What happens when open source models achieve Mythos level capabilities in six months' time?

impossiblefork 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

I think it's probably more like a year or a year and a half. I don't want to say two years, but it's what I'm actually thinking.

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ionwake 11 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I dont seem to understand why no one is talking about this obvious fact? I mean suddenyl everyone is banning .. ok .. well how many months behind are the open source models?

	▲	hdgvhicv 2 hours ago \| parent [-]
		If you assume that open models catch up in 6-12-36 months, then you either assume exponential growth destroying the global economy and probably the world in a few years, or you assume it plateaus and commoditises. Even if your country prevents access to compute to protect the trillion dollar companies, it’s not going to apply for every country, and as models get better it becomes easier to compete. There’s no way an AI non proliferation treaty will be passed or even enforceable.