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Sol- 2 hours ago

If the US really cracks down on frontier model access, you'll see them make Chinese open models illegal. You might say "oh well, let them try", but they will just put direct and secondary sanctions on every company whose systems have used Chinese models in some way. They just have to make an example out of a few international companies and no one will dare to use Chinese frontier models, at least commercially.

palata an hour ago | parent | next [-]

> but they will just put direct and secondary sanctions on every company whose systems have used Chinese models in some way

What about this: companies stop providing AI tokens to their employees entirely and instead, give a monthly budget for developer tools? They can even go as far as saying "if we realise that you use Chinese AI, you will get a warning and then be fired".

It's not like one can identify code coming from Chinese AI, right? As long as a company doesn't pay for those subscriptions, it may just be the employees writing the code all by themselves :-).

AlecSchueler 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

This is why we can't decouple ourselves from the US fast enough.

tokioyoyo 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Theoretically that gives edge to all other companied around the world though, no?

Sol- 2 hours ago | parent [-]

I don't think a critical mass of them will oppose the US. The most likely equilibrium is Chinese models being shut out of any US-aligned markets (i.e. Europe at the very least, also East Asia, etc.). Probably India, Russia, Brazil etc. will resist such pressure, but they are protectionist and resilient to trade wars anyway, at the expense of their own welfare of course.

emptybits an hour ago | parent | next [-]

It's not clear what a "US-aligned market" is anymore, and I think it's reasonable to question US hegemony on any front because of its mercurial treatment toward its "allies".

Example... the USA effectively bans Chinese EVs and hoped its allies would follow suit. Canada didn't. It actually dropped its 100% tariffs on Chinese EVs down to 6% and, sure enough, seven brands of Chinese EVs are hitting Canadian shores. White House temper tantrums ensued. Shrug. And of course Europe has been importing Chinese EVs for years and loving them.

lukeinator42 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Just because the US sanctions a country, doesn't mean the rest of the world needs to as well. As a Canadian we traded with Cuba even when the US had an embargo on them.

messe 32 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

> Europe at the very least

How's life under that rock?

Culonavirus 25 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> If the US really cracks down on frontier model access, you'll see them make Chinese open models illegal.

We don't give a fuck about US laws - respectfully, the rest of the planet.

We're already sick of your shit and this will only add to it. Just look at the Iran shit show. What a joke. Ooooooo wooooooo sanctionzzz scary. Sanctions only work if they're enforceable.

teravor 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

in the extremely unlikely event that they do this, what will happen is that Chinese models will become "rebranded" with a wink and a nod by the token routers (at the very least, the non-US ones). there is a zero percent chance that corporations will not work around it if the models are good and cheap.

pixelpoet an hour ago | parent [-]

Like Cursor, which is pretty much repackaged Kimi K2.5, and Musk paid $60b for (lol).

an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]
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amunozo an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I have no idea, but how is it easy to know whether somebody used these models? They can be hosted even locally.

petesergeant an hour ago | parent | prev [-]

> but they will just put direct and secondary sanctions on every company whose systems have used Chinese models in some way

Yes, and the rest of the world would just nod worriedly and go along with it, at massive cost to their economies, rather than treating it like the protectionism it is and responding to it with crippling counter-sanctions.