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_heimdall 11 hours ago

Nightly storage depends on being able to recharge to full capacity every day. That isn't a risk they could possibly accept, they would have to have an alternative source that could sustain when the sun doesn't come out or equipment fails.

Retric 9 hours ago | parent [-]

> to full capacity every day.

A common misconception you don’t need to hit 100%, you need enough energy to make it either from that day or from prior days.

At grid scale daily production is never 0 and it’s never 100%. You can guarantee a surplus all 365 days a year, it’s just a cost vs benefit function, that’s however different from always fully charging your energy storage. If hypothetically the minimum was 99.9% of nighttime needs the odds you cover that gap the next day is extremely high to the point where a little extra storage makes sense vs aiming for 100% every day.

So now you’re just trying to optimize something for minimum cost. Utilities do this all the time with traditional generation you have random equipment failures and shifting seasonal demand. Thus they optimize maintenance schedules around seasonal demand etc.

_heimdall 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Not a misconception, just a discrepancy in what we were describing. I well understand that you shouldn't hit 0% for battery health and that the last 10-20% charge takes much longer than the middle of the charge cycle. I was responding to the idea of only having capacity for a night and using it 365 days per year, I took that to mean a full charge/discharge cycle every day since otherwise you have more capacity than a single night and don't use it fully every day.

Regardless, that buffer doesn't make a big difference in the topic here. My panel regularly show 0Wh on rainy days, PR effectively 0 as they may be getting only a few percent of real capacity.

How do you propose industrial scale would allow a series of arrays could both not be oversized on sunny days and cover usage on cludy days?

If I'm misunderstanding your argument I apologize. I just don't see how a data center could possibly be okay with having only a single day worth of storage and generation without having backup power scaled to cover their full usage demands.

Retric 2 hours ago | parent [-]

Edit: Grid scale solar is its own thing for many reasons, one of which is not sticking things in a roof tends to dramatically lower risks and costs. But another is they are significantly more optimized.

> could both not be oversized on sunny days and cover usage on cludy days?

That isn’t a problem that’s worth trying to solve. Grid solar power is so cheap you can waste 70% over a year (even more on sunny days) and in many areas still be paying less than coal per kWh.

Ultimately the grid doesn’t care about being oversized for specific days. There’s a wild difference in demand on sunny day in the summer vs a day that’s 70f. When it was 70f in the 1970’s they didn’t go out and destroy nuclear reactors or coal plants because they are unnecessary in May. That’s valuable infrastructure even when not in current use.

The only metric grid operators care about is does this grid design need the demand and what does it cost. Peaking power plants exist to fit edge case demands even if not used for months at a time, “peaking solar” isn’t a term anyone uses but solar + batteries can fit that niche.