If the Chinese government is as involved in LLM development strategy as many people claim, wouldn't you expect them to immediately cease releasing open weight models and restrict access as soon as they start producing the frontier models? I am assuming this is what the USG thinks and is why they are trying to cut off the flow to foreign nationals ASAP.

LLMs are an undeniably valuable tool, and governments like to control those.

Xi Jinping isnt as AGI pilled as US govt. CapEx in US is significantly focused on AI related things like chips and data center. It's more diversified in China as they also invests hugely on renewables, EV, BESS, etc.

I talked about this before but China would be in much better position if LLMs turn into a commodidty. Where they can dominate is in hardware, as fast and cheap inference is probably going to be the moat.

How do you know that Chinese don’t have powerful private models already? Maybe they just allow opening the ”bad” models…