| ▲ | dalemhurley 4 hours ago |
| Why, is there any evidence to support your claim? |
|
| ▲ | 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] |
| [deleted] |
|
| ▲ | Aurornis 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| There is a long history of US export restrictions on technologies. They have all been temporary. It would be extraordinary if this was the beginning of the first ever permanent technology export restriction. |
| |
| ▲ | input_sh 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Temporary as in it lasted for quite some years, not temporary as in it was dropped within months. That's a very long timescale for this sort of field. | |
| ▲ | bigiain 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | From outside the US, there has been so much "extraordinary" stuff happening in US politics recently that it's almost expected now. |
|
|
| ▲ | furyofantares 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] |
| Polymarket gives 32% chance the ban on Fable is lifted this month. Even if it's never lifted, probably GPT 5.6 will be better than Opus 4.8 and they won't hype it up as too dangerous to release before releasing it. Open models will catch up to Opus 4.8 and state of the art will, most likely, continue to get better. It won't be long before "better than Opus 4.8" is not a big deal. |
| |
| ▲ | ethbr1 an hour ago | parent [-] | | > probably GPT 5.6 will be better than Opus 4.8 and they won't hype it up as too dangerous to release before releasing it. If you buy the story that Anthropic's marketing hype drove US regulation, then I have a bridge to sell you. The best case real reason is Anthropic pissed off the administration. Which will leave OpenAI, Google, Meta, and X far more vulnerable to government data sharing requests... and KYC identity is incredibly valuable to mandate for those. | | |
| ▲ | furyofantares an hour ago | parent [-] | | That is my best guess too, which is an even better case for better-than-Opus-4.8 models being available from OpenAI without drawing the attention of the administration. I do think their marketing hype was a factor though even in this narrative. Andrew Jassy tells a vengeful admin that there's this jailbreak for a model Anthropic said was dangerous, and vengeful admin seizes the opportunity to take vengeance. |
|
|
