There's no way US can keep that export control as it is for the frontier models in the long term.

This would blow huge damage to the US financial markets first, the insane CAPEX spending propping up gdp, but also US competitivity in the long run.

Sure, the US is the most important tech market on the planet, but according to Anthropic 80% of their revenue comes from outside of the US.

Let alone the fact that these research labs desperately need the top talent they can get globally, not just MIT-bred Leetcode ninjas.

The only way US can have a lead is by competing globally as it always had in the tech sector (albeit it resorted to export controls to assert its dominance over China), not by changing the rules of the game and with protectionism.

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inigyou 4 hours ago | parent [-]

When has the USA ever shied away from destroying its own financial markets?

	▲	marcosdumay 3 hours ago \| parent [-]
		Honestly, a large majority of the time. The exceptions are very notable, but it's a bad thing to bet on happening. They seem to have more problems due to protecting them too much than for the alternative extreme.