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thewebguyd 2 hours ago

Even without doing that the Chinese are already going to impact our labs presence everywhere else in the world. With Fable getting pulled, any model coming out of the US is now unreliable and untrusted. No one in any other country would in their right mind choose OpenAI or Anthropic for anything.

The big push for regulation and export controls is only going to ensure OpenAI & Anthropic are more like the automakers. Only in business because of protectionism, left to screw over US consumers meanwhile the rest of the world gets to enjoy cheap EVs

a34729t 2 hours ago | parent [-]

I have to push back on this: China's cheap EVs and power prices are due to industrial policy on an epic scale which goes directly against the whole free market thing. I personally think industrial policy is a good thing, but you cannot have it both ways and not expect workers to get unhappy and vote against your interests when they have no more jobs.

thewebguyd 35 minutes ago | parent [-]

True, and its what they are going to do with LLMs as well. We know their playbook by now as they've repeated it over and over again across different industries.

But we can still protect domestic workers without screwing over consumers. Pure protectionism doesn't work, it'll only set us back and keep us behind. Just slapping on 100% tariffs or a complete import ban just lets domestic companies get lazy. The protectionism needs an expiry date so they can't hide behind it forever. We could also work to move supply chains out of adversarial nations and into friendly ones, but you know...that requires us to continue to have friends and allies.

A fully free market has been an illusion in the US for a very long time. We'd do well to do some of our own state-industrial planning.