> Even a correct guess leaves you worse off than not committing.

Similarly, this is also confusing. If I scaffold a highly-likely feature and everything lines up, I ship the feature faster. My team isn't guaranteed to grow or even maintain our headcount, so scrambling to account for YAGNI close to the deadline feels worse than congratulating ourselves on our restraint.

Honestly think a lot of this article is ai babble - check how it ends on several classic ai negative triples such as "you’ll pay both bills on it just the same — plus you’ll comprehend it less, because you didn’t write it." ... etc.