> From what risk level without them?

“Approximately 0.6 percent of women will be diagnosed with cervical cancer at some point during their lifetime, based on 2021–2023 data” [1].

Given “reports of serious health issues after HPV vaccination were consistently rare—around 1.8 per 100,000 HPV vaccine doses, or 0.0018%” [2], a woman suffers a 300x higher hazard (assuming we measure a serious vaccine reaction as being equivalent to cancer, which is silly) from going unvaccinated.

> How many people actually die of cervical cancer before age 30?

4,462 young women under the age of 30 died of cervical cancer in 2022 worldwide [3].

[1] https://seer.cancer.gov/statfacts/html/cervix.html

[2] https://www.cancer.gov/news-events/cancer-currents-blog/2021...

[3] https://gco.iarc.who.int/today/en/dataviz/pie?mode=populatio... Mortality, cervix uteri, females, 0 to 29

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moralestapia 2 hours ago | parent [-]

Thanks for the data.

4,462 out of the whole population (of women etc.).

Would you subjectively describe that number as "almost zero"?

	▲	JumpCrisscross 18 minutes ago \| parent [-]
		> Would you subjectively describe that number as "almost zero"? Sure. If the only effect were on under-30s, this wouldn’t be a great vaccine. What 5,000 people is good for, however, is confidently measuring decline in a cohort. Zero deaths, even against a baseline of tens, strongly implies this should cross into the tend or hundreds of thousands over the next decades in populations that keep vaccination rates up.