top-down, you write the program using the building blocks you haven't defined yet, and you might end up with overly specific building blocks, needing other blocks for expressing different behaviors. When you do the bottom-up building blocks right, new behavior is easy to express with them. Essentially, you are building up the language to reach the problem. Or making a DSL, whatever definition you like best. |
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| ▲ | tux3 an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | Well, it depends. Sometimes in math you do a lot of chipping away at a problem, and eventually a bigger result falls after all the right foundations are built. That seems to describe bottom-up building. On the other hand when a new high-level concept becomes clear and seems to emerge like a revelation, and people start thinking in terms of those new definitions, it seems that a hundred pages worth of smaller results can fall out of it almost effortlessly. This way of describing it is more top-down. I don't know that there's an exact parallel with software. Math keeps feeding into itself in a way that software dreams about with our ambitions of code reuse. The old Object Oriented dreams of perfectly encapsulated classes and abstractions partially worked out, but not to the degree that was envisioned. The current situation with package managers doesn't look like a tower that keeps growing higher and higher levels of abstractions. It looks like a tower where each person wants to place one tiny brick that they call left-pad, and next year we will rebuild the lower levels instead of going higher. So the top-down and bottom-up building that we do is different. We keep rebuilding the bottom, and we don't very much like when the tower of abstractions get too tall and hard to reason about. | |
| ▲ | tux3 an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | Well, it depends. Sometimes in math you do a lot of chipping away at a problem, and eventually a bigger result falls after all the right foundations are built. That seems to describe bottom-up building. On the other hand when a new high-level concept becomes clear and seems to emerge like a revelation, and people start thinking in terms of those new definitions, it seems that a hundred pages worth of smaller results can fall out of it almost effortlessly. This way of describing it is more top-down. I don't know that there's an exact parallel with software. Math keeps feeding into itself in a way that software dreams about with our ambitions of code reuse. The old Object Oriented dreams of perfectly encapsulated classes and abstractions partially worked out, but not to the degree that was envisioned. The current situation with package managers doesn't look like a tower that keeps growing higher and higher levels of abstractions. It looks like a tower where each person wants to place one tiny brick that they call left-pad, and next year we will rebuild the lower levels instead of going higher. So the top-down and bottom-up building that we do is different. We keep rebuilding the bottom, and we don't very much like when the tower of abstractions get too tall and hard to maintain. |
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| ▲ | bsenftner 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| This kills me, it is correct, but misses the forest for the trees. Yes, mathematics is a discipline of understanding, but an insular one. The entire field is about trying to understand, but the discipline does not try to be understood. No, that is "your job, not theirs" and that is why this discipline is struggling, struggling in a culture that can barely communicate without emotional morons destroying any constructive communications. |
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| ▲ | twoodfin an hour ago | parent [-] | | Eh? I thought this was the main thrust of the argument: Mathematics has in fact always prized conceptual advancement and understanding over proof, despite presenting itself internally and externally as rewarding the latter. The author calls what he’s proposing “rebranding a plurimillenial project”. |
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| ▲ | j7ake 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Does the the (,1) conjecture paper in annnals of Math say 7 years between submission and acceptance? Insane |
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| ▲ | bananaflag 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | These stories are common in math, e.g. these recently happened to me, a lowly mathematician: 1) Two and a half years with no reply from a journal (not even to emails I sent that I'd like to retract the paper so I could send it somewhere else). Then suddenly they tell me the paper is accepted. 2) One year with no reply. Then, my "anxious" collaborator sends them countless emails and gets redirected from person to person and finally an editor tells us that they decided almost immediately to reject our paper but they didn't tell us because "they hate giving bad news". These were not top journals like Annals, but decent, prestigious ones, from whom you'd expect some professionalism. |
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| ▲ | jdw64 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Someday, there might be mathematics designed for AI. Mathematics that only a tiny fraction of humans can understand, but a different kind of mathematics might emerge. I wonder if we would still call it mathematics. What would happen if a non-human layer of mathematics emerged on top of human mathematics? In this article, the distinction between Mathlib and Mathslop might be a precursor to that. If models advance enough in the future, and new definitions, compressions, and representational forms that are convenient for AI-to-AI communication emerge, what would happen then? Would mathematics split into Human-facing and Machine-facing branches? |
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| ▲ | pfortuny 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | Science is not about results, it is about the transmission of knowledge. So long as those AI-"sciences" are just inside AI, they are "engineering", not science. I am not dismissing engineering (it moves the world we live in), just trying to clarify what science is. Applied fluid dynamics works like that: noone has ever really "verified" that the finite-element method applied to some specific model does converge | | |
| ▲ | jvanderbot 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Agree, but more specifically Math is clearly about a human understanding structure of things. Math is basically for humans. It's one of the main reasons understandable proof is so important. | | |
| ▲ | pfortuny 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | Well, by "understanding" I mean "understanding by humans", indeed. |
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| ▲ | varjag 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Engineering is used fairly loosely these days but I insist engineering ends where you have to prove theorems. | | |
| ▲ | raddan an hour ago | parent [-] | | That’s a strange delineation. Engineering is essentially about designing a thing, asking whether that thing really does satisfy the desired criteria, and then iterating when it does not. Mathematical models of the world are tremendously useful to this practice—engineers don’t need to guess about many aspect of the real world: they have physics. What they want, more than anything else, is strong evidence that a property holds. Internal validity (proof) and external validity (experiment) are the best evidence that you can get—why would you throw one of those approaches away? |
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| ▲ | jdw64 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | So what I’m most curious about is this: if there are axioms and proofs so enormous that a human could never prove them in a lifetime, but a machine can, does that make it engineering? That’s the point I’m really wondering about. I mean, what if a human could follow every single step of the process in principle, but the sheer volume is so vast that a human can never see the whole thing—would that be engineering? But I don’t think of that as engineering. In the future, maybe it will be called an Oracle |
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| ▲ | whack 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| The core thesis seems to be that the "real value" is not in producing/proving theorems, but in understanding them. AI might be good at producing and proving theorems, but it fails utterly at getting humans to understand them. Even worse, humans have no interest in working on theorems that have already been proven, so we end up with theorems that will never be understood by humans. I can understand why this is a major concern for mathematicians. They got into their field because they love the beauty of mathematics, and the intellectual satisfaction of understanding non-obvious insights. But to put it crudely, this sounds like a you problem. As someone who isn't a mathematician, the main value I get out of math is its practical applications in science and technology. And their practical applications in human life. I have zero understanding of the math behind cryptography, but I still deeply appreciate the practical value they have provided humanity. If AI systems start churning out accurate theorem-proofs, and we are able to use those theorems to build things that improve human quality of life, it doesn't bother me one bit that those theorems have not been understood by humans. If this offends your aesthetics, you are certainly entitled to your opinion and your preferences, but that does not make it a societal problem |
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| ▲ | RandomLensman an hour ago | parent [-] | | Then you have to make sure that the AIs understand the theorems (sort of build a "world" for that - otherwise how'd there be confidence in the use of said theorems? If cryptography didn't exist but the maths did, how'd you use it? |
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| ▲ | guelo an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| When math is so divorced from science and engineering that there's no conceivable way that it will ever be applied in the real world then it is just a complex puzzle game that a tiny group of people play. It doesn't really matter much. If the 200,000 line Mathslop proof has no real world application and it doesn't help the puzzle solvers then it is double useless. |
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| ▲ | rramadass 34 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Right; this is my viewpoint too. All the "pure mathematicians" have a bleak future where AI can do all the puzzle solving better and faster. They existed in their own world elevating "theorem proving within a formal system" as the central aspect of "proper" mathematics and everything else as ancillary. It always felt wrong to me that while the scientific method iterated starting with the "real world" viz. Observe, Measure, Hypothesize (includes modeling with mathematics), Test and Refine; pure mathematicians lost themselves in the formalization of hypothesizing/modeling and thus lost touch with mapping it to reality. The AI revolution is now showing them up. |
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| ▲ | cubefox 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| This might be the most interesting essay on the nature of mathematics I have ever read. |
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| ▲ | Staross 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I thought it was very interesting, but maybe also incredibly naive politically ? it's like he's re-discovering alienation under capitalism. A wood-worker could do the same argument, there's the "official" wood-working word of perfect joinery and beautifully finished tables one can buy, but behind it there's the "secret" messy human element, the art, the craft, the mistakes and hard-ships, the elevation of human skills and imagination, the creation of whole new types of wood-working inventions and techniques, the perpetuation of millenia-old traditions, the teaching, the joy of selling to a happy customer, etc. But now comes techo-capitalism, division of labor, you cut that piece a that piece over and over, you operate that machine, you won't even see the finished table, fuck your human element, we want that profit ! |
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| ▲ | throwaway91827 an hour ago | parent [-] | | I don't think you have it right- the analogy to woodworking and craftsmanship is a category error and probably misses the broad thrust of the essay. The goal of a woodworker or craftsman is the production of a finished good. He's arguing that, although it's been convenient to position a mathematician as a
"theorem-producer", that's never really been the aim of mathematics, and that the actual products of mathematics are some kind of "mental software"-
see his references to neuroplasticity. Basically, he's saying that the goal of mathematics is to create abstract structures that allow humans to reason about increasingly complex concepts, and that the "mathematician as theorem producer" is more like a convenient fiction that mathematicians have allowed to persist for too long, and now threatens to endanger the whole practice of mathematics. |
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| ▲ | asdfsa32 an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Is being pompous and on the nose part of being in mathematics? "I was in Switzerland", "I was invited to a talk", "I started a machine learning company", look at me bro. |
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| ▲ | capnrefsmmat an hour ago | parent [-] | | Being invited to conference talks around the world is a completely normal part of being an active researcher in almost any academic field, so it doesn't register as pompous to other academics. |
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| ▲ | khalic 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I see the AI panic has reached mathematics… |
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| ▲ | throwaway81523 an hour ago | parent | prev [-] |
| I've only started reading it but it looks very good. I'll finish it tomorrow or so. |