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rayiner a day ago

The assumption is that the people in the universities who can build missiles can pretty easily be distinguished from those who can’t.

TimorousBestie a day ago | parent [-]

Anyone with a bare understanding of the history of science would understand how bad of an assumption that is.

You specifically have the much harder problem of explaining how you intend to maintain tech dominance with a Cultural Revolution and also without any foreigners or any of the many various groups of citizens you find personally undesirable.

rayiner a day ago | parent [-]

I’m pretty sure we can maintain technological dominance with the O-visa and E-visa programs.

khriss a day ago | parent [-]

The implicit assumption is that the people who would genuinely quality for the O visa would want to come to the US. That claim generally held in the past, however it has not been very true in the recent years.

Yes, you will get people who will 'qualify' for those visas, but the bar will and already is getting steadily lower.

rayiner a day ago | parent [-]

Apart from a COVID blip, O1 visa petitions have been steadily growing. They’re up 57% since 2013.

Long-term, I suspect skilled immigration will trend down. But for positive reasons: as India and China develop, more people will make the choice to stay home rather than come to America. Same reason we see little emigration from Korea and Japan anymore. It’s a good change, just like it was a good change when our post-WWII edge was reduced after Europe rebuilt. But the attraction of American capital likely still will bring the superstars here.