> it feels like software development is going from a precise occupation that requires high degree of understanding to something probabilistic and offloaded understanding

To me it felt like there were always engineers and vibers.

Vibers don't work systematically, never test, accept unknown regression, don't use git, and if they do, treat it like Dropbox, use terrible languages, have terrible habits. Vibers got a new tool, too, and it vastly increases the amount of slop. But the slop was always there.

The slop actually got better after vibers stopped writing their own slop, I have to say.

And vibers are less defensive about the particular slop they didn't write themselves.