> Nobody cares how many trillions they spent training the model

People definitely care that they spent trillions. Establishing the precedent that you can make big load-bearing bets and fail is extremely threatening to oligarchs. They would sooner twist the law into a mockery of itself and doom the world to the institutional distrust that breeds than accept a loss.

The optimal outcome for humanity is to have the oligarchs spend their entire fortunes training a godlike AI, only for someone to suddenly leak the weights when they're finally done so that everyone can use it.