I suspect the time horizon is shorter because of software advances. We are getting more capability out of smaller models

Alibaba released Qwen 3.6 "tiny" models not that long ago, they punch way above their weight(s)

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UncleOxidant 3 hours ago | parent [-]

> Alibaba released Qwen 3.6 "tiny" models not that long ago, they punch way above their weight(s)

True, Qwen3.6-27B is amazing for it's size. However, it seems likely that we're not going to see anymore of these smaller models from Alibaba/Qwen since several key players exited that organization a few months back.

	▲	Infernal 3 hours ago \| parent \| next [-]
		Do we know where those key players went?
	▲	verdverm 2 hours ago \| parent \| prev [-]
		Good to know, I think the trend is clear based on the models coming out of China and well see more capabilities in smaller, more efficient models.